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Real Madrid vs Anadolu Efes Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:45
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#14
Record4-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game86.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· Movistar Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Real Madrid v Anadolu Efes
14 Jan 2027
MAD v EFS
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
MAD82
EFS71
14 Nov 2024
MAD64
EFS74
05 Jan 2024
MAD130
EFS126
10 Nov 2022
MAD94
EFS85
21 May 2022
MAD57
EFS58
30 Sep 2021
MAD82
EFS69
29 Apr 2021
MAD82
EFS76
27 Apr 2021
MAD80
EFS76
30 Mar 2021
MAD83
EFS108
24 Jan 2019
MAD92
EFS84
25 Jan 2018
MAD87
EFS68
07 Apr 2017
MAD97
EFS80
17 Apr 2015
MAD90
EFS85
15 Apr 2015
MAD80
EFS71
18 Dec 2014
MAD90
EFS70
13 Nov 2013
MAD103
EFS57
04 Apr 2013
MAD86
EFS66
17 Nov 2011
MAD104
EFS84
03 Feb 2011
MAD89
EFS86
27 Jan 2010
MAD77
EFS70
14 Jan 2009
MAD80
EFS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Anadolu Efes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Real Madrid
6.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 94.5
110.6▲ 16.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.1
86.2▲ 0.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 63%
67%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.5
24.0▲ 3.5
🔥 Form · Anadolu Efes
4.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.0
84.6▲ 0.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.2
83.2▲ 1.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
61%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.9
21.4▲ 2.5
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
120-83
120
83
+37
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-92
111
92
+19
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#9
W
119-84
119
84
+35
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
122-86
122
86
+36
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
34-22
28-16
24-18
34-27
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
196.0Avg total
108.2Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)96.288.0184.2+8.267%
Season at home (3)97.381.3178.7+16.0100%
Season away (6)95.791.3187.0+4.350%
Last 10 (10)108.287.8196.0+20.4100%
Last 5 (5)110.686.2196.8+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (9)94.089.9183.9+4.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)99.589.8189.3+9.660%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A09/10
Euroleague
Denizli Basket
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#18
L
93-101
93
101
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A16/10
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H22/10
Euroleague
Korfez Basket
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
88-118
88
118
-30
A28/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
26-18
16-15
24-26
16-26
15-9
18-27
17-27
26-16
24-18
22-27
13-15
22-26
24-28
22-21
25-26
21-12
21-24
25-20
18-14
18-24
25-19
15-9
12-21
29-17
28-19
11-24
21-20
24-14
25-18
18-30
26-15
21-27
20-36
18-27
29-28
21-18
24-19
16-14
22-17
166.8Avg total
83.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.686.2169.8-2.744%
Season at home (4)89.883.2173.0+6.575%
Season away (5)78.688.6167.2-10.020%
Last 10 (10)83.783.1166.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)84.683.2167.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.784.6164.2-4.944%
vs Similar (11)83.682.5166.2+1.155%
vs Weaker (10)89.479.2168.6+10.280%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
Real MadridAnadolu Efes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#9
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
97.4Avg total
55.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.944.593.4+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.743.292.9+6.571%-
Last 30 away (16)48.245.693.8+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)55.342.197.4+13.290%-
Last 5 (5)54.043.097.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (9)46.146.192.2+0.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)50.443.994.3+6.575%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A09/10
Euroleague
Denizli Basket
#13
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#18
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/10
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#11
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H22/10
Euroleague
Korfez Basket
#9
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A28/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/10
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
44.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.884.4+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.440.487.8+6.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.339.281.5+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.885.7+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.289.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.341.383.7+1.044%-
vs Similar (11)43.739.082.7+4.764%-
vs Weaker (10)47.839.287.0+8.680%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.3
57.0%
55.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.615.3
43.0%
35.7%45.9
🏀 Free throws26.621.9
82.3%
77.1%21.9
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.0
57.4%
55.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.9
80.1%
77.1%14.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
Anadolu Efes
WLWWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#14
+22.2
Net rating
-0.8
114.9
Offensive rating
96.6
92.7
Defensive rating
97.5
60.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
13.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
43.0%
3-point %
34.1%
64.9%
Assist %
70.2%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 96.6Defence92.7 · 97.5Shooting60.7% · 54.9%3-point %43.0% · 34.1%Ball care13.2% · 16.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Anadolu Efes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
5
Anadolu Efes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92
13/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-89
11/10/26HManresa120-83
08/10/26HPartizan86-76
04/10/26AObradoiro CAB114-107 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HPanathinaikos83-68
28/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv88-118
25/10/26HKorfez Basket93-77
22/10/26HBesiktas89-80
19/10/26AEsenler Erokspor70-73
16/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas85-70
14/10/26HBayern93-101
11/10/26HDenizli Basket85-76
09/10/26AOlympiacos66-89
04/10/26ABordo Bandirma85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game96.297.395.7
Allowed / game88.081.391.3
Point differential+8.2+16.0+4.3
Avg total184.2178.7187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Anadolu Efes
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game83.689.878.6
Allowed / game86.283.288.6
Point differential-2.7+6.5-10.0
Avg total169.8173.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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