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Pistoia vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 84-97
12-26 26-20 24-28 22-23
Position#16
Record5-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record15-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game86.2
ItalyLega ARound 21· PalaCarrara
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Pistoia v Brescia
09 Mar 2025
PIS84
BRE97
17 May 2024
PIS77
BRE98
22 Oct 2023
PIS72
BRE84
05 Apr 2020
PIS v BRE
upcoming
09 Dec 2018
PIS73
BRE70
09 May 2018
PIS90
BRE85
07 May 2017
PIS86
BRE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
96avg 74
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 74
H22/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 74
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-115
82
115
-33
69avg 74
H05/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 74
A12/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
111-96
111
96
+15
103avg 74
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
44avg 74
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
84-90
84
90
-6
72avg 74
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 74
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 74
A02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
23-16
24-28
14-17
26-28
19-23
25-23
19-19
14-29
27-22
24-24
18-15
19-27
25-25
21-35
17-28
21-22
15-25
18-17
21-16
28-28
17-31
36-14
30-23
14-24
16-33
16-25
14-22
28-23
18-24
21-16
17-27
24-23
30-22
18-24
17-22
18-21
18-22
18-13
20-14
178.5Avg total
84.9Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.188.5170.6-6.425%
Season at home (10)85.690.0175.6-4.430%
Season away (10)78.687.0165.6-8.420%
Last 10 (10)84.993.6178.5-8.720%
Last 5 (5)83.690.2173.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.387.0165.4-8.725%
vs Similar (10)91.892.3184.1-0.530%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#275
L
46-93
46
93
-47
no box
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 83
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 83
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
91avg 83
H19/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
118-77
118
77
+41
127avg 83
A25/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 83
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 83
H09/02
Lega A
Tortona
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 83
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 83
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#13
W
99-87
99
87
+12
96avg 83
H02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-39
0-0
25-54
13-26
21-24
28-21
22-15
11-27
30-16
23-21
19-13
23-19
29-24
18-17
18-28
30-19
28-21
35-18
25-19
23-27
21-17
19-19
22-27
29-23
21-24
17-21
26-22
24-21
18-12
20-27
24-19
16-16
17-18
19-17
17-23
22-19
18-24
29-19
30-25
172.0Avg total
86.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.886.2177.9+5.675%
Season at home (10)94.490.0184.4+4.480%
Season away (10)89.182.3171.4+6.870%
Last 10 (10)86.185.9172.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)86.484.0170.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.596.5146.0-47.00%
vs Similar (12)81.884.2166.1-2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)97.087.0184.0+10.077%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
PistoiaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H05/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A12/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A02/03
Lega A
91.2Avg total
42.2Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.746.186.8-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.347.890.1-5.520%-
Last 30 away (15)39.144.383.5-5.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.249.091.2-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)42.250.292.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.245.583.7-7.225%-
vs Similar (10)45.847.393.1-1.540%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#275
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Treviso
#11
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H19/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A25/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H09/02
Lega A
Tortona
#7
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/03
Lega A
83.1Avg total
41.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.884.7-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.844.289.0+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)39.641.781.4-2.135%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.683.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.282.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.843.568.2-18.80%-
vs Similar (12)40.643.884.4-3.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.342.490.7+5.969%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.7
51.4%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
35.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.715.5
78.7%
76.8%15.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.5
52.6%
52.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.7
38.2%
35.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws26.520.8
78.5%
76.8%20.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WLLLWLLLLL
Brescia
WLWWLWLWLL
#16
League position
#2
-11.1
Net rating
+8.2
107.6
Offensive rating
118.6
118.8
Defensive rating
110.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.4%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.42
35.4%
3-point %
38.2%
50.2%
Assist %
62.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 118.6Defence118.8 · 110.4Shooting52.0% · 54.2%3-point %35.4% · 38.2%Ball care15.3% · 13.4%Off. rebounds24.2% · 28.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
8
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
29/12/24Brescia v Pistoia90-83
17/05/24Pistoia v Brescia77-98
14/05/24Brescia v Pistoia97-75
12/05/24Brescia v Pistoia79-70
28/01/24Brescia v Pistoia109-90
22/10/23Pistoia v Brescia72-84
08/12/19Brescia v Pistoia86-74
31/03/19Brescia v Pistoia87-79
09/12/18Pistoia v Brescia73-70
09/05/18Pistoia v Brescia90-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ABasket Napoli74-70
08/02/25HScafati89-91
02/02/25HTreviso84-90
25/01/25ATrapani60-104
19/01/25HVarese111-96
12/01/25ATrieste75-80
05/01/25HOlimpia Milano82-115
29/12/24ABrescia83-90
22/12/24HTortona89-93
14/12/24AScafati102-107 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HCremona99-87
15/02/25HOlimpia Milano69-74
12/02/25HTortona86-79
09/02/25HTrieste93-90
02/02/25ABasket Napoli85-90
25/01/25AVarese118-77
19/01/25HTortona98-106 OT
11/01/25HTrento83-77
04/01/25ATreviso84-86
29/12/24AAustin Peay46-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%30%20%
Points / game82.185.678.6
Allowed / game88.590.087.0
Point differential-6.4-4.4-8.4
Avg total170.6175.6165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWLWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%80%70%
Points / game91.894.489.1
Allowed / game86.290.082.3
Point differential+5.6+4.4+6.8
Avg total177.9184.4171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%30%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2015575%85.077.9+7.1
2 Trento2015575%88.382.7+5.7
3 Brescia2015575%91.886.2+5.6
4 Trapani2014670%92.783.3+9.3
5 Olimpia Milano2013765%89.084.8+4.2
6 Reggiana2013765%80.877.1+3.7
7 Trieste2012860%86.283.7+2.5
8 Tortona2112957%85.585.3+0.2
9 Venezia21111052%80.278.4+1.8
10 Treviso2081240%85.387.9-2.5
11 Sassari2171433%80.384.8-4.5
12 Scafati2061430%87.592.8-5.3
13 Cremona2161529%77.282.1-5.0
14 Varese2161529%88.598.7-10.2
15 Pistoia2051525%82.188.5-6.4
16 Basket Napoli2151624%81.986.9-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1226242284
Brescia2620282397
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