Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	87.9	80.4	168.3	+7.4	67%
Season at home (13)	91.8	80.2	172.0	+11.7	77%
Season away (14)	84.1	80.7	164.9	+3.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	84.9	172.8	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	83.2	171.6	+5.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	83.0	78.0	161.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar (13)	81.4	82.5	163.9	-1.2	46%
vs Weaker (15)	93.1	79.5	172.5	+13.6	87%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadrid

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

79-89

-10

69avg 75

H07/03

Euroleague

Tenerife

80-78

81avg 75

H10/03

ACB

Virtus Bologna

89-74

+15

89avg 75

A15/03

Euroleague

Unicaja

87-81

77avg 75

A17/03

ACB

Alba Berlin

#18

86-79

82avg 75

A19/03

Euroleague

Partizan

#11

88-76

+12

88avg 75

A21/03

Euroleague

Palencia

#18

86-78

87avg 75

A24/03

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#16

101-94

101

100avg 75

H29/03

Euroleague

Manresa

72-83

-11

66avg 75

H31/03

ACB

Baskonia

91-95

-4

86avg 75

H05/04

Euroleague

15-20

18-23

25-24

21-22

20-19

18-22

25-18

17-19

23-15

21-16

17-21

28-22

24-19

24-21

16-24

23-17

16-26

20-14

22-17

28-22

13-13

20-18

35-23

20-22

17-13

26-17

23-26

20-22

20-21

24-26

28-28

29-19

15-17

19-24

18-19

20-23

27-17

21-25

16-23

27-30

168.6Avg total

85.9Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	88.0	78.2	166.2	+9.8	85%
Season at home (13)	90.2	77.5	167.6	+12.7	85%
Season away (14)	86.0	78.9	164.9	+7.1	86%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	82.7	168.6	+3.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	85.2	172.8	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	89.8	87.0	176.8	+2.8	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	87.9	84.3	172.2	+3.6	68%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BarcelonaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	19.4	42.1	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.4	39.4	+0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.8	42.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	19.1	41.9	+3.6	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	18.5	41.6	+4.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	24.2	17.2	41.5	+7.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.6	41.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	18.9	41.6	+3.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	20.5	22.8	43.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	40%	-

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valencia

#14

37-42

-5

A07/03

Euroleague

Baskonia

42-50

-8

A10/03

ACB

Partizan

#11

51-48

H14/03

Euroleague

Breogan

#16

47-46

H17/03

ACB

Fenerbahce

25-46

-21

A20/03

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

46-34

+12

A22/03

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#10

45-40

A24/03

ACB

Bayern

#15

47-30

+17

A28/03

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#15

46-44

A31/03

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

44-43

H04/04

Euroleague

85.3Avg total

43.0Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	39.4	82.8	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.6	39.0	84.6	+6.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	39.9	80.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	42.3	85.3	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	38.2	83.8	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	45.0	47.0	92.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.4	40.2	80.6	+0.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.5	38.0	83.5	+7.5	80%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

33-43

-10

H07/03

Euroleague

Tenerife

38-41

-3

H10/03

ACB

Virtus Bologna

44-31

+13

A15/03

Euroleague

Unicaja

48-40

A17/03

ACB

Alba Berlin

#18

36-40

-4

A19/03

Euroleague

Partizan

#11

33-31

A21/03

Euroleague

Palencia

#18

43-30

+13

A24/03

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#16

44-47

-3

H29/03

Euroleague

Manresa

34-41

-7

H31/03

ACB

Baskonia

48-42

H05/04

Euroleague

78.7Avg total

40.1Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	40.7	82.0	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	40.3	83.2	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	41.1	80.7	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	38.6	78.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.2	78.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	44.8	40.0	84.8	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	40.7	41.1	81.8	-0.4	52%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	21.7	44.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	21.1	43.1	+0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	15.0	15.0	30.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.6	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	21.3	44.1	+1.4	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	20.4	43.4	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.3	44.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.8	47.8	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.9	19.6	42.5	+3.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.4	45.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-1.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.1	19.5	43.7	+4.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.1	44.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	24.5	47.1	-1.9	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.8	45.1	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	25.0	24.8	49.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	41.4	85.6	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	40.2	84.8	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.8	42.8	86.6	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	42.6	87.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	45.0	87.8	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	38.0	31.0	69.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	41.0	42.3	83.3	-1.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (15)	46.9	40.9	87.7	+6.0	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.6	42.1	86.7	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.6	44.9	90.5	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.4	39.0	82.4	+4.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	44.1	89.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	47.0	94.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	45.0	47.0	92.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.7	41.2	86.0	+3.5	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 86.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.4	24.3	58.7%	53.0%	48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	8.7	37.5%	34.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	17.2	12.2	70.9%	75.6%	12.2

They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game

48%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	20.9	55.6%	53.0%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.0	32.0%	34.9%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	23.9	19.3	80.8%	75.6%	19.3

They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	22.0	57.3%	53.0%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.3	34.4%	34.9%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.4	77.5%	75.6%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	21.0	53.3%	53.0%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.7	31.2%	34.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	16.4	13.8	84.1%	75.6%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	23.6	57.0%	53.0%	47.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.6	8.7	38.7%	34.9%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.1	74.0%	75.6%	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	19.7	54.9%	53.0%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.7	36.0%	34.9%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	22.4	18.6	82.9%	75.6%	18.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	21.1	53.6%	53.0%	42.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.6	32.3%	34.9%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	15.7	12.1	76.9%	75.6%	12.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	21.6	51.8%	53.0%	43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.5	34.9%	34.9%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	15.0	11.8	78.4%	75.6%	11.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Barcelona

WWWWLLLWLW

Real Madrid

LLWWWWWWWL

League position

+3.5

Net rating

+4.3

118.2

Offensive rating

115.1

114.7

Defensive rating

110.7

57.8%

Effective FG%

52.6%

55.0%

Opp. effective FG%

50.6%

17.3%

Turnover %

16.5%

34.8%

Off. rebound %

32.3%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.38

37.5%

3-point %

32.0%

61.2%

Assist %

67.8%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Barcelona ■ Real Madrid

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Barcelona wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
18/02/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	96-85
03/01/24	Barcelona v Real Madrid	83-78
26/10/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	65-64
01/10/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	86-79
16/09/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	80-90
20/06/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	82-93
18/06/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	86-85
16/06/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	97-88
19/05/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	66-78
16/04/23	Barcelona v Real Madrid	97-82

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/24	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	92-89
31/03/24	A	Obradoiro CAB	89-84
28/03/24	A	Bayern	87-79
24/03/24	A	Joventut Badalona	93-75
22/03/24	A	Panathinaikos	81-89
20/03/24	A	Fenerbahce	74-88
17/03/24	H	Breogan	85-88
14/03/24	H	Partizan	94-76
10/03/24	A	Baskonia	96-103
07/03/24	A	Valencia	88-78

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/24	H	Baskonia	91-95
31/03/24	H	Manresa	72-83
29/03/24	H	Crvena zvezda	101-94
24/03/24	A	Palencia	86-78
21/03/24	A	Partizan	88-76
19/03/24	A	Alba Berlin	86-79
17/03/24	A	Unicaja	87-81
15/03/24	A	Virtus Bologna	89-74
10/03/24	H	Tenerife	80-78
07/03/24	H	Fenerbahce	79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona

ACB 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	67%
Home	WWLWL	77%
Away	WWLWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	67%	77%	57%
Points / game	87.9	91.8	84.1
Allowed / game	80.4	80.2	80.7
Point differential	+7.4	+11.7	+3.4
Avg total	168.3	172.0	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	46%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	40% (5)	60% (5)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

Real Madrid

ACB 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	85%
Home	WWWWL	85%
Away	LWWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	85%	85%	86%
Points / game	88.0	90.2	86.0
Allowed / game	78.2	77.5	78.9
Point differential	+9.8	+12.7	+7.1
Avg total	166.2	167.6	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	54%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	27	23	4	85%	88.0	78.2	+9.8
2	Unicaja	28	23	5	82%	88.2	76.6	+11.6
3	Barcelona	27	18	9	67%	87.9	80.4	+7.4
4	Murcia	28	18	10	64%	84.0	79.8	+4.3
5	Tenerife	28	18	10	64%	84.2	80.0	+4.2
6	Gran Canaria	28	17	11	61%	84.1	81.2	+2.8
7	Valencia	28	17	11	61%	82.9	81.0	+1.9
8	Manresa	28	16	12	57%	83.8	83.6	+0.2
9	Baskonia	28	15	13	54%	87.6	87.9	-0.2
10	Joventut Badalona	28	14	14	50%	80.9	85.3	-4.4
11	Bilbao	28	13	15	46%	79.4	80.8	-1.3
12	Basket Zaragoza	28	11	17	39%	83.0	85.9	-2.9
13	MoraBanc Andorra	28	10	18	36%	82.4	83.8	-1.4
14	Basquet Girona	28	10	18	36%	80.2	86.1	-5.8
15	Breogan	28	8	20	29%	73.8	79.4	-5.6
16	Granada	28	8	20	29%	80.6	87.0	-6.4
17	Obradoiro CAB	28	7	21	25%	80.4	85.3	-4.9
18	Palencia	28	5	23	18%	78.1	86.8	-8.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Barcelona	27	18	19	21	85
Real Madrid	11	22	25	21	79

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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