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Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 58-74
6-16 18-14 20-20 14-24
Position#12
Record8-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#1
Record21-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game75.8
SpainACBRound 25
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Murcia v Real Madrid
31 Jan 2027
MUR v MAD
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
MUR80
MAD91
03 Nov 2024
MUR64
MAD85
12 Jun 2024
MUR73
MAD84
14 Jan 2024
MUR73
MAD61
12 Feb 2023
MUR80
MAD88
19 Dec 2021
MUR71
MAD80
07 Mar 2021
MUR58
MAD74
02 May 2019
MUR80
MAD82
12 May 2018
MUR61
MAD63
05 Feb 2017
MUR61
MAD89
29 May 2016
MUR91
MAD87
03 Apr 2016
MUR99
MAD104
22 Mar 2015
MUR86
MAD79
27 Oct 2013
MUR81
MAD88
04 Nov 2012
MUR64
MAD79
08 Jan 2012
MUR60
MAD91
07 Feb 2010
MUR67
MAD96
15 Mar 2009
MUR77
MAD88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H09/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A20/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A23/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H27/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H23/01
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
93-103
93
103
-10
H26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
63-92
63
92
-29
A31/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A02/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H07/02
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A27/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
29-20
19-24
17-14
22-14
21-28
19-18
16-29
22-26
21-30
24-28
26-20
25-22
18-13
22-20
28-21
18-20
17-17
19-11
21-33
18-28
20-18
26-28
29-29
11-20
25-17
9-25
18-30
32-24
19-23
9-26
27-25
21-22
21-22
21-24
21-23
18-18
13-24
29-18
24-25
173.2Avg total
84.0Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.785.0166.7-3.436%
Season at home (11)83.581.1164.6+2.555%
Season away (11)79.889.0168.8-9.218%
Last 10 (10)84.089.2173.2-5.220%
Last 5 (5)82.293.8176.0-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.484.0163.4-4.636%
vs Similar (15)81.887.7169.5-5.920%
vs Weaker (4)82.572.0154.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
L
64-84
64
84
-20
H05/02
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A07/02
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H11/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H25/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H27/02
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A02/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A04/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
19-9
18-23
12-24
22-12
13-23
19-16
25-14
29-17
20-17
14-21
22-19
19-23
21-23
25-16
20-17
11-20
20-32
19-17
23-19
21-29
14-26
17-16
26-18
21-13
15-18
15-11
19-16
29-13
19-19
22-22
26-27
18-17
20-28
24-17
15-16
24-13
14-16
14-29
23-13
154.9Avg total
78.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.475.8163.2+11.595%
Season at home (12)90.380.3170.7+10.092%
Season away (10)83.870.4154.2+13.4100%
Last 10 (10)78.276.7154.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)79.275.4154.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.0156.0-4.033%
vs Similar (11)79.178.4157.5+0.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.175.3159.4+8.787%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
MurciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H09/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A23/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/01
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A31/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/02
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/02
ACB
83.7Avg total
41.6Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.379.9-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.876.9+1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)40.242.883.0-2.647%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.183.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.282.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.636.478.0+5.364%-
vs Similar (15)38.244.782.9-6.520%-
vs Weaker (4)39.534.874.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/02
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/02
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H11/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#8
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H25/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/02
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A04/03
Euroleague
78.0Avg total
38.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.777.4+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.738.680.4+3.153%-
Last 30 away (13)37.036.573.5+0.562%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.678.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.477.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (11)38.038.476.4-0.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.036.177.1+4.967%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.5
50.7%
53.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.5
33.7%
36.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.314.7
72.4%
76.6%14.7
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.2
51.6%
53.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.8
38.1%
36.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
76.6%12.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLLLLLWLLW
Real Madrid
WLWWLLWWWL
#12
League position
#1
-6.8
Net rating
+5.1
108.1
Offensive rating
110.4
114.9
Defensive rating
105.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
38.5%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.7%
3-point %
38.1%
51.7%
Assist %
53.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 110.4Defence114.9 · 105.3Shooting50.7% · 53.9%3-point %33.7% · 38.1%Ball care19.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds38.5% · 31.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murcia wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
02/02/21Real Madrid v Murcia98-87
02/05/19Murcia v Real Madrid80-82
23/12/18Real Madrid v Murcia80-74
12/05/18Murcia v Real Madrid61-63
10/12/17Real Madrid v Murcia87-85 OT
05/02/17Murcia v Real Madrid61-89
16/10/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-86
31/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-72
29/05/16Murcia v Real Madrid91-87
27/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia107-103
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21AManresa84-85
07/02/21HJoventut Badalona84-91
02/02/21AReal Madrid87-98
31/01/21ABarcelona63-92
26/01/21HManresa93-103
23/01/21HSan Pablo Burgos75-81
27/12/20HObradoiro CAB93-76
23/12/20AJoventut Badalona93-104
20/12/20AValencia78-89
09/12/20HGipuzkoa90-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/21AZenit Petersburg75-71
02/03/21AKhimki M.77-78
27/02/21HSan Pablo Burgos96-81
25/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas70-58
19/02/21AValencia78-89
14/02/21HBarcelona73-88
13/02/21HTenerife85-79
11/02/21HValencia85-74
07/02/21AEstudiantes79-65
05/02/21HBaskonia64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL55%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game81.783.579.8
Allowed / game85.081.189.0
Point differential-3.4+2.5-9.2
Avg total166.7164.6168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %95%92%100%
Points / game87.490.383.8
Allowed / game75.880.370.4
Point differential+11.5+10.0+13.4
Avg total163.2170.7154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2221195%87.475.8+11.5
2 Barcelona2219386%86.572.9+13.6
3 Tenerife2318578%88.279.4+8.7
4 Baskonia2318578%83.376.3+7.0
5 Valencia2316770%85.880.2+5.6
6 San Pablo Burgos2215768%87.281.3+5.9
7 Joventut Badalona23131057%84.583.7+0.9
8 Unicaja23111248%85.582.5+3.0
9 Manresa23111248%82.886.0-3.2
10 MoraBanc Andorra21101148%79.078.3+0.7
11 Basket Zaragoza24101442%87.087.3-0.3
12 Gran Canaria2391439%78.485.0-6.6
13 Murcia2281436%81.785.0-3.4
14 Obradoiro CAB2171433%79.284.7-5.5
15 Fuenlabrada2371630%81.184.3-3.2
16 Estudiantes2261627%79.485.0-5.6
17 Real Betis2251723%76.884.0-7.3
18 Bilbao2351822%78.686.3-7.7
19 Gipuzkoa2351822%73.387.3-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia618201458
Real Madrid1614202474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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