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Real Madrid vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 89-96
21-23 20-32 26-19 22-22
Position#7
Record17-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game76.9
Real Madrid
vs
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Position#1
Record18-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow
23 Dec 2021
MAD71
CMO65
18 Mar 2021
MAD89
CMO96
29 Nov 2018
MAD88
CMO93
19 Oct 2017
MAD82
CMO69
21 May 2017
MAD70
CMO94
06 Jan 2017
MAD95
CMO85
02 Mar 2016
MAD87
CMO96
20 Mar 2014
MAD93
CMO79
31 Jan 2013
MAD86
CMO78
06 Nov 2008
MAD54
CMO58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
68avg 78
A19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
70-58
70
58
+12
72avg 78
H25/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 78
H27/02
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
L
77-78
77
78
-1
76avg 78
A02/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
69avg 78
A04/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
74-58
74
58
+16
69avg 78
A07/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 78
H11/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
85-74
85
74
+11
86avg 78
A14/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
21-23
25-16
20-17
11-20
20-32
19-17
23-19
21-29
14-26
17-16
26-18
21-13
15-18
15-11
19-16
29-13
19-19
22-22
26-27
18-17
20-28
24-17
15-16
24-13
14-16
14-29
23-13
16-6
14-18
20-20
24-14
19-24
19-17
16-16
22-24
27-20
18-16
21-24
19-14
154.6Avg total
78.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.776.9156.6+2.859%
Season at home (14)81.775.9157.6+5.864%
Season away (15)77.877.8155.6+0.053%
Last 10 (10)78.975.7154.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)77.472.4149.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.080.2156.2-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.179.0158.1+0.160%
vs Weaker (15)83.774.5158.2+9.187%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
no box
A04/02
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
102-107
102
107
-5
96avg 81
H07/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A10/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 81
H13/02
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 81
A25/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
72avg 81
A02/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
60avg 81
A04/03
Euroleague
Minsk
#13
W
101-67
101
67
+34
107avg 81
H07/03
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
62avg 81
H11/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
88avg 81
H15/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
26-22
20-17
21-20
25-21
23-20
31-27
23-39
22-22
22-11
22-22
25-25
19-22
10-17
17-20
25-15
24-12
20-14
15-23
16-25
23-23
28-10
17-19
16-28
13-31
15-24
17-20
25-25
27-16
22-13
29-18
23-20
10-30
24-17
21-23
21-14
29-15
22-15
16-15
25-28
170.9Avg total
86.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.980.3163.1+2.664%
Season at home (13)81.376.4157.7+4.962%
Season away (15)84.283.7167.9+0.567%
Last 10 (10)86.584.4170.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)84.680.8165.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.481.2162.7+0.244%
vs Weaker (21)88.377.1165.4+11.276%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
Real MadridCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#8
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H25/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/02
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A04/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A07/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H11/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/03
ACB
77.0Avg total
37.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.477.2+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.938.680.5+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)37.336.173.4+1.164%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.177.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.072.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.544.080.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.239.177.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker (15)41.134.875.9+6.373%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A04/02
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A10/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H13/02
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A25/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A02/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A04/03
Euroleague
Minsk
#13
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H07/03
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H11/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#7
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H15/03
VTB United League
80.1Avg total
42.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.938.282.1+5.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.436.679.0+5.957%-
Last 30 away (16)45.239.684.8+5.762%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.080.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.881.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.140.678.7-2.433%-
vs Weaker (21)46.437.183.6+9.371%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.4
53.2%
52.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.7
38.8%
38.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.311.5
75.2%
79.3%11.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.0
53.7%
52.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
38.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.617.1
79.2%
79.3%17.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWLWWLLW
CSKA Moscow
WLWLWWLWLL
#7
League position
#1
+2.9
Net rating
+2.4
110.1
Offensive rating
114.2
107.2
Defensive rating
111.7
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.8%
3-point %
35.9%
53.3%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 114.2Defence107.2 · 111.7Shooting55.2% · 53.8%3-point %38.8% · 35.9%Ball care19.3% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 33.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
7
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
26/11/20CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid74-73
17/05/19CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid95-90
08/02/19CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid82-78
29/11/18Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow88-93
18/05/18CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid83-92
01/02/18CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid93-87
19/10/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow82-69
21/05/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow70-94
06/01/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow95-85
11/11/16CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid91-90
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21ABaskonia85-74
11/03/21HBarcelona76-81
07/03/21AMurcia74-58
04/03/21AZenit Petersburg75-71
02/03/21AKhimki M.77-78
27/02/21HSan Pablo Burgos96-81
25/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas70-58
19/02/21AValencia78-89
14/02/21HBarcelona73-88
13/02/21HTenerife85-79
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/21HKhimki M.92-73
11/03/21HOlimpia Milano76-84
07/03/21HMinsk101-67
04/03/21AAnadolu Efes70-100
02/03/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv84-80
25/02/21AOlympiacos75-74
13/02/21HZenit Petersburg71-74
10/02/21AEnisey91-80
07/02/21HBC Kalev/Cramo102-107
04/02/21AValencia103-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL59%
HomeLWLWL64%
AwayLWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%64%53%
Points / game79.781.777.8
Allowed / game76.975.977.8
Point differential+2.8+5.8+0.0
Avg total156.6157.6155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)0% (3)62% (8)
Overtime %10%0%20%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWLLLL62%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %64%62%67%
Points / game82.981.384.2
Allowed / game80.376.483.7
Point differential+2.6+4.9+0.5
Avg total163.1157.7167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)60% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %14%0%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2921872%80.873.3+7.5
2 Anadolu Efes29191066%82.775.4+7.3
3 Olimpia Milano29191066%81.777.9+3.8
4 CSKA Moscow28181064%82.980.3+2.6
5 Bayern29181162%78.777.4+1.3
6 Fenerbahce30181260%79.279.1+0.1
7 Real Madrid29171259%79.776.9+2.8
8 Zenit Petersburg29161355%76.675.4+1.2
9 Baskonia30161453%79.576.3+3.2
10 Valencia29151452%81.781.5+0.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas30151550%76.377.4-1.1
12 Olympiacos30141647%78.980.3-1.4
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne29121741%77.780.6-2.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv28111739%78.079.3-1.3
15 Panathinaikos27101737%79.681.4-1.8
16 Alba Berlin30111937%78.582.9-4.5
17 Crvena zvezda2982128%74.379.4-5.0
18 Khimki M.2832511%78.690.9-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2120262289
CSKA Moscow2332192296
← all games of the day
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