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Rapla vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-84
20-18 19-24 16-12 21-30
Position#9
Record14-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game81.6
vs
BK Ogre 🏆
Position#5
Record16-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2024
Meetings · Rapla v BK Ogre
15 Mar 2025
RAPL76
BK O84
21 Feb 2024
RAPL72
BK O61
03 Dec 2022
RAPL81
BK O71
19 Feb 2022
RAPL86
BK O88
16 Mar 2019
RAPL83
BK O95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 71
A15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
82-64
82
64
+18
84avg 71
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
88avg 71
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
99-111 OT
99
111
-12
93avg 71
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 71
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
113-76
113
76
+37
117avg 71
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
85avg 71
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
86-63
86
63
+23
82avg 71
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
71-86
71
86
-15
70avg 71
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
91-70
91
70
+21
95avg 71
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
27-11
29-18
29-28
17-18
24-19
24-16
17-11
30-24
21-22
25-19
16-15
21-18
24-23
28-23
19-28
15-24
21-23
28-15
17-23
24-15
30-15
28-17
31-29
19-28
18-21
21-20
29-14
16-16
19-20
34-12
17-15
19-28
15-15
17-23
20-20
27-18
18-10
22-21
24-21
170.0Avg total
90.1Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.881.6164.4+1.252%
Season at home (13)89.184.4173.5+4.769%
Season away (14)77.079.1156.1-2.136%
Last 10 (10)90.179.9170.0+10.270%
Last 5 (5)89.675.6165.2+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.079.1149.1-9.127%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.989.2177.1-1.344%
vs Weaker (10)88.072.7160.7+15.390%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#5
L
69-78
69
78
-9
54avg 75
H18/01
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 75
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
76-72
76
72
+4
70avg 75
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
97-65
97
65
+32
99avg 75
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 75
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
87-67
87
67
+20
82avg 75
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
92-57
92
57
+35
86avg 75
A26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
78avg 75
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 75
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
93-80
93
80
+13
86avg 75
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
19-23
12-12
21-25
14-16
27-19
13-28
26-24
25-20
17-21
19-15
15-16
32-15
22-13
26-15
17-22
18-21
23-28
13-18
25-19
23-18
26-8
26-23
12-18
19-17
23-11
23-10
27-19
23-23
19-21
21-20
18-17
13-19
20-22
14-20
23-11
29-23
24-16
16-19
24-22
159.4Avg total
83.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.977.3159.1+4.659%
Season at home (14)82.679.2161.8+3.464%
Season away (13)81.175.2156.3+5.854%
Last 10 (10)83.476.0159.4+7.450%
Last 5 (5)86.674.4161.0+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.383.5154.8-12.217%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.777.3161.0+6.367%
vs Weaker (14)83.674.5158.1+9.164%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
RaplaBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
81.1Avg total
41.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.479.9+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.983.1+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)37.738.976.7-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.281.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.278.2+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.237.975.1-0.745%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.443.084.4-1.656%-
vs Weaker (10)43.137.981.0+5.270%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
80.5Avg total
43.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.480.6+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.181.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (15)41.737.779.4+4.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.337.280.5+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.679.4+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.341.076.3-5.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.337.881.1+5.656%-
vs Weaker (14)42.938.181.1+4.857%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.224.8
58.8%
51.9%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.1
33.8%
32.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.616.3
69.1%
70.6%16.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.2
50.0%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.9
37.3%
32.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.514.5
70.7%
70.6%14.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WLWWWLLWWW
BK Ogre
WLLWWLWWLL
#9
League position
#5
+13.3
Net rating
+12.7
114.4
Offensive rating
114.2
101.2
Defensive rating
101.5
56.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.8%
3-point %
37.3%
67.7%
Assist %
57.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 114.2Defence101.2 · 101.5Shooting56.1% · 52.6%3-point %33.8% · 37.3%Ball care16.3% · 14.5%Off. rebounds29.1% · 30.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Rapla   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rapla wins
7
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
18/12/24BK Ogre v Rapla71-57
21/02/24Rapla v BK Ogre72-61
29/09/23BK Ogre v Rapla75-77 OT
07/01/23BK Ogre v Rapla92-75
03/12/22Rapla v BK Ogre81-71
19/02/22Rapla v BK Ogre86-88 OT
02/10/21BK Ogre v Rapla107-84
11/04/21BK Ogre v Rapla75-73
16/03/19Rapla v BK Ogre83-95
15/12/18BK Ogre v Rapla84-77
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25ALatvijas Universitate91-70
08/03/25HVEF Riga71-86
04/03/25AKeila KK86-63
26/02/25HKeila Coolbet87-83
08/02/25HParnu113-76
05/02/25ATal Tech81-85
31/01/25HBK Liepaja99-111 OT
28/01/25HTartu Ulikool92-80
21/01/25HViimsi82-64
15/01/25ABK Liepaja99-81
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HViimsi93-80
05/03/25ATal Tech70-72
01/03/25HBK Liepaja91-96 OT
26/02/25AParnu92-57
12/02/25HValmiera Glass Via87-67
08/02/25HTartu Ulikool79-86
01/02/25ALatvijas Universitate97-65
22/01/25HRigas Zelli76-72
20/01/25ABC Kalev/Cramo80-87
18/01/25HBK Liepaja69-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeWLWWL69%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%69%36%
Points / game82.889.177.0
Allowed / game81.684.479.1
Point differential+1.2+4.7-2.1
Avg total164.4173.5156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %11%15%7%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game81.982.681.1
Allowed / game77.379.275.2
Point differential+4.6+3.4+5.8
Avg total159.1161.8156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga2623388%84.069.3+14.6
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2723485%88.674.9+13.7
3 Rigas Zelli2721678%83.670.3+13.3
4 Tartu Ulikool27171063%82.281.0+1.2
5 Valmiera Glass Via27161159%82.177.0+5.1
6 BK Ogre27161159%81.977.3+4.6
7 BK Liepaja27151256%83.981.5+2.4
8 Ventspils27141352%89.284.7+4.5
9 Rapla27141352%82.881.6+1.2
10 Tal Tech27131448%79.982.9-3.0
11 Parnu27111641%81.384.6-3.3
12 Keila Coolbet2781930%77.584.9-7.4
13 Viimsi2752219%72.285.5-13.3
14 Keila KK2742315%73.390.1-16.7
15 Latvijas Universitate272257%69.385.6-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla2019162176
BK Ogre1824123084
← all games of the day
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