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Real Madrid vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 101-94
20-21 24-26 28-28 29-19
Position#1
Record25-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#16
Record11-20
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda
12 Nov 2026
MAD v CZV
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
MAD103
CZV82
24 Oct 2024
MAD95
CZV72
29 Mar 2024
MAD101
CZV94
21 Oct 2022
MAD72
CZV56
18 Nov 2021
MAD79
CZV67
18 Jan 2021
MAD77
CZV79
01 Dec 2017
MAD83
CZV87
10 Mar 2017
MAD98
CZV68
22 Oct 2015
MAD98
CZV71
26 Feb 2015
MAD85
CZV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
96-85
96
85
+11
76avg 75
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
86-97
86
97
-11
81avg 75
H29/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
94avg 75
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
69avg 75
H07/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 75
H10/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
89avg 75
A15/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 75
A17/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 75
A19/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
88-76
88
76
+12
88avg 75
A21/03
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
86-78
86
78
+8
87avg 75
A24/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-26
23-18
30-22
24-18
12-27
25-22
25-30
26-16
11-25
31-14
21-15
15-20
18-23
25-24
21-22
20-19
18-22
25-18
17-19
23-15
21-16
17-21
28-22
24-19
24-21
16-24
23-17
16-26
20-14
22-17
28-22
13-13
20-18
35-23
20-22
17-13
26-17
23-26
20-22
167.3Avg total
86.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)88.580.4168.9+8.181%
Season at home (15)92.583.1175.7+9.487%
Season away (16)84.777.8162.5+6.975%
Last 10 (10)86.680.7167.3+5.980%
Last 5 (5)87.277.6164.8+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)89.887.0176.8+2.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)87.882.3170.1+5.576%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 81
H17/02
Korac cup
Bayern
#15
L
66-74
66
74
-8
53avg 81
A01/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
102-66
102
66
+36
109avg 81
A03/03
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
78avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
110-57
110
57
+53
118avg 81
H10/03
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
75avg 81
H14/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
82-59
82
59
+23
85avg 81
A17/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
76-89
76
89
-13
73avg 81
H20/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
102avg 81
H22/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
69avg 81
H25/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
28-26
25-19
17-16
19-20
8-12
19-21
20-21
21-23
26-13
31-14
24-16
17-25
21-21
22-23
20-29
31-11
25-16
25-17
29-13
21-17
26-14
14-22
19-31
21-14
21-16
20-20
20-9
20-29
21-22
15-19
20-19
21-23
27-19
26-23
20-14
18-24
30-17
21-22
14-26
163.2Avg total
85.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.681.5163.1+0.135%
Season at home (16)82.478.4160.9+4.050%
Season away (15)80.784.7165.4-4.120%
Last 10 (10)85.877.4163.2+8.450%
Last 5 (5)83.080.0163.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.382.3157.7-7.033%
vs Similar (11)82.880.7163.5+2.145%
vs Weaker (15)87.171.2158.3+15.967%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
Real MadridCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H29/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H07/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A15/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A17/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/03
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A24/03
ACB
77.8Avg total
39.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.081.3+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.939.282.1+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)40.040.680.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.777.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.475.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.840.084.8+4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.740.280.9+0.556%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/02
Korac cup
Bayern
#15
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A01/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A03/03
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A07/03
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H10/03
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H14/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A17/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H20/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H22/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H25/03
ABA League
81.7Avg total
43.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.237.680.8+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.736.883.5+9.878%-
Last 30 away (12)37.938.876.7-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)43.738.081.7+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.084.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.341.376.7-6.00%-
vs Similar (11)43.637.581.1+6.264%-
vs Weaker (15)44.637.181.7+7.567%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.8
56.8%
53.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.0
34.2%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.818.0
82.6%
77.4%18.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.623.2
61.7%
53.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.9
31.5%
36.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
77.4%14.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWLW
Crvena zvezda
LWLWLWLWLW
#1
League position
#16
+7.8
Net rating
+11.8
117.2
Offensive rating
116.3
109.4
Defensive rating
104.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.2%
3-point %
31.5%
63.4%
Assist %
70.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 116.3Defence109.4 · 104.5Shooting54.7% · 55.9%3-point %34.2% · 31.5%Ball care17.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds36.2% · 30.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24APalencia86-78
21/03/24APartizan88-76
19/03/24AAlba Berlin86-79
17/03/24AUnicaja87-81
15/03/24AVirtus Bologna89-74
10/03/24HTenerife80-78
07/03/24HFenerbahce79-89
03/03/24AMoraBanc Andorra89-70
29/02/24HPanathinaikos86-97
18/02/24HBarcelona96-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24HMega Basket83-89
22/03/24HVirtus Bologna94-79
20/03/24HPanathinaikos76-89
17/03/24ACibona82-59
14/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv80-84
10/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto110-57
07/03/24AMonaco80-98
03/03/24AMornar Bar102-66
01/03/24ABayern66-74
17/02/24HPartizan85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW81%
HomeWWWLL87%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %81%87%75%
Points / game88.592.584.7
Allowed / game80.483.177.8
Point differential+8.1+9.4+6.9
Avg total168.9175.7162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %10%13%6%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game81.682.480.7
Allowed / game81.578.484.7
Point differential+0.1+4.0-4.1
Avg total163.1160.9165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (9)0% (3)0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3125681%88.580.4+8.1
2 Barcelona32211166%82.879.0+3.8
3 Monaco32211166%82.079.3+2.8
4 Panathinaikos31201165%81.577.2+4.3
5 Fenerbahce32201262%85.480.8+4.6
6 Olympiacos32201262%78.574.5+4.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv32191359%87.686.6+1.0
8 Virtus Bologna31171455%80.181.9-1.8
9 Baskonia32161650%83.684.5-0.9
10 Anadolu Efes32151747%85.886.8-1.0
11 Zalgiris Kaunas32141844%80.480.3+0.1
12 Olimpia Milano32141844%77.677.8-0.2
13 Partizan32141844%82.884.0-1.2
14 Valencia32141844%76.578.5-2.0
15 Bayern32131941%78.681.8-3.3
16 Crvena zvezda31112035%81.681.5+0.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3272522%78.185.8-7.7
18 Alba Berlin3252716%76.086.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid20242829101
Crvena zvezda2126281994
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