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Rapla vs Valmiera Glass Via Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-83
13-22 24-24 13-17 26-20
Position#10
Record12-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#13
Record6-21
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v Valmiera Glass Via
15 Dec 2024
RAPL91
VALM86
16 Mar 2024
RAPL76
VALM83
11 Mar 2023
RAPL96
VALM64
23 Oct 2021
RAPL93
VALM77
13 Oct 2018
RAPL100
VALM88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valmiera Glass Via winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#15
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 67
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
61-66
61
66
-5
52avg 67
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 67
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
45avg 67
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
94avg 67
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
72-61
72
61
+11
62avg 67
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 67
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
72-54
72
54
+18
68avg 67
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
70avg 67
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
78-77
78
77
+1
66avg 67
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
20-19
17-13
27-13
12-11
11-18
21-19
17-18
25-24
19-20
21-20
21-30
11-27
18-26
12-11
13-18
21-24
25-13
20-21
17-25
20-22
19-12
12-17
21-10
21-26
16-16
20-19
22-17
20-17
19-11
13-17
20-9
9-22
16-11
29-21
18-22
14-12
16-24
21-23
27-18
149.8Avg total
75.7Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.076.7151.7-1.844%
Season at home (13)77.178.2155.2-1.146%
Season away (14)73.075.4148.4-2.443%
Last 10 (10)75.774.1149.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)74.669.2143.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.278.6148.8-8.333%
vs Similar (11)77.178.7155.8-1.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.968.4146.3+9.471%
This opponent (Valmiera Glass Via) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valmiera Glass ViaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVia
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
H19/01
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
L
66-76
66
76
-10
58avg 65
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
61-69
61
69
-8
46avg 65
H06/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
54avg 65
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
64-106
64
106
-42
49avg 65
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 65
A16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
96-62
96
62
+34
99avg 65
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
61-56
61
56
+5
57avg 65
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
81-99
81
99
-18
72avg 65
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
65avg 65
A13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
18-27
18-22
17-21
8-24
22-16
24-17
12-19
17-18
13-22
16-10
15-19
16-16
16-15
25-33
14-20
16-22
6-39
21-25
21-20
14-22
14-23
18-21
31-25
25-12
24-13
18-25
29-12
19-18
10-8
15-7
17-23
17-25
19-28
27-24
18-22
18-22
16-16
19-18
21-27
153.3Avg total
72.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.184.1158.2-10.022%
Season at home (14)74.179.0153.1-4.936%
Season away (13)74.189.6163.7-15.58%
Last 10 (10)72.381.0153.3-8.720%
Last 5 (5)77.878.2156.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.988.7163.6-13.812%
vs Similar (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Weaker (3)81.770.3152.0+11.367%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
RaplaValmiera Glass Via
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
72.7Avg total
35.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.839.675.4-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.440.776.1-5.327%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.574.7-2.253%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.472.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.668.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.941.872.8-10.98%-
vs Similar (11)38.739.878.5-1.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.735.475.1+4.386%-
This opponent (Valmiera Glass Via) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valmiera Glass ViaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/01
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H06/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
22-61
22
61
-39
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
72.7Avg total
32.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.543.879.3-8.320%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.842.379.1-5.529%-
Last 30 away (13)33.845.779.5-11.88%-
Last 10 (10)32.740.072.7-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.472.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.845.280.0-10.315%-
vs Similar (1)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (3)41.333.374.7+8.067%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.3
58.0%
50.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.4
29.4%
32.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.510.3
62.4%
70.5%10.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valmiera Glass Viatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valmiera Glass Via: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.4
48.2%
50.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.17.1
25.3%
32.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
70.5%14.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WLWWWWLLLW
Valmiera Glass Via
LLWWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#13
+8.4
Net rating
-11.9
107.1
Offensive rating
95.8
98.7
Defensive rating
107.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
43.8%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.4%
3-point %
25.3%
61.2%
Assist %
63.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 95.8Defence98.7 · 107.7Shooting52.6% · 43.8%3-point %29.4% · 25.3%Ball care18.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 30.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Rapla   ■ Valmiera Glass Via
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rapla wins
2
Valmiera Glass Via wins
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ARigas Zelli78-77
05/03/24HVentspils72-76
02/03/24ALatvijas Universitate72-54
28/02/24HTartu Ulikool79-78
21/02/24HBK Ogre72-61
30/01/24HBK Liepaja98-89 OT
24/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo54-82
20/01/24HKeila KK86-94
17/01/24AParnu61-66
06/01/24HViimsi85-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24ABK Liepaja74-83
08/03/24ATal Tech81-99
05/03/24HParnu61-56
01/03/24HTallinna Kalev96-62
16/02/24APrometey77-91
13/02/24AVentspils64-106
10/02/24AVEF Riga71-84
06/02/24HTartu Ulikool61-69
24/01/24ABK Ogre66-76
19/01/24HRigas Zelli72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW44%
HomeLWWWL46%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%46%43%
Points / game75.077.173.0
Allowed / game76.778.275.4
Point differential-1.8-1.1-2.4
Avg total151.7155.2148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %15%15%14%
Valmiera Glass Via
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL22%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %22%36%8%
Points / game74.174.174.1
Allowed / game84.179.089.6
Point differential-10.0-4.9-15.5
Avg total158.2153.1163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2726196%87.270.0+17.2
2 Prometey2622485%87.267.6+19.7
3 VEF Riga2822679%86.071.8+14.2
4 Ventspils2920969%92.384.9+7.4
5 Tartu Ulikool2718967%76.169.0+7.1
6 BK Ogre29171259%80.477.0+3.4
7 Rigas Zelli28161257%79.774.2+5.5
8 Parnu28141450%77.476.4+1.1
9 Tal Tech28141450%79.179.7-0.6
10 Rapla27121544%75.076.7-1.8
11 BK Liepaja28111739%78.481.6-3.2
12 Keila KK2791833%79.885.8-6.0
13 Valmiera Glass Via2762122%74.184.1-10.0
14 Viimsi2752219%68.186.1-18.1
15 Latvijas Universitate2952417%68.183.9-15.8
16 Tallinna Kalev2742315%69.989.6-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla1324132676
Valmiera Glass Via2224172083
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