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Rapla vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-78
21-26 16-16 20-19 22-17
Position#10
Record9-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game77.7
Rapla 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record16-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v Tartu Ulikool
28 Jan 2025
RAPL92
TUL80
28 Feb 2024
RAPL79
TUL78
04 Feb 2023
RAPL71
TUL78
21 Apr 2022
RAPL77
TUL76
01 Feb 2022
RAPL78
TUL83
24 Apr 2021
RAPL83
TUL55
20 Apr 2021
RAPL67
TUL77
20 Mar 2021
RAPL81
TUL65
13 Dec 2020
RAPL103
TUL69
06 Dec 2020
RAPL86
TUL59
16 Nov 2018
RAPL97
TUL71
04 May 2018
RAPL65
TUL74
20 Jan 2018
RAPL73
TUL89
14 Oct 2017
RAPL84
TUL78
06 May 2017
RAPL79
TUL75
01 May 2017
RAPL71
TUL58
10 Mar 2017
RAPL65
TUL68
28 Jan 2017
RAPL73
TUL79
12 Mar 2016
RAPL83
TUL62
14 Nov 2015
RAPL74
TUL63
21 Feb 2015
RAPL68
TUL84
22 Nov 2014
RAPL64
TUL87
01 Apr 2014
RAPL69
TUL78
19 Oct 2013
RAPL60
TUL71
05 Jan 2013
RAPL51
TUL79
25 Apr 2012
RAPL72
TUL81
24 Mar 2012
RAPL62
TUL81
03 Dec 2011
RAPL73
TUL74
22 Jan 2011
RAPL75
TUL89
13 Nov 2010
RAPL59
TUL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 67
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
61-71
61
71
-10
45avg 67
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 67
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 67
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 67
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
61-66
61
66
-5
52avg 67
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 67
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
45avg 67
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
94avg 67
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
72-61
72
61
+11
62avg 67
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
12-28
16-14
22-20
15-22
11-17
13-12
22-20
21-17
30-22
18-19
17-17
12-21
20-22
22-14
26-22
21-19
20-19
17-13
27-13
12-11
11-18
21-19
17-18
25-24
19-20
21-20
21-30
11-27
18-26
12-11
13-18
21-24
25-13
20-21
17-25
20-22
19-12
12-17
21-10
152.1Avg total
75.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.977.7152.6-2.839%
Season at home (11)77.478.4155.7-1.045%
Season away (12)72.777.1149.8-4.433%
Last 10 (10)75.177.0152.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)74.278.4152.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.880.3149.1-11.518%
vs Similar (13)78.080.2158.2-2.238%
vs Weaker (6)78.870.8149.7+8.067%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
73-88
73
88
-15
70avg 72
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Svendborg
#15
W
83-41
83
41
+42
80avg 72
H09/01
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 72
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
76-24
76
24
+52
76avg 72
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Lublin
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 72
A22/01
ENBL
Juventus
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
47avg 72
A24/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
63-92
63
92
-29
41avg 72
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
84avg 72
H02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
63avg 72
A06/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
98-68
98
68
+30
93avg 72
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
16-29
17-21
12-22
28-12
17-18
18-5
20-6
21-23
23-10
19-24
21-21
17-2
24-6
14-8
21-8
23-19
21-18
14-30
17-18
14-17
17-29
16-20
16-22
11-21
17-26
15-22
20-23
18-23
25-17
23-12
21-19
18-17
22-13
10-16
19-15
25-13
19-17
22-16
32-22
146.7Avg total
77.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.070.6148.6+7.470%
Season at home (12)78.866.8145.5+12.083%
Season away (11)77.274.8152.0+2.455%
Last 10 (10)77.169.6146.7+7.560%
Last 5 (5)76.076.0152.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.783.0154.7-11.329%
vs Similar (5)72.877.2150.0-4.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.265.9148.1+16.389%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
RaplaTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
77.2Avg total
36.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.840.976.7-5.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.942.278.1-6.327%-
Last 30 away (15)35.839.575.3-3.747%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.177.2-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.475.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.743.474.1-12.69%-
vs Similar (13)38.340.779.0-2.438%-
vs Weaker (6)39.836.776.5+3.283%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Svendborg
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H09/01
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-8
41
8
+33
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Lublin
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A22/01
ENBL
Juventus
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A24/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A06/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
75.0Avg total
40.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.773.9+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.631.771.2+7.981%-
Last 30 away (14)38.738.176.9+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.434.675.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.675.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.939.675.4-3.729%-
vs Similar (5)35.438.473.8-3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.531.873.3+9.789%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.2
52.6%
50.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
32.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.310.3
63.2%
70.5%10.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.1
46.8%
50.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.1
32.4%
32.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.712.2
68.9%
70.5%12.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WWLLLWWWLL
Tartu Ulikool
WWWLLLWWWL
#10
League position
#5
-2.0
Net rating
+9.0
98.2
Offensive rating
101.4
100.1
Defensive rating
92.4
48.6%
Effective FG%
47.5%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.1%
3-point %
32.4%
66.9%
Assist %
62.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 101.4Defence100.1 · 92.4Shooting48.6% · 47.5%3-point %28.1% · 32.4%Ball care18.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 30.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Rapla   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rapla wins
5
Tartu Ulikool wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Tartu Ulikool v Rapla71-61
04/02/23Rapla v Tartu Ulikool71-78
13/12/22Tartu Ulikool v Rapla73-51
21/04/22Rapla v Tartu Ulikool77-76
01/02/22Rapla v Tartu Ulikool78-83
08/12/21Tartu Ulikool v Rapla94-98 OT
24/04/21Rapla v Tartu Ulikool83-55
23/04/21Tartu Ulikool v Rapla54-74
20/04/21Rapla v Tartu Ulikool67-77
20/03/21Rapla v Tartu Ulikool81-65
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/24HBK Ogre72-61
30/01/24HBK Liepaja98-89 OT
24/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo54-82
20/01/24HKeila KK86-94
17/01/24AParnu61-66
06/01/24HViimsi85-64
22/12/23HTal Tech80-79
15/12/23AKeila KK86-75
09/12/23ATartu Ulikool61-71
05/12/23HRigas Zelli68-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ALatvijas Universitate98-68
06/02/24AValmiera Glass Via69-61
02/02/24HTallinna Kalev87-71
30/01/24AVentspils63-92
24/01/24AJuventus63-88
22/01/24ALublin75-85
18/01/24HViimsi76-24
14/01/24ABK Liepaja84-78
09/01/24HSvendborg83-41
06/01/24AVEF Riga73-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW39%
HomeWWLWW45%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%45%33%
Points / game74.977.472.7
Allowed / game77.778.477.1
Point differential-2.8-1.0-4.4
Avg total152.6155.7149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %17%18%17%
Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%83%55%
Points / game78.078.877.2
Allowed / game70.666.874.8
Point differential+7.4+12.0+2.4
Avg total148.6145.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%58%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2423196%87.069.8+17.2
2 Prometey2321291%91.768.9+22.8
3 VEF Riga2419579%86.471.0+15.4
4 Ventspils2316770%92.883.7+9.0
5 Tartu Ulikool2316770%78.070.6+7.4
6 Rigas Zelli26161062%80.474.3+6.1
7 BK Ogre25141156%79.276.6+2.7
8 Parnu24121250%78.677.0+1.5
9 Tal Tech24111346%77.480.0-2.6
10 BK Liepaja23101343%79.581.4-1.9
11 Rapla2391439%74.977.7-2.8
12 Keila KK2491538%81.086.3-5.4
13 Viimsi2552020%67.185.4-18.2
14 Valmiera Glass Via2341917%73.485.7-12.3
15 Tallinna Kalev2332013%69.689.8-20.2
16 Latvijas Universitate2532212%67.885.6-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla2116202279
Tartu Ulikool2616191778
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