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Tortona vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 94-68
32-17 22-17 18-16 22-18
Position#9
Record13-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game85.0
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record5-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game88.8
ItalyLega ARound 23· PalaFerraris
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tortona v Pistoia
23 Mar 2025
TOR94
PIS68
09 Dec 2023
TOR97
PIS100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 76
A01/02
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 76
A04/02
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
66-98
66
98
-32
51avg 76
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 76
A12/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#4
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 76
A01/03
Lega A
Promitheas
#31
W
97-77
97
77
+20
97avg 76
H04/03
Champions League
Varese
#12
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
85avg 76
H09/03
Lega A
Promitheas
#31
W
82-60
82
60
+22
80avg 76
A12/03
Champions League
Scafati
#15
W
102-79
102
79
+23
105avg 76
A16/03
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
W
83-82
83
82
+1
77avg 76
H19/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
12-18
17-17
20-25
20-27
24-15
19-23
23-28
19-20
19-34
14-20
14-24
21-24
12-18
27-20
19-24
18-24
20-16
25-26
26-19
30-26
21-13
29-16
17-22
18-14
23-19
13-20
21-22
20-19
12-10
32-16
18-15
23-15
22-21
33-13
24-30
27-21
18-16
23-24
15-21
167.3Avg total
84.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.285.0171.2+1.259%
Season at home (11)82.082.1164.1-0.155%
Season away (11)90.587.9178.4+2.564%
Last 10 (10)84.582.8167.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)90.676.0166.6+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.088.9175.9-1.957%
vs Similar (9)80.284.6164.8-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.074.4158.4+9.685%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 73
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-115
82
115
-33
69avg 73
H05/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 73
A12/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
111-96
111
96
+15
103avg 73
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
44avg 73
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
84-90
84
90
-6
72avg 73
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 73
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 73
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
70avg 73
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
64-87
64
87
-23
44avg 73
A16/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
27-22
24-24
18-15
19-27
25-25
21-35
17-28
21-22
15-25
18-17
21-16
28-28
17-31
36-14
30-23
14-24
16-33
16-25
14-22
28-23
18-24
21-16
17-27
24-23
30-22
18-24
17-22
18-21
18-22
18-13
20-14
12-26
26-20
24-28
22-23
20-21
14-24
13-26
17-16
172.6Avg total
80.6Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.488.8170.2-7.523%
Season at home (11)85.590.6176.1-5.227%
Season away (11)77.387.0164.3-9.718%
Last 10 (10)80.692.0172.6-11.420%
Last 5 (5)79.087.0166.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)76.987.2164.1-10.319%
vs Similar (9)92.893.2186.0-0.433%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
TortonaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A01/02
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/02
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A01/03
Lega A
Promitheas
#31
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H04/03
Champions League
Varese
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H09/03
Lega A
Promitheas
#31
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A12/03
Champions League
Scafati
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A16/03
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H19/03
Champions League
79.8Avg total
40.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.881.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.742.383.0-1.638%-
Last 30 away (17)40.339.679.9+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.679.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.834.877.6+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.745.389.0-1.629%-
vs Similar (9)39.243.082.2-3.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.236.776.8+3.562%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H05/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A12/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/03
Lega A
89.6Avg total
40.4Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.545.886.3-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.348.090.3-5.720%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.782.3-5.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.449.289.6-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.286.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.945.082.9-7.124%-
vs Similar (9)46.747.894.4-1.144%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.9
53.9%
52.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.3
34.3%
35.8%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.013.8
81.2%
76.8%13.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.5
47.7%
52.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.4
37.7%
35.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
76.8%13.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWWWWWLLLL
Pistoia
LLWLLLWLLL
#9
League position
#16
+1.8
Net rating
-15.5
114.3
Offensive rating
106.4
112.6
Defensive rating
121.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.3%
3-point %
37.7%
63.7%
Assist %
47.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 106.4Defence112.6 · 121.9Shooting52.7% · 50.7%3-point %34.3% · 37.7%Ball care17.2% · 15.4%Off. rebounds35.9% · 27.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Tortona   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tortona wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Pistoia v Tortona89-93
03/03/24Pistoia v Tortona84-71
09/12/23Tortona v Pistoia97-100
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HAEK Athens83-82
16/03/25AScafati102-79
12/03/25APromitheas82-60
09/03/25HVarese89-82 OT
04/03/25HPromitheas97-77
01/03/25ATrento89-85
12/02/25ABrescia79-86
09/02/25HVirtus Bologna66-98
04/02/25AAEK Athens86-93
01/02/25ATrieste72-86
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25ATrento64-87
09/03/25HBrescia84-97
02/03/25ABasket Napoli74-70
08/02/25HScafati89-91
02/02/25HTreviso84-90
25/01/25ATrapani60-104
19/01/25HVarese111-96
12/01/25ATrieste75-80
05/01/25HOlimpia Milano82-115
29/12/24ABrescia83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWWLLW55%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%55%64%
Points / game86.282.090.5
Allowed / game85.082.187.9
Point differential+1.2-0.1+2.5
Avg total171.2164.1178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%27%18%
Points / game81.485.577.3
Allowed / game88.890.687.0
Point differential-7.5-5.2-9.7
Avg total170.2176.1164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2317674%94.484.0+10.4
2 Trento2216673%87.681.7+6.0
3 Virtus Bologna2316770%84.678.7+5.9
4 Brescia2316770%91.086.1+4.9
5 Olimpia Milano2215768%88.684.0+4.6
6 Reggiana2214864%81.077.2+3.8
7 Trieste2314961%86.385.1+1.2
8 Tortona2213959%86.285.0+1.2
9 Venezia22121055%80.578.0+2.5
10 Sassari2391439%80.784.3-3.7
11 Treviso2281436%84.487.5-3.0
12 Basket Napoli2261627%82.487.0-4.5
13 Scafati2261627%86.593.0-6.5
14 Varese2261627%87.397.8-10.5
15 Cremona2361726%77.482.8-5.4
16 Pistoia2251723%81.488.8-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona3222182294
Pistoia1717161868
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