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Qingdao vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 88-81
21-24 21-20 24-15 22-22
Position#7
Record13-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#13
Record10-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game88.1
ChinaCBA· Conson Stadium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Qingdao v Guangzhou
05 Dec 2026
QING v GUAN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
QING88
GUAN81
25 Jan 2026
QING78
GUAN80
05 Mar 2025
QING126
GUAN80
14 Oct 2024
QING109
GUAN80
11 Apr 2024
QING96
GUAN101
21 Mar 2024
QING99
GUAN102
29 Dec 2023
QING92
GUAN85
07 Jan 2023
QING88
GUAN86
26 Dec 2021
QING117
GUAN100
12 Jan 2021
QING94
GUAN114
06 Nov 2020
QING97
GUAN94
12 Nov 2019
QING115
GUAN100
11 Dec 2018
QING97
GUAN107
25 Oct 2018
QING88
GUAN105
30 Nov 2017
QING125
GUAN94
18 Nov 2016
QING89
GUAN88
31 Jan 2016
QING151
GUAN148
30 Nov 2014
QING127
GUAN110
09 Feb 2014
QING120
GUAN122
28 Nov 2012
QING80
GUAN92
28 Dec 2011
QING100
GUAN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qingdao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 86
A11/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 86
A13/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
80-67
80
67
+13
73avg 86
H15/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 86
H17/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
62avg 86
A19/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
68-82
68
82
-14
49avg 86
A23/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
78-80
78
80
-2
69avg 86
H25/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
84-93
84
93
-9
82avg 86
H27/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
64-69
64
69
-5
53avg 86
A30/01
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
7avg 86
A01/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
24-17
15-7
11-27
18-20
19-18
29-18
20-14
20-18
26-12
18-25
16-12
26-22
17-12
25-18
19-24
21-24
17-26
15-24
22-16
15-21
21-20
18-20
14-21
16-19
23-20
24-22
15-19
22-29
12-31
32-16
18-17
14-16
18-18
17-20
15-15
36-18
17-33
19-22
17-14
158.1Avg total
79.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.481.2165.5+3.259%
Season at home (10)86.181.8167.9+4.360%
Season away (12)82.980.7163.6+2.258%
Last 10 (10)79.378.8158.1+0.550%
Last 5 (5)76.682.2158.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)95.298.3193.5-3.233%
vs Similar (15)86.186.2172.3-0.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.677.1164.7+10.478%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
106-76
106
76
+30
109avg 81
H10/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
93-98
93
98
-5
94avg 81
H12/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
70avg 81
A14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
82-109
82
109
-27
70avg 81
A17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
104-75
104
75
+29
96avg 81
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
112-102 OT
112
102
+10
no box
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 81
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
61avg 81
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
85-92
85
92
-7
81avg 81
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
77avg 81
A31/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
37-24
22-18
22-21
20-22
25-22
22-26
26-28
15-23
21-21
26-26
12-19
19-22
21-35
24-30
18-22
30-28
26-15
29-19
19-13
21-16
31-24
24-26
18-28
19-16
20-23
22-24
19-15
27-13
18-34
24-25
9-23
12-30
29-22
22-21
22-19
14-21
28-14
21-21
17-27
179.1Avg total
89.4Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.488.1174.6-1.748%
Season at home (9)90.186.8176.9+3.356%
Season away (12)83.789.2172.8-5.542%
Last 10 (10)89.489.7179.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)87.090.0177.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.8100.5182.3-18.710%
vs Similar (15)93.090.5183.5+2.560%
vs Weaker (5)95.880.8176.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
QingdaoGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A11/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H15/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H17/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A19/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H27/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A30/01
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A01/02
CBA
83.1Avg total
41.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.944.389.1+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.944.189.0+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)44.844.489.2+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.783.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.083.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.248.794.8-2.533%-
vs Similar (15)42.946.289.1-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.338.185.4+9.278%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H10/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
CBA
89.6Avg total
45.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.247.192.3-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.247.595.7+0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)42.546.889.2-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)45.843.889.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.686.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.453.095.4-10.60%-
vs Similar (15)46.245.391.5+0.967%-
vs Weaker (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.716.1
52.4%
54.6%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
35.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.1
70.8%
73.6%12.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.1
50.0%
54.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.1
38.1%
35.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.214.7
76.6%
73.6%14.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qingdao
WLLLLLWWWW
Guangzhou
LLLWWWLLLW
#7
League position
#13
-7.1
Net rating
-5.5
88.2
Offensive rating
95.7
95.4
Defensive rating
101.2
49.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.0%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.2%
3-point %
38.1%
69.1%
Assist %
53.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 95.7Defence95.4 · 101.2Shooting49.7% · 52.6%3-point %31.2% · 38.1%Ball care14.0% · 14.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Qingdao   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Qingdao wins
5
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Qingdao v Guangzhou78-80
05/03/25Qingdao v Guangzhou126-80
05/01/25Guangzhou v Qingdao90-103
14/12/24Guangzhou v Qingdao103-113
14/10/24Qingdao v Guangzhou109-80
14/04/24Guangzhou v Qingdao92-78
11/04/24Qingdao v Guangzhou96-101
21/03/24Qingdao v Guangzhou99-102
25/01/24Guangzhou v Qingdao108-98
29/12/23Qingdao v Guangzhou92-85
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ABeijing89-87
30/01/26ABeijing Royal Fighters64-69
27/01/26HZhejiang Guangsha84-93
25/01/26HGuangzhou78-80
23/01/26ANingbo Rockets68-82
19/01/26AZhejiang Guangsha75-90
17/01/26HZhejiang Chouzhou87-76
15/01/26HJilin80-67
13/01/26ALiaoning86-70
11/01/26AJilin82-74
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AShandong80-83
29/01/26HFujian85-92
27/01/26AShanghai78-95
25/01/26AQingdao80-78
23/01/26HNanjing Tongxi112-102 OT
19/01/26HBeijing Royal Fighters104-75
17/01/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-109
14/01/26AZhejiang Chouzhou74-89
12/01/26HTianjin93-98
10/01/26HSichuan106-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qingdao
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW59%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayWLLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %59%60%58%
Points / game84.486.182.9
Allowed / game81.281.880.7
Point differential+3.2+4.3+2.2
Avg total165.5167.9163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %48%56%42%
Points / game86.490.183.7
Allowed / game88.186.889.2
Point differential-1.7+3.3-5.5
Avg total174.6176.9172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %10%11%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2319483%89.177.9+11.2
2 Shanghai2218482%95.080.0+15.0
3 Guangdong2217577%95.590.6+5.0
4 Shandong2215768%93.487.3+6.1
5 Shenzhen2214864%94.792.8+2.0
6 Beijing2213959%89.583.4+6.1
7 Qingdao2213959%84.481.2+3.2
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou22121055%86.381.5+4.8
9 Shanxi Zhongyu22111150%90.288.2+2.0
10 Ningbo Rockets22111150%87.886.0+1.7
11 Beijing Royal Fighters22111150%87.192.3-5.1
12 Guangzhou21101148%86.488.1-1.7
13 Liaoning22101245%82.182.5-0.5
14 Xinjiang2291341%86.683.4+3.2
15 Jilin2391439%82.587.8-5.3
16 Fujian2281436%90.793.8-3.1
17 Tianjin2381535%92.194.2-2.1
18 Nanjing Tongxi2271532%89.094.0-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons2261627%80.089.3-9.3
20 Sichuan220220%70.698.9-28.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qingdao2121242288
Guangzhou2420152281
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