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Qingdao vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 126-80
25-19 24-26 41-15 36-20
Position#7
Record24-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game99.8
Qingdao 🏆
China
vs
Guangzhou
China
Position#16
Record7-28
FormLLLLL
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game107.6
ChinaCBARound 36· Conson Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Qingdao v Guangzhou
05 Dec 2026
QING v GUAN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
QING88
GUAN81
25 Jan 2026
QING78
GUAN80
05 Mar 2025
QING126
GUAN80
14 Oct 2024
QING109
GUAN80
11 Apr 2024
QING96
GUAN101
21 Mar 2024
QING99
GUAN102
29 Dec 2023
QING92
GUAN85
07 Jan 2023
QING88
GUAN86
26 Dec 2021
QING117
GUAN100
12 Jan 2021
QING94
GUAN114
06 Nov 2020
QING97
GUAN94
12 Nov 2019
QING115
GUAN100
11 Dec 2018
QING97
GUAN107
25 Oct 2018
QING88
GUAN105
30 Nov 2017
QING125
GUAN94
18 Nov 2016
QING89
GUAN88
31 Jan 2016
QING151
GUAN148
30 Nov 2014
QING127
GUAN110
09 Feb 2014
QING120
GUAN122
28 Nov 2012
QING80
GUAN92
28 Dec 2011
QING100
GUAN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qingdao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
129-122
129
122
+7
123avg 98
H03/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
103-90
103
90
+13
102avg 98
A05/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
107-95
107
95
+12
101avg 98
A08/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
96-105
96
105
-9
80avg 98
A10/01
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
103-100
103
100
+3
95avg 98
H12/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
130-104
130
104
+26
129avg 98
H15/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
99-89
99
89
+10
91avg 98
H17/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
83-103
83
103
-20
65avg 98
A20/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 98
A23/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
107-94
107
94
+13
99avg 98
H25/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-23
25-34
35-33
32-32
26-26
27-21
26-23
24-20
33-29
30-22
21-19
23-25
28-24
28-23
23-34
17-24
39-23
19-27
18-35
27-15
29-23
31-21
39-32
31-28
22-18
33-25
26-23
18-23
19-28
30-29
21-25
13-21
29-27
27-29
20-21
28-16
24-20
30-21
34-31
19-22
205.6Avg total
106.1Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)104.399.8204.2+4.569%
Season at home (18)110.4100.3210.8+10.178%
Season away (17)97.999.3197.2-1.459%
Last 10 (10)106.199.5205.6+6.680%
Last 5 (5)104.696.6201.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.3101.0190.3-11.70%
vs Similar (10)96.8101.6198.4-4.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)108.595.8204.4+12.794%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
76avg 89
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
72avg 89
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
100-91
100
91
+9
95avg 89
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-112
81
112
-31
69avg 89
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
89-121
89
121
-32
83avg 89
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 89
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
97-116
97
116
-19
90avg 89
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-124
116
124
-8
108avg 89
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 89
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 89
A24/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
32-20
17-24
21-16
26-26
21-27
23-26
20-24
24-28
33-24
24-27
19-12
21-22
28-23
16-31
16-36
29-25
27-34
19-32
14-30
28-18
20-11
11-33
18-23
27-34
20-26
26-24
24-32
30-26
32-35
27-36
27-27
27-28
32-40
32-26
22-22
22-29
21-24
25-32
14-26
201.0Avg total
93.5Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)97.3107.6204.9-10.320%
Season at home (17)98.5108.5207.1-10.018%
Season away (18)96.2106.7202.9-10.522%
Last 10 (10)93.5107.5201.0-14.010%
Last 5 (5)97.0110.4207.4-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)93.3110.4203.8-17.10%
vs Similar (10)99.593.4192.9+6.160%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -5.3-5.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -5.3-5.3
QingdaoGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H03/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A05/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A08/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A10/01
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H12/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H15/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H17/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A20/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A23/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H25/01
CBA
105.9Avg total
56.6Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.550.3102.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.648.3102.9+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)50.452.3102.7-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)56.649.3105.9+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)54.848.2103.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.058.3104.3-12.30%-
vs Similar (10)50.651.1101.7-0.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)54.848.4103.2+6.471%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
CBA
103.8Avg total
51.4Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.552.2101.7-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.951.9102.8-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)48.052.4100.4-4.443%-
Last 10 (10)51.452.4103.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)51.854.2106.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)49.154.3103.4-5.135%-
vs Similar (10)50.347.998.2+2.460%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.627.6
55.6%
52.6%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.9
33.6%
35.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.417.4
74.4%
76.3%17.4
They take 82.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.624.0
48.4%
52.6%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.6
35.1%
35.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.219.1
78.9%
76.3%19.1
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qingdao
WWLWWWLWWW
Guangzhou
LLLLLLLWLL
#7
League position
#16
+7.2
Net rating
-15.0
112.2
Offensive rating
101.5
105.0
Defensive rating
116.5
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
20.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.6%
3-point %
35.1%
57.9%
Assist %
59.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 101.5Defence105.0 · 116.5Shooting53.6% · 49.8%3-point %33.6% · 35.1%Ball care15.5% · 20.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 27.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Qingdao   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Qingdao wins
4
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Guangzhou v Qingdao90-103
14/12/24Guangzhou v Qingdao103-113
14/10/24Qingdao v Guangzhou109-80
14/04/24Guangzhou v Qingdao92-78
11/04/24Qingdao v Guangzhou96-101
21/03/24Qingdao v Guangzhou99-102
25/01/24Guangzhou v Qingdao108-98
29/12/23Qingdao v Guangzhou92-85
13/11/23Guangzhou v Qingdao96-101
07/01/23Qingdao v Guangzhou88-86
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HJilin107-94
23/01/25ASichuan104-93
20/01/25AXinjiang83-103
17/01/25HBeijing99-89
15/01/25HJilin130-104
12/01/25HLiaoning103-100
10/01/25AGuangdong96-105
08/01/25AShenzhen107-95
05/01/25AGuangzhou103-90
03/01/25HShanxi Zhongyu129-122
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25AGuangdong82-111
22/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters113-116
20/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu116-124
18/01/25AXinjiang97-116
16/01/25HGuangdong77-85
13/01/25HShandong89-121
10/01/25AShanghai81-112
07/01/25AJiangsu Dragons100-91
05/01/25HQingdao90-103
03/01/25HJiangsu Dragons90-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qingdao
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWLLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %69%78%59%
Points / game104.3110.497.9
Allowed / game99.8100.399.3
Point differential+4.5+10.1-1.4
Avg total204.2210.8197.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %20%18%22%
Points / game97.398.596.2
Allowed / game107.6108.5106.7
Point differential-10.3-10.0-10.5
Avg total204.9207.1202.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3531489%104.192.0+12.1
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3526974%114.9108.4+6.6
3 Shandong35251071%105.099.4+5.6
4 Xinjiang34241071%111.1102.8+8.3
5 Qingdao35241169%104.399.8+4.5
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou35231266%112.3104.1+8.3
7 Liaoning35231266%105.398.9+6.5
8 Guangdong35231266%104.198.2+5.8
9 Beijing35231266%101.696.2+5.4
10 Shanghai34211362%111.6103.0+8.6
11 Beijing Royal Fighters34191556%106.3101.3+5.0
12 Nanjing Tongxi35171849%105.8107.9-2.1
13 Shenzhen35122334%104.5107.3-2.8
14 Jilin35122334%102.4111.1-8.7
15 Tianjin35112431%101.6110.3-8.7
16 Sichuan3582723%101.0110.4-9.4
17 Ningbo Rockets3582723%102.6114.2-11.6
18 Guangzhou3572820%97.3107.6-10.3
19 Jiangsu Dragons3562917%93.7103.4-9.7
20 Fujian3452915%102.6115.8-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qingdao25244136126
Guangzhou1926152080
← all games of the day
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