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Providence vs Fairfield Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#112
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game57.8
vs
Position#245
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Providence v Fairfield
08 Dec 2026
PROV v FAIR
upcoming
09 Nov 2021
PROV80
FAIR73
25 Nov 2020
PROV97
FAIR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Providence win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fairfield win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#213
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
47-50
39-37
40-39
23-37
33-41
34-43
45-37
40-42
51-39
27-48
45-37
34-26
49-30
25-30
33-37
38-25
40-30
34-26
33-27
147.2Avg total
75.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.557.8129.2+13.875%
Season at home (3)76.054.7130.7+21.3100%
Season away (1)58.067.0125.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.771.5147.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)71.663.2134.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.484.1160.6-7.711%
vs Similar (17)85.283.5168.7+1.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.557.0137.5+23.5100%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H01/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H06/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A07/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A09/03
NCAA
Vermont
#193
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H06/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
42-89
42
89
-47
A11/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
46-43
37-23
35-35
25-39
22-30
31-27
40-33
30-30
44-25
30-40
31-36
25-38
42-41
26-30
42-29
20-52
22-37
30-32
33-28
133.4Avg total
65.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.071.8131.8-11.850%
Season at home (2)65.069.5134.5-4.550%
Season away (2)55.074.0129.0-19.050%
Last 10 (10)65.068.4133.4-3.460%
Last 5 (5)60.272.6132.8-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)54.584.0138.5-29.50%
vs Similar (15)70.970.5141.4+0.353%
vs Weaker (13)76.267.1143.3+9.277%
This opponent (Providence) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +2.0+2.0
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +2.0+2.0
ProvidenceFairfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A12/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A08/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#213
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H14/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.974.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.971.1+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)36.141.677.6-5.529%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.868.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.062.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.040.473.4-7.411%-
vs Similar (17)38.938.076.9+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.524.564.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H01/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H06/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Vermont
#193
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H06/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
20-52
20
52
-32
A11/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H15/11
NCAA
64.0Avg total
29.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.567.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.730.164.7+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)32.736.969.7-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)29.334.764.0-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)26.238.464.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)22.545.067.5-22.50%-
vs Similar (15)32.934.066.9-1.140%-
vs Weaker (13)36.431.267.5+5.262%-
This opponent (Providence) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Providence wins
0
Fairfield wins
DateGameScore
10/11/21Providence v Fairfield80-73
25/11/20Providence v Fairfield97-56
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HColorado67-53
11/11/26HBryant University78-55
08/11/26ANebraska58-67
03/11/26HMaine Black Bears83-56
12/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)72-85
11/03/26AButler91-81
08/03/26AGeorgetown79-80
05/03/26HMarquette56-78
28/02/26ACreighton79-76
26/02/26HXavier94-84
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNJIT63-60
11/11/26AWisconsin42-89
08/11/26ABryant University68-59
06/11/26HVermont67-79
09/03/26ASiena61-76
07/03/26ASt. Peters74-55
06/03/26HManhattan71-60
01/03/26HMount St. Mary's47-69
28/02/26HSiena72-58
22/02/26AQuinnipiac85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Providence
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game71.576.058.0
Allowed / game57.854.767.0
Point differential+13.8+21.3-9.0
Avg total129.2130.7125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fairfield
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game60.065.055.0
Allowed / game71.869.574.0
Point differential-11.8-4.5-19.0
Avg total131.8134.5129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
7 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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