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Real Madrid vs Partizan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 93-86
24-12 28-21 23-23 18-30
Position#2
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game74.3
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Partizan
Position#15
Record2-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game84.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Movistar Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Partizan
08 Oct 2026
MAD86
PAR76
15 Oct 2025
MAD93
PAR86
10 Oct 2024
MAD93
PAR86
21 Dec 2023
MAD91
PAR75
10 May 2023
MAD98
PAR94
27 Apr 2023
MAD80
PAR95
25 Apr 2023
MAD87
PAR89
24 Nov 2022
MAD105
PAR97
28 Feb 2014
MAD80
PAR57
14 Dec 2011
MAD101
PAR83
19 Jan 2011
MAD78
PAR58
11 Dec 2008
MAD68
PAR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Partizan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
89-75
89
75
+14
69avg 81
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
89avg 81
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 81
A25/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
72-71
72
71
+1
61avg 81
H27/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#1
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 81
H28/09
Supercopa ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 81
A30/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
89-77
89
77
+12
83avg 81
H02/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 81
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
85-72
85
72
+13
88avg 81
H09/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 81
A12/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
16-17
29-28
25-15
22-25
26-20
21-23
20-21
23-19
16-21
21-9
21-21
18-17
17-28
20-15
17-11
27-24
17-27
25-18
25-29
19-14
16-24
15-17
18-19
19-29
28-24
17-16
25-8
22-18
22-15
27-23
10-15
27-19
21-18
18-16
19-19
34-18
24-31
23-28
19-28
167.0Avg total
86.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.774.3155.0+6.367%
Season at home (2)87.074.5161.5+12.5100%
Season away (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)86.180.9167.0+5.270%
Last 5 (5)84.679.8164.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (12)85.881.9167.8+3.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.877.7163.4+8.188%
This opponent (Partizan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
55avg 78
H15/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
39avg 78
A17/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
90-80
90
80
+10
71avg 78
H19/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
W
94-74
94
74
+20
74avg 78
H22/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
71avg 78
A24/06
Super League
Dubai
#11
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 78
A30/09
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
80-78
80
78
+2
69avg 78
H02/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
66avg 78
H06/10
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
93-87
93
87
+6
85avg 78
H09/10
Euroleague
Split
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
57avg 78
A11/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-16
21-21
26-19
29-18
16-17
15-17
13-25
25-19
23-23
30-22
19-17
18-18
28-23
26-19
25-19
15-13
19-24
26-20
27-17
21-18
18-28
22-19
16-21
20-21
21-19
24-14
24-29
11-16
21-12
21-16
19-31
23-19
31-24
24-19
16-26
22-18
8-15
30-19
26-19
22-28
164.7Avg total
84.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.084.7167.7-1.767%
Season at home (2)86.582.5169.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)76.089.0165.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)84.979.8164.7+5.180%
Last 5 (5)83.882.6166.4+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)76.089.0165.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)80.680.9161.5-0.250%
vs Weaker (21)89.479.5168.9+9.986%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
Real MadridPartizan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A25/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H27/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/09
Supercopa ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H02/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A12/10
ACB
85.6Avg total
43.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.082.5+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.340.483.6+2.965%-
Last 30 away (13)41.439.681.0+1.846%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.385.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.088.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.842.885.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.637.079.6+5.669%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H15/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H19/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H22/06
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A24/06
Super League
Dubai
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A30/09
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H06/10
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H09/10
Euroleague
Split
#18
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A11/10
ABA League
81.9Avg total
43.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.884.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.440.487.8+7.176%-
Last 30 away (13)40.339.179.4+1.262%-
Last 10 (10)43.238.781.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.081.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)40.047.087.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (8)42.939.682.5+3.262%-
vs Weaker (21)45.139.584.6+5.676%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.8
57.2%
60.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.0
32.6%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
78.2%15.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
60.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.6
36.0%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.315.5
76.4%
78.2%15.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWLLWWWW
Partizan
WWWWLWWWLW
#2
League position
#15
+8.2
Net rating
+7.3
115.7
Offensive rating
114.8
107.5
Defensive rating
107.6
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.6%
3-point %
36.0%
56.5%
Assist %
52.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 114.8Defence107.5 · 107.6Shooting53.7% · 53.9%3-point %32.6% · 36.0%Ball care13.8% · 13.7%Off. rebounds30.7% · 28.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Partizan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Partizan wins
DateGameScore
10/04/25Partizan v Real Madrid89-91
10/10/24Real Madrid v Partizan93-86
21/03/24Partizan v Real Madrid76-88
21/12/23Real Madrid v Partizan91-75
10/05/23Real Madrid v Partizan98-94
04/05/23Partizan v Real Madrid78-85
02/05/23Partizan v Real Madrid80-82
27/04/23Real Madrid v Partizan80-95
25/04/23Real Madrid v Partizan87-89
31/03/23Partizan v Real Madrid104-90
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25ABaskonia100-105
09/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne85-72
05/10/25HGran Canaria81-71
02/10/25HOlympiacos89-77
30/09/25AVirtus Bologna68-74
28/09/25HValencia94-98
27/09/25HTenerife72-71
25/06/25AValencia81-70
22/06/25HValencia102-96 OT
20/06/25HValencia89-75
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ASplit86-81
09/10/25HAnadolu Efes93-87
06/10/25HKK Krka Novo mesto84-78
02/10/25HOlimpia Milano80-78
30/09/25ADubai76-89
24/06/25ASpartak Subotica93-79
22/06/25HSpartak Subotica94-74
19/06/25HFMP Beograd90-80
17/06/25AFMP Beograd69-78
15/06/25HFMP Beograd84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.787.068.0
Allowed / game74.374.574.0
Point differential+6.3+12.5-6.0
Avg total155.0161.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Partizan
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game83.086.576.0
Allowed / game84.782.589.0
Point differential-1.7+4.0-13.0
Avg total167.7169.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%87.580.8+6.8
2 Barcelona43175%97.593.0+4.5
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv43175%95.091.0+4.0
4 Panathinaikos43175%90.087.8+2.2
5 Real Madrid32167%80.774.3+6.3
6 Paris32167%89.389.7-0.3
7 Partizan32167%83.084.7-1.7
8 Monaco42250%85.581.5+4.0
9 Olympiacos42250%85.883.5+2.2
10 Anadolu Efes42250%83.884.0-0.2
11 Valencia42250%94.594.8-0.2
12 Dubai42250%82.583.5-1.0
13 Crvena zvezda42250%86.087.2-1.2
14 Virtus Bologna42250%81.083.5-2.5
15 Bayern42250%77.581.5-4.0
16 Olimpia Milano41325%75.577.0-1.5
17 Fenerbahce41325%81.885.0-3.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%84.087.8-3.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%86.592.0-5.5
20 Baskonia3030%91.796.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2428231893
Partizan1221233086
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