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Roseto vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-71
24-18 17-16 20-16 26-21
Position#20
Record4-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game85.4
Roseto 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#19
Record7-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.7
ItalySerie A2Round 27· PalaMaggetti
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Roseto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RosetoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoseto
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
66-67
66
67
-1
57avg 70
H28/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 70
A04/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
69-73
69
73
-4
64avg 70
H11/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A18/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 70
H21/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
69avg 70
A25/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
62-76
62
76
-14
47avg 70
H01/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
64avg 70
A07/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
74-93
74
93
-19
60avg 70
A15/02
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
78-96
78
96
-18
63avg 70
H22/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
7-15
17-20
24-20
21-24
22-22
16-19
26-24
16-14
20-17
14-17
19-25
14-24
17-24
22-19
24-25
18-15
14-21
20-34
25-15
11-22
26-20
20-28
22-10
18-16
14-27
19-21
11-12
18-27
24-25
13-19
20-26
21-21
16-23
21-25
16-24
16-24
25-23
21-20
16-29
159.0Avg total
74.2Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.885.4163.2-7.614%
Season at home (14)77.183.0160.1-5.921%
Season away (14)78.587.9166.4-9.47%
Last 10 (10)74.284.8159.0-10.60%
Last 5 (5)73.688.4162.0-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)77.686.0163.6-8.410%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.984.8163.6-5.925%
vs Weaker (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
56avg 67
A28/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H04/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
89avg 67
A11/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
H18/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 67
A21/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
77avg 67
H25/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-81
61
81
-20
56avg 67
A01/02
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
78-73
78
73
+5
76avg 67
H08/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 67
H15/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 67
A21/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
14-20
23-27
12-23
20-21
17-26
12-18
30-17
19-23
19-25
24-28
23-9
20-21
16-13
20-26
11-21
20-29
23-21
6-11
19-20
15-20
20-14
24-22
15-18
13-14
14-18
15-26
19-23
24-16
20-22
15-12
19-23
28-14
17-28
13-19
14-19
18-28
26-17
15-23
26-22
160.6Avg total
75.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.382.7160.0-5.425%
Season at home (14)78.482.0160.4-3.629%
Season away (14)76.383.4159.7-7.121%
Last 10 (10)75.884.8160.6-9.010%
Last 5 (5)76.282.0158.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)75.583.5159.1-8.015%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.182.0161.1-2.940%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Roseto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
RosetoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H28/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H11/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A25/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H01/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A07/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A15/02
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H22/02
Serie A2
77.2Avg total
35.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.381.8-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.180.3+0.040%-
Last 30 away (15)38.944.483.3-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)35.641.677.2-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.683.4-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)39.742.582.2-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.141.880.9-2.638%-
vs Weaker (1)40.041.081.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A28/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A11/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A21/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H25/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A01/02
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H08/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A21/02
Serie A2
79.8Avg total
38.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.278.7-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.939.578.5-0.660%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.878.9-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.579.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.277.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.839.175.9-2.445%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.042.284.2-0.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Roseto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
50.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.812.2
72.6%
74.4%12.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.7
48.5%
50.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.816.1
81.3%
74.4%16.1
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Roseto
LLLLLLLLLL
Pistoia
LLWLLLLLLL
#20
League position
#19
-10.1
Net rating
-10.6
94.2
Offensive rating
94.0
104.3
Defensive rating
104.6
49.9%
Effective FG%
49.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.4%
3-point %
33.9%
56.0%
Assist %
56.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 94.0Defence104.3 · 104.6Shooting49.9% · 49.5%3-point %32.4% · 33.9%Ball care15.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds26.4% · 25.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)0% · 10%
■ Roseto   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Roseto wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Pistoia v Roseto81-73
Rosetolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HRuvo Di Puglia78-96
15/02/26ABrindisi74-93
07/02/26AScafati75-97
01/02/26HUrania Milano62-76
25/01/26APesaro79-80
21/01/26HMestre77-85
18/01/26ALibertas Livorno77-92
11/01/26HBasket Torino69-73
04/01/26AFortitudo Bologna85-89
28/12/25HBrindisi66-67
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AMestre85-90
15/02/26HUrania Milano72-80
08/02/26HForli78-73
01/02/26AFortitudo Bologna61-81
25/01/26HSebastiani Rieti85-86 OT
21/01/26AJuVi Cremona68-81
18/01/26HVerona67-81
11/01/26AAvellino Basket94-99 OT
04/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia79-82
28/12/25ARimini69-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Roseto
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %14%21%7%
Points / game77.877.178.5
Allowed / game85.483.087.9
Point differential-7.6-5.9-9.4
Avg total163.2160.1166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%29%21%
Points / game77.378.476.3
Allowed / game82.782.083.4
Point differential-5.4-3.6-7.1
Avg total160.0160.4159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)17% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %11%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2921872%82.078.2+3.9
2 Brindisi2819968%78.672.2+6.4
3 Fortitudo Bologna28181064%77.172.6+4.5
4 Libertas Livorno29181162%79.672.8+6.7
5 Scafati29181162%82.177.7+4.3
6 Cividale29181162%77.675.9+1.7
7 Rimini28171161%81.678.0+3.6
8 Sebastiani Rieti28171161%78.776.8+2.0
9 Avellino Basket27161159%81.278.5+2.7
10 Verona29171259%77.573.7+3.8
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona29141548%74.977.0-2.1
13 Basket Torino29131645%72.874.1-1.3
14 Urania Milano29131645%78.481.2-2.8
15 Mestre29121741%77.881.1-3.3
16 Cento28101836%78.180.9-2.8
17 Forli2891932%76.480.9-4.5
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2992031%76.886.2-9.5
19 Pistoia2872125%77.382.7-5.4
20 Roseto2842414%77.885.4-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Roseto2417202687
Pistoia1816162171
← all games of the day
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