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Alba Berlin vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-96
15-22 32-21 17-24 21-29
Position#6
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Rostock 🏆
Germany
Position#12
Record5-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game76.8
GermanyBBLRound 14· Uber Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Rostock
31 Dec 2026
ABE v ROS
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ABE89
ROS85
31 Dec 2024
ABE85
ROS96
24 Apr 2024
ABE91
ROS74
23 Apr 2023
ABE104
ROS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
60-74
60
74
-14
55avg 77
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
84avg 77
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 77
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
62avg 77
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
89avg 77
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 77
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
85avg 77
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
109-83
109
83
+26
109avg 77
A22/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 77
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 77
A28/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
4-23
23-14
20-20
26-18
22-20
20-23
10-17
18-34
19-21
25-24
18-21
16-21
20-14
17-27
14-18
28-30
18-21
18-23
26-17
10-24
20-21
16-24
20-17
19-26
22-18
21-25
23-21
22-19
30-16
34-18
23-30
15-28
19-17
17-16
18-19
21-22
29-21
12-21
14-30
165.8Avg total
79.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.683.8168.5+0.836%
Season at home (5)80.874.8155.6+6.060%
Season away (6)87.891.3179.2-3.517%
Last 10 (10)79.286.6165.8-7.420%
Last 5 (5)81.086.6167.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)78.589.4167.9-10.920%
vs Similar (3)73.774.3148.0-0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.086.0176.0+4.029%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
64-70
64
70
-6
61avg 69
A02/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
65-92
65
92
-27
61avg 69
H05/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 69
A20/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
49avg 69
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
74avg 69
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
64-69
64
69
-5
56avg 69
H10/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
62avg 69
A30/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
70-80
70
80
-10
63avg 69
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
63-80
63
80
-17
53avg 69
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
81avg 69
H26/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
15-16
17-24
15-12
15-23
12-24
6-26
32-19
23-24
17-12
26-20
23-19
17-16
20-19
12-12
11-21
23-16
22-25
18-16
20-9
13-12
22-15
9-25
20-17
18-14
21-21
24-23
18-28
19-14
21-24
15-28
15-14
22-12
12-19
7-26
22-23
30-20
20-23
21-15
21-20
149.5Avg total
73.1Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.776.8153.5-0.242%
Season at home (7)76.675.3151.9+1.343%
Season away (5)76.879.0155.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)73.176.4149.5-3.330%
Last 5 (5)74.078.6152.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.793.5174.2-12.815%
vs Similar (11)76.180.4156.5-4.327%
vs Weaker (5)86.677.6164.2+9.060%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
Alba BerlinRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
17-40
17
40
-23
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A22/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
BBL
82.2Avg total
39.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.883.0-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.443.180.5-5.733%-
Last 30 away (15)40.944.685.5-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.182.2-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.483.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.845.583.2-7.815%-
vs Similar (3)33.738.372.0-4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.641.487.0+4.157%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H05/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A30/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/12
BBL
74.6Avg total
37.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.381.9-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.639.979.5-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.784.3-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.774.6+1.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.874.4+4.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.145.186.2-4.023%-
vs Similar (11)38.838.277.0+0.673%-
vs Weaker (5)43.437.480.8+6.080%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.4
55.9%
52.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.15.9
26.7%
33.6%17.7
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
73.5%15.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.4
51.3%
52.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws14.49.6
66.7%
73.5%9.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWLLLLLWL
Rostock
WLLLLWLWLL
#6
League position
#12
-9.9
Net rating
-4.0
102.4
Offensive rating
100.7
112.3
Defensive rating
104.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
21.3%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.23
26.7%
3-point %
33.1%
70.7%
Assist %
50.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 100.7Defence112.3 · 104.7Shooting50.2% · 50.6%3-point %26.7% · 33.1%Ball care20.1% · 21.3%Off. rebounds30.1% · 32.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
0
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
24/04/24Alba Berlin v Rostock91-74
10/03/24Rostock v Alba Berlin75-76
23/04/23Alba Berlin v Rostock104-79
30/10/22Rostock v Alba Berlin70-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24ASyntainics MBC76-94
26/12/24HReal Madrid69-80
22/12/24AGottingen109-83
20/12/24AOlympiacos85-90
17/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas66-86
12/12/24HPartizan90-91
08/12/24ABamberg67-80
06/12/24AMonaco80-100
04/12/24AVirtus Bologna90-88 OT
01/12/24HLudwigsburg60-74
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24HHamburg92-78
21/12/24ABasketball Braunschweig63-80
15/12/24HBayern70-80
30/11/24AHeidelberg81-86
10/11/24HBonn64-69
01/11/24HFrankfurt83-66
27/10/24HChemnitz60-68
20/10/24ABamberg89-75
05/10/24HWurzburg65-92
02/10/24ALudwigsburg64-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game84.680.887.8
Allowed / game83.874.891.3
Point differential+0.8+6.0-3.5
Avg total168.5155.6179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%43%40%
Points / game76.776.676.8
Allowed / game76.875.379.0
Point differential-0.2+1.3-2.2
Avg total153.5151.9155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern129375%82.074.8+7.2
2 Heidelberg139469%79.877.5+2.4
3 Wurzburg128467%81.174.8+6.3
4 Basketball Braunschweig128467%78.575.9+2.6
5 Ulm117464%83.278.4+4.8
6 Ludwigsburg148657%75.171.0+4.1
7 Vechta116555%82.383.9-1.6
8 Syntainics MBC137654%83.882.3+1.5
9 Bonn137654%85.084.2+0.8
10 Chemnitz137654%79.680.6-1.0
11 Bamberg126650%81.581.7-0.2
12 Rostock125742%76.776.8-0.2
13 Oldenburg135838%86.286.9-0.8
14 Alba Berlin114736%84.683.8+0.8
15 Hamburg124833%80.382.0-1.7
16 Frankfurt1331023%77.584.7-7.2
17 Gottingen111109%78.397.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1532172185
Rostock2221242996
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