PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Anadolu Efes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 130-126 (OT)
25-18 13-18 26-25 17-20 49-45
Position#1
Record16-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#10
Record7-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game87.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Anadolu Efes
14 Jan 2027
MAD v EFS
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
MAD82
EFS71
14 Nov 2024
MAD64
EFS74
05 Jan 2024
MAD130
EFS126
10 Nov 2022
MAD94
EFS85
21 May 2022
MAD57
EFS58
30 Sep 2021
MAD82
EFS69
29 Apr 2021
MAD82
EFS76
27 Apr 2021
MAD80
EFS76
30 Mar 2021
MAD83
EFS108
24 Jan 2019
MAD92
EFS84
25 Jan 2018
MAD87
EFS68
07 Apr 2017
MAD97
EFS80
17 Apr 2015
MAD90
EFS85
15 Apr 2015
MAD80
EFS71
18 Dec 2014
MAD90
EFS70
13 Nov 2013
MAD103
EFS57
04 Apr 2013
MAD86
EFS66
17 Nov 2011
MAD104
EFS84
03 Feb 2011
MAD89
EFS86
27 Jan 2010
MAD77
EFS70
14 Jan 2009
MAD80
EFS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Anadolu Efes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
92avg 75
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
94avg 75
H10/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 75
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-74
85
74
+11
69avg 75
A16/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
72-58
72
58
+14
74avg 75
A19/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
88avg 75
H21/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
101-73
101
73
+28
106avg 75
A23/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
77-76
77
76
+1
71avg 75
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
81avg 75
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 75
A03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
22-22
26-10
18-23
31-14
23-23
20-16
23-18
19-23
23-14
21-20
25-16
15-19
24-15
23-14
23-26
20-20
25-14
16-11
11-13
26-19
22-17
28-15
15-24
26-18
27-17
26-20
22-18
18-19
15-20
18-18
26-19
20-15
21-19
26-19
16-21
25-21
22-24
15-15
16-23
159.7Avg total
86.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.975.0161.9+11.989%
Season at home (8)89.473.0162.4+16.4100%
Season away (10)85.076.6161.6+8.480%
Last 10 (10)86.273.5159.7+12.790%
Last 5 (5)86.076.2162.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)86.782.7169.3+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.074.8163.8+14.293%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEfes
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 77
A07/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 77
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
86-95
86
95
-9
72avg 77
A14/12
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 77
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#15
L
71-86
71
86
-15
67avg 77
A20/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
80-87
80
87
-7
71avg 77
H22/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
70avg 77
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#7
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 77
H28/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#13
W
85-78
85
78
+7
86avg 77
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#14
L
88-93
88
93
-5
82avg 77
A03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
15-25
27-25
33-24
24-21
25-23
20-15
12-21
20-29
28-16
16-21
22-29
14-21
22-28
18-13
23-23
17-20
24-30
18-21
12-15
17-17
19-19
24-21
20-30
17-15
24-18
10-17
20-19
29-29
23-18
16-22
16-20
26-22
17-17
19-16
23-23
18-18
27-25
21-28
22-22
167.1Avg total
82.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.687.4169.0-5.839%
Season at home (8)83.485.0168.4-1.662%
Season away (10)80.289.3169.5-9.120%
Last 10 (10)82.085.1167.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)81.683.2164.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.383.7161.0-6.367%
vs Similar (15)82.487.2169.6-4.833%
vs Weaker (12)87.479.4166.8+8.092%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
Real MadridAnadolu Efes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A16/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A19/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A23/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/01
Euroleague
82.4Avg total
44.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.136.581.6+8.687%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.035.381.3+10.787%-
Last 30 away (15)44.137.781.8+6.587%-
Last 10 (10)44.837.682.4+7.290%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.882.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.740.085.7+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.036.181.1+8.985%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A14/12
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#15
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A20/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#7
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H28/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A03/01
Euroleague
85.4Avg total
42.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.383.2+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.739.883.5+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.140.882.9+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.685.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.683.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.343.385.7-1.067%-
vs Similar (15)42.841.384.1+1.560%-
vs Weaker (12)43.138.281.3+4.875%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.120.2
59.2%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.6
37.3%
36.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.613.0
78.3%
77.4%13.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.8
54.4%
53.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.1
31.9%
36.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.913.2
83.0%
77.4%13.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWWWWWW
Anadolu Efes
LWLWLLLLWW
#1
League position
#10
+16.8
Net rating
-4.4
114.5
Offensive rating
111.3
97.7
Defensive rating
115.7
57.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.3%
3-point %
31.9%
70.1%
Assist %
60.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 111.3Defence97.7 · 115.7Shooting57.8% · 51.8%3-point %37.3% · 31.9%Ball care17.4% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.1% · 34.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Anadolu Efes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
5
Anadolu Efes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24ABarcelona78-83
31/12/23HValencia83-74
28/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-76
23/12/23AJoventut Badalona101-73
21/12/23HPartizan91-75
19/12/23ACrvena zvezda72-58
16/12/23AObradoiro CAB85-74
14/12/23HBayern88-73
10/12/23HGran Canaria97-71
07/12/23APanathinaikos90-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24AValencia88-93
30/12/23HDarussafaka85-78
28/12/23HFenerbahce84-89
24/12/23ATurk Telekom71-69
22/12/23HBaskonia80-87
20/12/23ABayern71-86
16/12/23ABesiktas77-85
14/12/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv86-95
11/12/23HFenerbahce81-80
07/12/23AAlba Berlin97-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game86.989.485.0
Allowed / game75.073.076.6
Point differential+11.9+16.4+8.4
Avg total161.9162.4161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%88%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Anadolu Efes
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%62%20%
Points / game81.683.480.2
Allowed / game87.485.089.3
Point differential-5.8-1.6-9.1
Avg total169.0168.4169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)80% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1816289%86.975.0+11.9
2 Virtus Bologna1914574%82.679.8+2.7
3 Barcelona1913668%82.879.3+3.5
4 Olympiacos1911858%77.473.9+3.5
5 Panathinaikos1911858%81.679.3+2.3
6 Fenerbahce1911858%83.281.1+2.2
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv1911858%86.287.7-1.5
8 Monaco1910953%80.979.7+1.2
9 Partizan1910953%84.784.0+0.7
10 Valencia1910953%75.975.6+0.4
11 Baskonia1910953%81.982.5-0.6
12 Olimpia Milano1981142%78.676.5+2.2
13 Crvena zvezda1981142%81.479.9+1.5
14 Bayern1981142%78.881.4-2.5
15 Anadolu Efes1871139%81.687.4-5.8
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1961332%78.581.3-2.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1931616%79.187.4-8.3
18 Alba Berlin1931616%75.385.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Real Madrid2513261749130
Anadolu Efes1818252045126
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.