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Reggiana vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 86-72
22-20 18-16 22-22 24-14
Position#7
Record17-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#16
Record6-23
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game89.1
ItalyLega ARound 30· PalaBigi
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Reggiana v Pistoia
11 May 2025
REG86
PIS72
12 Nov 2023
REG95
PIS82
20 Oct 2019
REG84
PIS72
24 Nov 2018
REG82
PIS84
11 Nov 2017
REG90
PIS42
30 Apr 2017
REG77
PIS68
20 Mar 2016
REG94
PIS71
26 Dec 2014
REG71
PIS59
17 Nov 2013
REG67
PIS56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
87-92
87
92
-5
73avg 72
H23/03
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
69avg 72
H25/03
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
45-69
45
69
-24
35avg 72
A31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 72
H06/04
Lega A
Unicaja
#1
L
68-105
68
105
-37
60avg 72
A09/04
Champions League
Scafati
#15
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 72
A12/04
Lega A
Unicaja
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
69avg 72
H15/04
Champions League
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-86
89
86
+3
81avg 72
H19/04
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
66-79
66
79
-13
54avg 72
A27/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
63-84
63
84
-21
50avg 72
A03/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
30-23
21-24
21-20
21-16
20-24
22-14
14-16
11-11
16-22
11-17
7-19
23-22
23-24
23-16
18-16
15-25
22-33
28-20
3-27
23-24
21-11
19-14
21-20
17-12
20-34
19-12
16-24
20-19
18-20
19-25
32-22
12-19
20-18
18-19
16-23
12-27
19-21
16-16
16-20
155.2Avg total
73.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.477.8157.2+1.759%
Season at home (14)82.677.1159.7+5.657%
Season away (15)76.578.5154.9-2.060%
Last 10 (10)73.881.4155.2-7.640%
Last 5 (5)74.880.0154.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.287.6162.8-12.415%
vs Similar (9)79.782.2161.9-2.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.371.0157.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 68
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
70avg 68
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
64-87
64
87
-23
44avg 68
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
68-94
68
94
-26
58avg 68
A23/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
69-89
69
89
-20
47avg 68
H30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
63-86
63
86
-23
51avg 68
H06/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 68
A13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
51avg 68
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 68
A27/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
65-89
65
89
-24
47avg 68
H04/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-22
18-13
20-14
12-26
26-20
24-28
22-23
20-21
14-24
13-26
17-16
17-32
17-22
16-18
18-22
17-28
10-19
17-24
25-18
15-18
17-17
11-22
20-29
24-23
21-24
17-26
18-22
13-28
15-21
18-25
16-12
20-16
25-16
27-25
21-33
15-21
19-27
14-22
17-19
160.5Avg total
72.2Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.089.1168.0-10.121%
Season at home (15)79.989.8169.7-9.920%
Season away (14)77.988.3166.2-10.421%
Last 10 (10)72.288.3160.5-16.120%
Last 5 (5)72.689.2161.8-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.887.9163.7-12.119%
vs Similar (4)99.299.0198.2+0.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
ReggianaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H23/03
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/03
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H06/04
Lega A
Unicaja
#1
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A09/04
Champions League
Scafati
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A12/04
Lega A
Unicaja
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H15/04
Champions League
Basket Napoli
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H19/04
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A27/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A03/05
Lega A
80.8Avg total
37.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.780.1-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.439.879.2-0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.581.0-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)37.843.080.8-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.644.181.7-6.523%-
vs Similar (9)38.041.879.8-3.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.737.076.7+2.771%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A23/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H06/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H04/05
Lega A
79.9Avg total
35.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.145.184.1-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.146.985.9-7.819%-
Last 30 away (14)39.143.082.1-3.943%-
Last 10 (10)35.344.679.9-9.310%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.279.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.644.782.3-7.123%-
vs Similar (4)48.547.295.8+1.275%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.9
49.2%
52.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.9
29.3%
35.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.213.3
77.3%
76.8%13.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.7
47.6%
52.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.1
29.3%
35.8%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.112.5
65.4%
76.8%12.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LLWLWLWLWL
Pistoia
LWLLLLLLLW
#7
League position
#16
-11.0
Net rating
-21.7
97.8
Offensive rating
96.0
108.8
Defensive rating
117.7
46.9%
Effective FG%
46.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.3%
3-point %
29.3%
54.7%
Assist %
45.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 96.0Defence108.8 · 117.7Shooting46.9% · 46.2%3-point %29.3% · 29.3%Ball care19.0% · 17.2%Off. rebounds28.6% · 26.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Reggiana   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Reggiana wins
4
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Pistoia v Reggiana73-70
07/04/24Pistoia v Reggiana83-82
12/11/23Reggiana v Pistoia95-82
09/02/20Pistoia v Reggiana86-79
20/10/19Reggiana v Pistoia84-72
24/03/19Pistoia v Reggiana76-80
24/11/18Reggiana v Pistoia82-84
17/03/18Pistoia v Reggiana74-78
11/11/17Reggiana v Pistoia90-42
30/04/17Reggiana v Pistoia77-68
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ATrento63-84
27/04/25ABrescia66-79
19/04/25HBasket Napoli89-86
15/04/25HUnicaja72-82
12/04/25AScafati84-69
09/04/25AUnicaja68-105
06/04/25HOlimpia Milano87-78
31/03/25AVirtus Bologna45-69
25/03/25HPetkim Spor77-70
23/03/25HVenezia87-92
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HCremona65-89
27/04/25AVenezia93-90
19/04/25HVirtus Bologna62-86
13/04/25AOlimpia Milano80-95
06/04/25HSassari63-86
30/03/25HTrieste69-89
23/03/25ATortona68-94
16/03/25ATrento64-87
09/03/25HBrescia84-97
02/03/25ABasket Napoli74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayWLWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%57%60%
Points / game79.482.676.5
Allowed / game77.877.178.5
Point differential+1.7+5.6-2.0
Avg total157.2159.7154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayWLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %21%20%21%
Points / game79.079.977.9
Allowed / game89.189.888.3
Point differential-10.1-9.9-10.4
Avg total168.0169.7166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)25% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2922776%94.684.7+9.9
2 Virtus Bologna2922776%85.576.7+8.8
3 Trento3022873%88.581.5+7.0
4 Brescia2921872%89.984.5+5.4
5 Olimpia Milano29191066%89.184.1+5.0
6 Trieste30181260%87.284.9+2.3
7 Reggiana29171259%79.477.8+1.7
8 Venezia29151452%83.180.7+2.4
9 Tortona29141548%85.885.7+0.0
10 Treviso29121741%84.387.2-2.9
11 Sassari30121840%81.184.5-3.4
12 Varese29101934%87.195.3-8.2
13 Cremona2992031%79.384.1-4.8
14 Basket Napoli3092130%83.688.9-5.3
15 Scafati2962321%84.892.7-7.8
16 Pistoia2962321%79.089.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Reggiana2218222486
Pistoia2016221472
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