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Basket Zaragoza vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 70-79
17-20 9-17 19-26 25-16
Position#12
Record11-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game85.8
Basket Zaragoza
Spain
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record24-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game78.9
SpainACBRound 30· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid
20 Dec 2026
ZAR v MAD
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
ZAR83
MAD95
30 May 2025
ZAR89
MAD104
21 Apr 2024
ZAR70
MAD79
06 Nov 2022
ZAR94
MAD89
04 Dec 2021
ZAR65
MAD86
02 May 2021
ZAR89
MAD98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
100-106
100
106
-6
96avg 75
H10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
68-109
68
109
-41
54avg 75
A03/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
64-98
64
98
-34
53avg 75
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
L
85-111
85
111
-26
79avg 75
A09/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
86-102
86
102
-16
74avg 75
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Palencia
#18
W
103-96
103
96
+7
105avg 75
H17/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 75
A23/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
94-102
94
102
-8
92avg 75
A30/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
98-79
98
79
+19
97avg 75
H06/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 75
A13/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
26-29
29-25
27-28
16-21
18-29
20-29
14-30
24-30
13-28
8-20
19-20
12-21
15-26
27-30
31-34
18-18
20-26
25-35
23-23
30-17
16-25
31-23
26-31
16-19
21-20
16-25
27-21
18-30
22-28
26-23
28-21
27-23
21-23
20-26
30-7
13-26
15-23
16-18
28-16
182.1Avg total
85.0Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.685.8168.4-3.238%
Season at home (14)88.584.0172.5+4.564%
Season away (15)77.187.5164.7-10.413%
Last 10 (10)85.097.1182.1-12.120%
Last 5 (5)89.489.0178.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.489.9169.4-10.529%
vs Similar (14)80.679.6160.2+1.143%
vs Weaker (2)95.588.0183.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 84
A17/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 84
A19/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
88-76
88
76
+12
88avg 84
A21/03
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
86-78
86
78
+8
87avg 84
A24/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
101-94
101
94
+7
100avg 84
H29/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
66avg 84
H31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
86avg 84
H05/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 84
A07/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
64avg 84
A11/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
95-92
95
92
+3
86avg 84
H14/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-21
16-24
23-17
16-26
20-14
22-17
28-22
13-13
20-18
35-23
20-22
17-13
26-17
23-26
20-22
20-21
24-26
28-28
29-19
15-17
19-24
18-19
20-23
27-17
21-25
16-23
27-30
11-27
22-18
25-19
21-21
16-9
15-16
13-17
20-20
22-20
15-25
31-20
27-27
167.4Avg total
84.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.978.9166.9+9.083%
Season at home (14)90.578.5169.0+12.086%
Season away (15)85.579.3164.9+6.280%
Last 10 (10)84.982.5167.4+2.470%
Last 5 (5)80.283.4163.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)89.887.0176.8+2.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)85.282.1167.2+3.168%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
Basket ZaragozaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/02
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#7
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A09/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Palencia
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H17/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A30/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H06/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A13/04
ACB
86.5Avg total
37.9Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.579.6-3.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.982.0+0.367%-
Last 30 away (15)35.142.277.3-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)37.948.686.5-10.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.886.6-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.944.281.1-7.429%-
vs Similar (14)38.238.977.1-0.757%-
vs Weaker (2)46.041.087.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A17/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/03
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A24/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H29/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H05/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/04
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A11/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/04
ACB
77.3Avg total
38.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.480.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.840.983.7+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)37.139.977.0-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.677.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.676.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.840.084.8+4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)39.340.780.0-1.444%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.3
58.0%
53.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.1
31.4%
34.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.716.1
74.2%
75.6%16.1
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.3
52.4%
53.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.516.8
78.1%
75.6%16.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LWLLWLLLLL
Real Madrid
WWLLLWWWWW
#12
League position
#1
-15.9
Net rating
+2.7
108.6
Offensive rating
113.6
124.5
Defensive rating
110.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
60.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.4%
3-point %
35.1%
58.6%
Assist %
68.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 113.6Defence124.5 · 110.9Shooting54.1% · 52.5%3-point %31.4% · 35.1%Ball care19.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.8% · 32.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
24/09/23Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza101-70
30/04/23Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza93-86
06/11/22Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid94-89
16/01/22Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza94-69
04/12/21Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid65-86
02/05/21Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid89-98
25/09/20Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza102-83
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24AUnicaja72-83
06/04/24HObradoiro CAB98-79
30/03/24ABaskonia94-102
23/03/24AMoraBanc Andorra80-85
17/03/24HPalencia103-96
13/03/24AChemnitz86-102
09/03/24AGran Canaria85-111
06/03/24HChemnitz64-98
03/03/24ABarcelona68-109
10/02/24HTenerife100-106
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HJoventut Badalona95-92
11/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas64-62
07/04/24ABarcelona79-85
05/04/24HBaskonia91-95
31/03/24HManresa72-83
29/03/24HCrvena zvezda101-94
24/03/24APalencia86-78
21/03/24APartizan88-76
19/03/24AAlba Berlin86-79
17/03/24AUnicaja87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %38%64%13%
Points / game82.688.577.1
Allowed / game85.884.087.5
Point differential-3.2+4.5-10.4
Avg total168.4172.5164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW83%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %83%86%80%
Points / game87.990.585.5
Allowed / game78.978.579.3
Point differential+9.0+12.0+6.2
Avg total166.9169.0164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja2924583%88.176.5+11.6
2 Real Madrid2924583%87.978.9+9.0
3 Barcelona3021970%87.880.4+7.4
4 Tenerife29191066%84.880.1+4.7
5 Murcia30191163%84.380.2+4.1
6 Gran Canaria30191163%84.381.2+3.0
7 Valencia29181162%83.181.0+2.1
8 Manresa30171357%84.384.1+0.2
9 Baskonia29161355%87.287.4-0.1
10 Joventut Badalona29141548%81.385.7-4.3
11 Bilbao29131645%79.681.4-1.9
12 Basket Zaragoza29111838%82.685.8-3.2
13 MoraBanc Andorra30111937%83.284.4-1.2
14 Basquet Girona29101934%80.185.9-5.8
15 Granada3092130%81.086.9-5.9
16 Breogan3082227%73.779.2-5.5
17 Obradoiro CAB2972224%80.685.6-5.0
18 Palencia3052517%78.287.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza179192570
Real Madrid2017261679
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