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Qingdao vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 99-102
27-25 22-20 24-27 26-30
Position#7
Record26-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game99.8
Qingdao
China
vs
Guangzhou 🏆
China
Position#9
Record23-22
FormLLWWW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game98.9
ChinaCBARound 46· Conson Stadium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Qingdao v Guangzhou
05 Dec 2026
QING v GUAN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
QING88
GUAN81
25 Jan 2026
QING78
GUAN80
05 Mar 2025
QING126
GUAN80
14 Oct 2024
QING109
GUAN80
11 Apr 2024
QING96
GUAN101
21 Mar 2024
QING99
GUAN102
29 Dec 2023
QING92
GUAN85
07 Jan 2023
QING88
GUAN86
26 Dec 2021
QING117
GUAN100
12 Jan 2021
QING94
GUAN114
06 Nov 2020
QING97
GUAN94
12 Nov 2019
QING115
GUAN100
11 Dec 2018
QING97
GUAN107
25 Oct 2018
QING88
GUAN105
30 Nov 2017
QING125
GUAN94
18 Nov 2016
QING89
GUAN88
31 Jan 2016
QING151
GUAN148
30 Nov 2014
QING127
GUAN110
09 Feb 2014
QING120
GUAN122
28 Nov 2012
QING80
GUAN92
28 Dec 2011
QING100
GUAN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qingdao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
L
84-110
84
110
-26
64avg 95
H29/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
102-114
102
114
-12
97avg 95
A01/02
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
111-115
111
115
-4
104avg 95
A03/02
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
98-117
98
117
-19
90avg 95
A05/02
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
107-84
107
84
+23
96avg 95
H07/03
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
90-92
90
92
-2
79avg 95
H09/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
112-69
112
69
+43
110avg 95
A11/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
123-120
123
120
+3
116avg 95
A14/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
94-106
94
106
-12
84avg 95
A16/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
99-106
99
106
-7
118avg 95
H18/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
28-40
18-21
21-22
27-29
27-29
17-35
31-21
23-27
37-27
25-32
26-29
19-16
24-17
23-40
32-44
29-16
30-20
23-16
25-32
20-20
21-19
17-24
32-29
28-22
22-16
38-19
24-12
25-33
33-31
33-27
32-29
22-31
28-26
24-25
20-24
27-27
18-30
23-24
31-25
205.3Avg total
102.0Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)102.399.8202.1+2.658%
Season at home (21)103.696.3200.0+7.376%
Season away (24)101.2102.8203.9-1.642%
Last 10 (10)102.0103.3205.3-1.330%
Last 5 (5)103.698.6202.2+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)98.2108.1206.4-9.912%
vs Similar ◀ (11)99.498.4197.7+1.055%
vs Weaker (11)110.593.2203.7+17.4100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
96-79
96
79
+17
99avg 96
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
92-100
92
100
-8
62avg 96
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
125-98
125
98
+27
126avg 96
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
109-96
109
96
+13
95avg 96
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
100-102
100
102
-2
85avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
97avg 96
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
97-104
97
104
-7
78avg 96
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 96
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
108-96
108
96
+12
103avg 96
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 96
H19/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
22-11
24-18
22-28
29-33
21-26
18-24
24-17
24-31
35-21
29-21
37-25
33-28
34-17
16-28
26-23
20-26
27-20
19-38
34-18
34-29
29-27
23-32
17-21
22-25
26-30
16-19
33-30
34-35
29-22
26-21
26-22
27-21
29-28
23-19
29-28
27-24
27-19
23-15
24-21
200.9Avg total
104.6Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)102.098.9200.9+3.151%
Season at home (23)104.397.8202.1+6.561%
Season away (22)99.6100.0199.6-0.541%
Last 10 (10)104.696.3200.9+8.360%
Last 5 (5)104.897.6202.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)100.7103.3204.0-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)98.6101.2199.8-2.527%
vs Weaker (13)106.098.3204.3+7.769%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
QingdaoGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H29/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A01/02
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A03/02
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A05/02
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H07/03
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A14/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A16/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H18/03
CBA
100.8Avg total
50.5Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.547.7100.3+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.946.998.9+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)53.148.5101.7+4.673%-
Last 10 (10)50.550.3100.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.851.099.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)49.450.199.5-0.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)53.347.6100.9+5.682%-
vs Weaker (11)54.146.1100.2+8.073%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H19/03
CBA
105.2Avg total
55.7Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.351.9104.2+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.152.1106.2+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)50.851.6102.4-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)55.749.5105.2+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)56.852.0108.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.355.7109.0-2.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)50.452.3102.6-1.936%-
vs Weaker (13)53.549.8103.3+3.869%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.3
53.7%
52.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.2
33.2%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.818.1
76.1%
76.0%18.1
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.526.2
51.9%
52.7%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.3
36.4%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.815.5
78.3%
76.0%15.5
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qingdao
LLWWLWLLLL
Guangzhou
WWWLLLWWLW
#7
League position
#9
-1.3
Net rating
+6.0
108.3
Offensive rating
112.9
109.6
Defensive rating
107.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.1%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.2%
3-point %
36.4%
63.2%
Assist %
53.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 112.9Defence109.6 · 107.0Shooting52.0% · 52.7%3-point %33.2% · 36.4%Ball care14.1% · 13.1%Off. rebounds23.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Qingdao   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Qingdao wins
3
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
25/01/24Guangzhou v Qingdao108-98
29/12/23Qingdao v Guangzhou92-85
13/11/23Guangzhou v Qingdao96-101
07/01/23Qingdao v Guangzhou88-86
20/12/22Guangzhou v Qingdao88-89
12/10/22Guangzhou v Qingdao59-80
06/01/22Guangzhou v Qingdao108-97
26/12/21Qingdao v Guangzhou117-100
26/01/21Guangzhou v Qingdao111-116
12/01/21Qingdao v Guangzhou94-114
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24HZhejiang Chouzhou99-106
16/03/24AShanghai94-106
14/03/24ANanjing Tongxi123-120
11/03/24AJiangsu Dragons112-69
09/03/24HBeijing90-92
07/03/24HNingbo Rockets107-84
05/02/24AXinjiang98-117
03/02/24AShandong111-115
01/02/24AZhejiang Chouzhou102-114
29/01/24HXinjiang84-110
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24HJiangsu Dragons101-79
16/03/24HXinjiang108-96
14/03/24AJilin115-100
11/03/24HShanghai97-104
09/03/24ALiaoning103-109
06/03/24AJiangsu Dragons100-102
05/02/24HShenzhen109-96
03/02/24HSichuan125-98
01/02/24AShanghai92-100
29/01/24ANingbo Rockets96-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qingdao
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeWLWLL76%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452124
Win %58%76%42%
Points / game102.3103.6101.2
Allowed / game99.896.3102.8
Point differential+2.6+7.3-1.6
Avg total202.1200.0203.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)71% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %9%14%4%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW51%
HomeWWLWW61%
AwayWLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %51%61%41%
Points / game102.0104.399.6
Allowed / game98.997.8100.0
Point differential+3.1+6.5-0.5
Avg total200.9202.1199.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%52%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)0% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4537882%104.294.6+9.5
2 Xinjiang4536980%106.096.3+9.7
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou45341176%108.8100.1+8.8
4 Guangdong45311469%110.0104.9+5.1
5 Zhejiang Guangsha45301567%104.597.1+7.4
6 Shenzhen45281762%105.8102.4+3.4
7 Shanghai45281762%105.9102.9+3.0
8 Beijing Royal Fighters45271860%106.7103.4+3.4
9 Qingdao45261958%102.399.8+2.6
10 Guangzhou45232251%102.098.9+3.1
11 Beijing45232251%100.7100.0+0.7
12 Shanxi Zhongyu45222349%110.4112.2-1.7
13 Tianjin45202544%106.4108.7-2.4
14 Nanjing Tongxi45202544%103.1106.2-3.0
15 Shandong45172838%102.6105.1-2.6
16 Fujian45162936%103.7107.1-3.4
17 Jilin45162936%103.2107.0-3.9
18 Jiangsu Dragons4563913%92.6103.6-11.0
19 Ningbo Rockets4563913%93.4107.3-13.9
20 Sichuan454419%96.6111.4-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qingdao2722242699
Guangzhou25202730102
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