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Real Madrid vs Partizan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 91-75
26-19 22-17 28-15 15-24
Position#1
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#11
Record9-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game84.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Partizan
08 Oct 2026
MAD86
PAR76
15 Oct 2025
MAD93
PAR86
10 Oct 2024
MAD93
PAR86
21 Dec 2023
MAD91
PAR75
10 May 2023
MAD98
PAR94
27 Apr 2023
MAD80
PAR95
25 Apr 2023
MAD87
PAR89
24 Nov 2022
MAD105
PAR97
28 Feb 2014
MAD80
PAR57
14 Dec 2011
MAD101
PAR83
19 Jan 2011
MAD78
PAR58
11 Dec 2008
MAD68
PAR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Partizan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 75
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
99-70
99
70
+29
99avg 75
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
91avg 75
A30/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
91-58
91
58
+33
97avg 75
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
79avg 75
A05/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
92avg 75
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
94avg 75
H10/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
88-73
88
73
+15
80avg 75
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-74
85
74
+11
69avg 75
A16/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
72-58
72
58
+14
74avg 75
A19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
23-17
26-26
16-17
36-21
16-20
22-15
25-14
29-16
15-21
23-22
20-28
17-19
24-9
27-12
23-18
23-19
14-17
24-21
16-14
24-23
22-22
26-10
18-23
31-14
23-23
20-16
23-18
19-23
23-14
21-20
25-16
15-19
24-15
23-14
23-26
20-20
25-14
16-11
11-13
161.2Avg total
88.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.974.4162.3+13.593%
Season at home (7)89.172.7161.9+16.4100%
Season away (8)86.975.9162.8+11.088%
Last 10 (10)88.372.9161.2+15.490%
Last 5 (5)86.470.8157.2+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)86.782.7169.3+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.775.3165.0+14.396%
This opponent (Partizan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
94-100
94
100
-6
98avg 85
A24/11
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
101-56
101
56
+45
111avg 85
H27/11
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
85avg 85
H30/11
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
105-61
105
61
+44
109avg 85
A02/12
ABA League
Monaco
#3
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
85avg 85
H05/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 85
H07/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
99-76
99
76
+23
98avg 85
H11/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 85
A14/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
92avg 85
H16/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 85
A19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
23-28
29-14
20-36
24-16
31-13
31-14
15-13
20-21
19-17
15-18
24-22
23-10
30-9
26-14
26-28
16-13
16-22
19-16
21-21
20-25
19-19
22-18
21-7
31-13
22-19
20-28
26-16
29-21
29-23
18-20
17-21
21-28
29-13
28-23
18-19
19-14
14-20
20-10
19-23
169.2Avg total
92.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.584.2170.7+2.360%
Season at home (7)86.982.4169.3+4.486%
Season away (8)86.285.8172.0+0.538%
Last 10 (10)92.376.9169.2+15.490%
Last 5 (5)88.476.0164.4+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)93.092.5185.5+0.550%
vs Similar (15)84.284.9169.1-0.753%
vs Weaker (13)94.072.3166.3+21.777%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
Real MadridPartizan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A30/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A05/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A16/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A19/12
Euroleague
80.5Avg total
44.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.136.381.5+8.887%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.334.981.3+11.487%-
Last 30 away (15)43.937.781.7+6.287%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.280.5+8.1100%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.482.6+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.740.085.7+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.135.981.0+9.185%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A24/11
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H27/11
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H30/11
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
53-19
53
19
+34
A02/12
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H11/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A14/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H16/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/12
Euroleague
82.3Avg total
45.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.4+3.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.340.184.4+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.939.582.5+3.440%-
Last 10 (10)45.736.682.3+9.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.085.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.043.584.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (15)42.143.085.1-0.927%-
vs Weaker (13)45.735.681.3+10.169%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.321.4
59.0%
53.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
36.0%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.115.5
85.6%
77.4%15.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.622.4
61.2%
53.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.7
41.6%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.717.8
82.0%
77.4%17.8
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLWW
Partizan
WWWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#11
+20.5
Net rating
+22.0
116.8
Offensive rating
126.0
96.3
Defensive rating
104.0
56.9%
Effective FG%
61.7%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.0%
3-point %
41.6%
67.3%
Assist %
58.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 126.0Defence96.3 · 104.0Shooting56.9% · 61.7%3-point %36.0% · 41.6%Ball care17.5% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Partizan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Partizan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23ACrvena zvezda72-58
16/12/23AObradoiro CAB85-74
14/12/23HBayern88-73
10/12/23HGran Canaria97-71
07/12/23APanathinaikos90-78
05/12/23AOlympiacos77-71
03/12/23HBreogan91-58
30/11/23AFenerbahce99-100 OT
28/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-70
26/11/23HMoraBanc Andorra85-76
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23AValencia72-67
16/12/23HBuducnost96-83
14/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas93-85
11/12/23HStudentski Centar99-76
07/12/23HOlimpia Milano82-69
05/12/23HMonaco89-85 OT
02/12/23AFMP Beograd105-61
30/11/23HPanathinaikos92-87 OT
27/11/23HBorac Mozzart101-56
24/11/23AAnadolu Efes94-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %93%100%88%
Points / game87.989.186.9
Allowed / game74.472.775.9
Point differential+13.5+16.4+11.0
Avg total162.3161.9162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Partizan
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game86.586.986.2
Allowed / game84.282.485.8
Point differential+2.3+4.4+0.5
Avg total170.7169.3172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %20%29%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1514193%87.974.4+13.5
2 Virtus Bologna1611569%82.880.7+2.1
3 Barcelona1510567%83.178.2+4.9
4 Partizan159660%86.584.2+2.3
5 Valencia169756%74.173.8+0.2
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv169756%87.087.8-0.8
7 Panathinaikos158753%82.581.2+1.3
8 Monaco158753%80.079.7+0.3
9 Fenerbahce158753%81.181.0+0.1
10 Baskonia158753%82.883.3-0.5
11 Olympiacos157847%75.874.5+1.3
12 Bayern157847%79.280.7-1.5
13 Anadolu Efes157847%81.186.9-5.8
14 Olimpia Milano156940%80.077.9+2.1
15 Crvena zvezda1661038%81.880.5+1.3
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1551033%79.081.1-2.1
17 Alba Berlin1531220%76.185.4-9.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1521313%78.988.7-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2622281591
Partizan1917152475
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