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Real Madrid vs Anadolu Efes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-108
20-20 22-21 22-35 19-32
Position#7
Record18-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#3
Record20-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32
European cup2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v Anadolu Efes
14 Jan 2027
MAD v EFS
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
MAD82
EFS71
14 Nov 2024
MAD64
EFS74
05 Jan 2024
MAD130
EFS126
10 Nov 2022
MAD94
EFS85
21 May 2022
MAD57
EFS58
30 Sep 2021
MAD82
EFS69
29 Apr 2021
MAD82
EFS76
27 Apr 2021
MAD80
EFS76
30 Mar 2021
MAD83
EFS108
24 Jan 2019
MAD92
EFS84
25 Jan 2018
MAD87
EFS68
07 Apr 2017
MAD97
EFS80
17 Apr 2015
MAD90
EFS85
15 Apr 2015
MAD80
EFS71
18 Dec 2014
MAD90
EFS70
13 Nov 2013
MAD103
EFS57
04 Apr 2013
MAD86
EFS66
17 Nov 2011
MAD104
EFS84
03 Feb 2011
MAD89
EFS86
27 Jan 2010
MAD77
EFS70
14 Jan 2009
MAD80
EFS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Anadolu Efes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
L
77-78
77
78
-1
76avg 78
A02/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
69avg 78
A04/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
74-58
74
58
+16
69avg 78
A07/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 78
H11/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
85-74
85
74
+11
86avg 78
A14/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 78
H18/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
95-77
95
77
+18
78avg 78
H21/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
87-71
87
71
+16
76avg 78
A23/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 78
A25/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
77-76
77
76
+1
72avg 78
A27/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-28
24-17
15-16
24-13
14-16
14-29
23-13
16-6
14-18
20-20
24-14
19-24
19-17
16-16
22-24
27-20
18-16
21-24
19-14
21-23
20-32
26-19
22-22
18-14
28-24
24-13
25-26
23-16
19-16
16-17
29-22
20-23
12-14
24-14
18-20
17-13
18-19
19-16
23-28
156.2Avg total
80.9Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.877.3157.1+2.558%
Season at home (15)82.277.3159.5+4.960%
Season away (16)77.677.4154.9+0.256%
Last 10 (10)80.975.3156.2+5.670%
Last 5 (5)84.478.2162.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.078.0152.0-4.033%
vs Similar (10)79.480.4159.8-1.050%
vs Weaker (16)81.873.4155.2+8.488%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEfes
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
99-83
99
83
+16
98avg 82
H02/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
100-70
100
70
+30
102avg 82
H04/03
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#9
L
85-103
85
103
-18
78avg 82
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 82
H12/03
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#8
W
102-63
102
63
+39
106avg 82
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
90-66
90
66
+24
92avg 82
A16/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
79-80
79
80
-1
72avg 82
A19/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#3
W
98-89
98
89
+9
96avg 82
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#16
W
85-65
85
65
+20
no box
H25/03
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
87-80
87
80
+7
86avg 82
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
28-17
22-18
31-25
31-13
24-15
20-17
25-25
24-22
27-30
7-20
27-31
26-12
23-16
27-20
13-14
23-20
19-15
31-12
29-16
22-17
25-14
24-16
19-19
23-18
23-19
17-22
16-21
25-29
25-17
24-18
24-25
24-21
19-12
17-16
25-16
32-20
12-25
21-20
22-15
167.5Avg total
91.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.775.2157.9+7.565%
Season at home (17)80.672.1152.8+8.565%
Season away (14)85.178.9164.1+6.264%
Last 10 (10)91.476.1167.5+15.380%
Last 5 (5)87.876.0163.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)88.974.6163.5+14.385%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Real MadridAnadolu Efes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A04/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A07/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H11/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/03
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H18/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A23/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/03
ACB
75.4Avg total
38.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.378.2+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.040.182.1+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)37.836.574.3+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.975.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.878.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.343.376.7-10.00%-
vs Similar (10)39.241.680.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker (16)41.035.676.6+5.469%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H02/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H04/03
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#9
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H12/03
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A16/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A19/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#3
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H25/03
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.8Avg total
47.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.437.784.1+8.783%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.035.782.7+11.388%-
Last 30 away (13)45.740.386.0+5.477%-
Last 10 (10)47.337.584.8+9.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.484.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)50.738.389.0+12.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.037.683.6+8.381%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.0
54.5%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.2
38.2%
38.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
79.3%15.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.319.4
62.0%
52.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.512.5
43.9%
38.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws17.914.7
82.1%
79.3%14.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWLWLWWL
Anadolu Efes
WWWLWWWLWW
#7
League position
#3
+5.2
Net rating
+22.6
113.8
Offensive rating
127.9
108.6
Defensive rating
105.3
55.6%
Effective FG%
63.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.2%
3-point %
43.9%
52.1%
Assist %
67.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 127.9Defence108.6 · 105.3Shooting55.6% · 63.8%3-point %38.2% · 43.9%Ball care18.8% · 15.4%Off. rebounds33.4% · 26.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Anadolu Efes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Anadolu Efes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/21AManresa77-76
25/03/21ALyon-Villeurbanne74-71
23/03/21AObradoiro CAB87-71
21/03/21HReal Betis95-77
18/03/21HCSKA Moscow89-96
14/03/21ABaskonia85-74
11/03/21HBarcelona76-81
07/03/21AMurcia74-58
04/03/21AZenit Petersburg75-71
02/03/21AKhimki M.77-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/21HPetkim Spor87-80
25/03/21HPanathinaikos85-65
21/03/21AKarsiyaka98-89
19/03/21ABayern79-80
16/03/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-66
14/03/21HGaziantep102-63
12/03/21HZalgiris Kaunas89-62
07/03/21AAfyon Belediye85-103
04/03/21HCSKA Moscow100-70
02/03/21HValencia99-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game79.882.277.6
Allowed / game77.377.377.4
Point differential+2.5+4.9+0.2
Avg total157.1159.5154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)0% (3)67% (9)
Overtime %10%0%19%
Anadolu Efes
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayLWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %65%65%64%
Points / game82.780.685.1
Allowed / game75.272.178.9
Point differential+7.5+8.5+6.2
Avg total157.9152.8164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%41%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3123874%80.572.5+7.9
2 CSKA Moscow30201067%83.480.3+3.1
3 Anadolu Efes31201165%82.775.2+7.5
4 Olimpia Milano31191261%80.478.0+2.5
5 Bayern31191261%78.777.7+1.0
6 Fenerbahce31191261%79.178.9+0.2
7 Real Madrid31181358%79.877.3+2.5
8 Zenit Petersburg30171357%77.075.2+1.8
9 Baskonia31171455%79.776.1+3.6
10 Valencia31171455%81.580.9+0.7
11 Zalgiris Kaunas31151648%76.577.7-1.3
12 Olympiacos31141745%78.780.2-1.5
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv29121741%78.479.4-1.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne30121840%77.580.4-2.9
15 Alba Berlin31112035%78.182.8-4.7
16 Panathinaikos29101934%79.281.7-2.5
17 Crvena zvezda3192229%74.679.7-5.1
18 Khimki M.3032710%77.990.4-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2022221983
Anadolu Efes20213532108
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