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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-64
9-16 16-15 17-13 20-20
Position#13
Record14-19
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#1
Record26-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Real Madrid
12 Feb 2027
ZAL v MAD
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ZAL87
MAD85
10 Jan 2025
ZAL64
MAD83
11 Apr 2024
ZAL62
MAD64
15 Dec 2022
ZAL81
MAD72
24 Feb 2022
ZAL68
MAD47
06 Nov 2020
ZAL90
MAD93
02 Nov 2018
ZAL79
MAD90
26 Oct 2017
ZAL66
MAD87
20 Jan 2017
ZAL59
MAD74
11 Mar 2016
ZAL75
MAD90
12 Feb 2015
ZAL71
MAD88
21 Nov 2014
ZAL66
MAD68
11 Apr 2014
ZAL87
MAD80
18 Oct 2013
ZAL63
MAD83
07 Mar 2013
ZAL104
MAD105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
79avg 78
H10/03
LKL
Bayern
#15
L
58-64
58
64
-6
45avg 78
A15/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
97-77
97
77
+20
96avg 78
H17/03
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 78
H19/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
87avg 78
H21/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
92-69
92
69
+23
95avg 78
A24/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 78
H28/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 78
A01/04
LKL
Monaco
#3
L
66-69
66
69
-3
58avg 78
A04/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
19-21
22-14
14-27
28-26
23-22
21-28
25-18
10-18
11-15
16-17
21-14
25-14
28-20
23-23
21-20
22-22
21-27
25-14
28-18
25-17
23-17
23-23
23-19
28-19
19-15
19-23
26-12
14-17
21-20
24-17
28-19
22-16
28-24
18-18
15-19
11-20
18-19
15-12
22-18
160.9Avg total
84.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.080.0160.0+0.042%
Season at home (16)83.279.6162.8+3.656%
Season away (17)77.080.4157.4-3.429%
Last 10 (10)84.676.3160.9+8.370%
Last 5 (5)84.472.8157.2+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (14)83.380.1163.4+3.157%
vs Weaker (15)89.174.4163.5+14.787%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 75
H10/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
89avg 75
A15/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 75
A17/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 75
A19/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
88-76
88
76
+12
88avg 75
A21/03
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
86-78
86
78
+8
87avg 75
A24/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
101-94
101
94
+7
100avg 75
H29/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
66avg 75
H31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
86avg 75
H05/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 75
A07/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
18-22
25-18
17-19
23-15
21-16
17-21
28-22
24-19
24-21
16-24
23-17
16-26
20-14
22-17
28-22
13-13
20-18
35-23
20-22
17-13
26-17
23-26
20-22
20-21
24-26
28-28
29-19
15-17
19-24
18-19
20-23
27-17
21-25
16-23
27-30
11-27
22-18
25-19
21-21
168.2Avg total
85.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.981.2170.2+7.779%
Season at home (17)92.984.5177.4+8.582%
Season away (16)84.777.8162.5+6.975%
Last 10 (10)85.982.3168.2+3.670%
Last 5 (5)85.887.0172.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)89.887.0176.8+2.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.084.4172.3+3.668%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
Zalgiris KaunasReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H10/03
LKL
Bayern
#15
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A15/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/03
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H19/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A24/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A01/04
LKL
Monaco
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A04/04
Euroleague
80.7Avg total
41.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.384.2+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.938.985.9+8.067%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.782.5+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.080.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.878.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (14)41.440.882.2+0.636%-
vs Weaker (15)48.138.186.1+10.080%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A15/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A17/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/03
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A24/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H29/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H05/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/04
ACB
78.9Avg total
40.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.781.6+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.383.2+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.179.7-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.878.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.840.084.8+4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.141.181.2-1.048%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.9
55.0%
53.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.2
38.9%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.513.2
75.4%
77.4%13.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.1
54.3%
53.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.9
33.6%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.318.0
80.7%
77.4%18.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWWWWLWL
Real Madrid
LLLWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#1
+11.5
Net rating
+4.3
115.9
Offensive rating
114.8
104.4
Defensive rating
110.5
56.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.9%
3-point %
33.6%
60.1%
Assist %
69.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 114.8Defence104.4 · 110.5Shooting56.4% · 52.7%3-point %38.9% · 33.6%Ball care17.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · 32.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24AMonaco66-69
01/04/24ALietkabelis83-77
28/03/24HOlimpia Milano87-73
24/03/24ASiauliai92-69
21/03/24HBaskonia94-76
19/03/24HVirtus Bologna96-81
17/03/24HPieno Zvaigzdes97-77
15/03/24ABayern58-64
10/03/24HRytas97-94
07/03/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ABarcelona79-85
05/04/24HBaskonia91-95
31/03/24HManresa72-83
29/03/24HCrvena zvezda101-94
24/03/24APalencia86-78
21/03/24APartizan88-76
19/03/24AAlba Berlin86-79
17/03/24AUnicaja87-81
15/03/24AVirtus Bologna89-74
10/03/24HTenerife80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL42%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %42%56%29%
Points / game80.083.277.0
Allowed / game80.079.680.4
Point differential+0.0+3.6-3.4
Avg total160.0162.8157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)40% (5)38% (8)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWLLWL82%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %79%82%75%
Points / game88.992.984.7
Allowed / game81.284.577.8
Point differential+7.7+8.5+6.9
Avg total170.2177.4162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%47%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3326779%88.981.2+7.7
2 Panathinaikos33221167%81.577.2+4.3
3 Barcelona33221167%83.079.3+3.8
4 Monaco33221167%81.678.9+2.8
5 Olympiacos33211264%78.874.8+4.0
6 Fenerbahce33201361%85.280.8+4.4
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv33191458%87.686.7+0.9
8 Baskonia33171652%83.984.7-0.8
9 Virtus Bologna33171652%79.982.1-2.2
10 Anadolu Efes33161748%85.786.6-0.9
11 Olimpia Milano33151845%78.077.7+0.3
12 Partizan33151845%83.184.0-0.8
13 Zalgiris Kaunas33141942%80.080.0+0.0
14 Valencia33141942%76.279.1-2.8
15 Bayern33132039%78.581.8-3.4
16 Crvena zvezda33112233%82.182.3-0.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3382524%78.785.3-6.6
18 Alba Berlin3352815%76.286.7-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas916172062
Real Madrid1615132064
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