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Real Madrid vs Obradoiro CAB Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game85.3
Real Madrid
Spain
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.3/10
Above normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Obradoiro CAB
Spain
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game96.6
SpainACBRound 23· Movistar Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB
07 Mar 2027
MAD v OKA
upcoming
28 Apr 2024
MAD79
OKA69
02 Oct 2022
MAD93
OKA79
26 Sep 2021
MAD78
OKA68
20 Oct 2020
MAD84
OKA77
14 Apr 2019
MAD94
OKA70
08 Apr 2018
MAD78
OKA65
18 Dec 2016
MAD106
OKA59
01 May 2016
MAD111
OKA81
21 Dec 2014
MAD91
OKA73
15 Dec 2013
MAD82
OKA59
24 May 2013
MAD90
OKA75
14 Apr 2013
MAD61
OKA64
23 Oct 2011
MAD81
OKA67
07 Mar 2010
MAD92
OKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Obradoiro CAB win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-92
111
92
+19
109avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
119-84
119
84
+35
120avg 92
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 92
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
122-86
122
86
+36
131avg 92
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
102avg 92
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 92
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
82avg 92
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
no box
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
105-84
105
84
+21
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
14-17
25-14
25-22
26-26
18-24
30-27
25-23
28-27
22-20
25-19
16-16
27-16
38-20
18-21
26-18
23-25
193.3Avg total
106.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)106.385.3191.6+21.0100%
Season at home (5)101.680.8182.4+20.8100%
Season away (2)118.096.5214.5+21.5100%
Last 10 (10)106.187.2193.3+18.990%
Last 5 (5)98.485.0183.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)92.389.4181.7+2.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)98.689.1187.7+9.561%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 84
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
95-65
95
65
+30
92avg 84
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
73avg 84
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 84
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
107-114 OT
107
114
-7
93avg 84
H04/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 84
H11/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
66avg 84
A17/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
76-106
76
106
-30
66avg 84
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#6
L
90-110
90
110
-20
82avg 84
H01/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
no box
A07/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
19-27
20-23
24-15
28-21
25-13
19-22
23-9
26-24
21-18
18-14
20-12
14-27
29-19
22-24
25-15
22-22
21-32
26-21
30-24
22-21
27-22
20-17
22-29
25-23
21-15
20-16
13-18
19-20
14-29
17-30
26-27
22-20
21-30
19-32
28-28
19-19
17-16
12-20
25-18
178.9Avg total
90.1Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.396.6186.9-6.343%
Season at home (3)96.0104.3200.3-8.333%
Season away (4)86.090.8176.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)90.188.8178.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)87.095.4182.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.0100.5188.5-12.525%
vs Similar (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker (25)94.375.7170.0+18.688%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +4.1+4.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +4.1+4.1
Real MadridObradoiro CAB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H12/11
Euroleague
94.6Avg total
52.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.243.993.1+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.941.991.8+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)48.545.994.3+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)52.142.594.6+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.440.888.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)48.343.792.0+4.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)49.444.093.4+5.574%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H04/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H11/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H01/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/11
ACB
87.0Avg total
43.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.539.786.1+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.538.585.0+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)46.440.987.3+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.287.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.247.889.0-6.525%-
vs Similar (1)43.046.089.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (25)47.438.185.6+9.384%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.6
57.5%
55.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.815.0
41.9%
36.4%45.0
🏀 Free throws23.519.8
84.3%
76.0%19.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.0
54.3%
55.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
36.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.617.1
75.7%
76.0%17.1
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWWW
Obradoiro CAB
LLLWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#12
+23.0
Net rating
+1.2
114.6
Offensive rating
105.5
91.6
Defensive rating
104.3
60.2%
Effective FG%
51.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
12.7%
Turnover %
9.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
41.9%
3-point %
31.7%
62.4%
Assist %
55.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 105.5Defence91.6 · 104.3Shooting60.2% · 51.4%3-point %41.9% · 31.7%Ball care12.7% · 9.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Obradoiro CAB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Obradoiro CAB wins
DateGameScore
04/10/26Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid107-114 OT
28/04/24Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB79-69
16/12/23Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid74-85
05/03/23Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid78-84
02/10/22Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB93-79
08/05/22Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid88-89
26/09/21Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB78-68
23/03/21Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid71-87
20/10/20Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB84-77
14/04/19Real Madrid v Obradoiro CAB94-70
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HCrvena zvezda105-84
08/11/26HMurcia90-71
04/11/26HPanathinaikos112-115 OT
01/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos90-79
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92
Obradoiro CABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AManresa99-100 OT
01/11/26HBreogan90-110
25/10/26ATenerife76-106
17/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-72
11/10/26HForca Lleida91-89
04/10/26HReal Madrid107-114 OT
26/09/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/05/26HGipuzkoa85-68
02/05/26AEstela95-65
26/04/26HEstudiantes89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game106.3101.6118.0
Allowed / game85.380.896.5
Point differential+21.0+20.8+21.5
Avg total191.6182.4214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%0%50%
Obradoiro CAB
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game90.396.086.0
Allowed / game96.6104.390.8
Point differential-6.3-8.3-4.8
Avg total186.9200.3176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %29%33%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
10 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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