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Alba Berlin vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-74
21-20 21-20 24-11 25-23
Position#2
Record22-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#15
Record8-20
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game93.4
GermanyBBLRound 12· Uber Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Rostock
31 Dec 2026
ABE v ROS
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ABE89
ROS85
31 Dec 2024
ABE85
ROS96
24 Apr 2024
ABE91
ROS74
23 Apr 2023
ABE104
ROS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
81avg 78
A21/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 78
A24/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
68-103
68
103
-35
59avg 78
A29/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 78
H31/03
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
77avg 78
H04/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
100-91
100
91
+9
98avg 78
H07/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
72avg 78
A11/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
76-67
76
67
+9
45avg 78
A14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
83avg 78
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
98-92
98
92
+6
98avg 78
H21/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
17-30
27-12
17-20
18-22
21-13
24-21
21-23
18-34
22-18
13-31
15-20
19-16
21-21
23-15
22-13
15-23
19-24
28-25
21-22
27-23
28-21
25-24
20-23
23-17
14-21
26-22
12-24
16-22
22-15
15-17
23-13
16-5
24-17
22-26
22-28
20-24
25-19
28-23
25-26
167.3Avg total
83.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)91.782.0173.6+9.781%
Season at home (13)96.381.2177.5+15.192%
Season away (14)87.482.6170.0+4.771%
Last 10 (10)83.783.6167.3+0.160%
Last 5 (5)86.682.0168.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.588.3165.8-10.814%
vs Similar (5)89.082.8171.8+6.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.778.3169.0+12.591%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
L
89-105
89
105
-16
75avg 78
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 78
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
102-106
102
106
-4
94avg 78
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 78
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 78
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
no box
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
64-99
64
99
-35
51avg 78
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 78
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
71-96
71
96
-25
19avg 78
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
95avg 78
A20/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
19-29
23-25
23-22
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-22
26-26
23-27
26-30
27-23
19-27
17-15
25-10
14-24
18-22
26-17
18-12
24-37
34-20
14-19
22-27
12-16
21-20
15-25
19-24
9-30
27-13
28-22
21-15
16-25
21-15
15-28
24-24
11-29
21-26
22-17
21-21
31-22
176.3Avg total
84.2Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.693.4182.0-4.729%
Season at home (15)89.094.9183.9-5.933%
Season away (13)88.291.6179.8-3.423%
Last 10 (10)84.292.1176.3-7.920%
Last 5 (5)82.690.8173.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)84.192.9177.0-8.818%
vs Similar (5)94.895.4190.2-0.640%
vs Weaker (8)89.282.6171.9+6.675%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -6.8-6.8
Alba BerlinRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A21/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A29/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H31/03
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H04/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H07/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A11/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/04
BBL
81.6Avg total
40.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.383.1+0.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.141.884.9+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)40.340.781.0-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.881.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.879.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.644.683.2-5.929%-
vs Similar (5)42.439.281.6+3.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.538.183.5+7.482%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A20/04
BBL
87.7Avg total
43.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.688.6-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.344.288.5+0.141%-
Last 30 away (13)43.545.288.7-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.287.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.084.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.846.889.6-4.124%-
vs Similar (5)47.848.696.4-0.820%-
vs Weaker (8)44.137.581.6+6.688%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.2
54.6%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.1
33.9%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.8
78.2%
76.0%15.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.1
54.8%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
76.0%14.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWLWLWLWL
Rostock
WLWLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#15
-0.7
Net rating
-9.8
109.0
Offensive rating
107.6
109.7
Defensive rating
117.4
53.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
20.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.9%
3-point %
35.6%
61.8%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 107.6Defence109.7 · 117.4Shooting53.2% · 54.2%3-point %33.9% · 35.6%Ball care20.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds34.2% · 23.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
0
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Rostock v Alba Berlin75-76
23/04/23Alba Berlin v Rostock104-79
30/10/22Rostock v Alba Berlin70-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HBamberg98-92
17/04/24AHamburg84-76
14/04/24ASyntainics MBC76-67
11/04/24APanathinaikos75-84
07/04/24HLudwigsburg100-91
04/04/24HPartizan83-94
31/03/24HHamburg85-65
29/03/24AFenerbahce68-103
24/03/24AChemnitz84-79
21/03/24AAnadolu Efes84-85
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AWurzburg95-86
14/04/24HUlm71-96
05/04/24ATubingen92-75
31/03/24HOldenburg64-99
22/03/24HBamberg91-98 OT
16/03/24AHeidelberg86-88
10/03/24HAlba Berlin75-76
02/03/24ASyntainics MBC102-106
14/02/24HVechta77-92
10/02/24AHamburg89-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %81%92%71%
Points / game91.796.387.4
Allowed / game82.081.282.6
Point differential+9.7+15.1+4.7
Avg total173.6177.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%69%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %29%33%23%
Points / game88.689.088.2
Allowed / game93.494.991.6
Point differential-4.7-5.9-3.4
Avg total182.0183.9179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %18%20%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2823582%89.377.6+11.7
2 Alba Berlin2722581%91.782.0+9.7
3 Chemnitz2923679%89.678.6+10.9
4 Wurzburg2920969%86.079.3+6.7
5 Ulm2920969%92.285.7+6.6
6 Vechta29181162%89.082.4+6.5
7 Ludwigsburg29171259%88.481.8+6.7
8 Bonn29171259%89.585.9+3.6
9 Oldenburg29151452%85.083.9+1.1
10 Hamburg29141548%85.386.5-1.2
11 Bamberg29121741%88.290.9-2.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig29121741%82.485.9-3.5
13 Gottingen2992031%86.594.1-7.6
14 Rostock2882029%88.693.4-4.7
15 Syntainics MBC2982128%85.192.8-7.7
16 Heidelberg2982128%82.794.0-11.3
17 Crailsheim Merlins2972224%81.392.6-11.3
18 Tubingen2962321%84.096.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2121242591
Rostock2020112374
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