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Rostock vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-110
20-29 17-29 14-25 28-27
Position#28
Record1-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Aris 🏆
Position#4
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeEurocupRound 4· Stadthalle Rostock
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 77
H12/05
BBL
Trier
#12
L
69-76
69
76
-7
56avg 77
A14/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#18
W
102-92
102
92
+10
98avg 77
H19/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 77
A24/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 77
A27/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
58avg 77
A29/09
Eurocup
Hamburg
#16
W
91-84
91
84
+7
85avg 77
A03/10
BBL
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
87-86
87
86
+1
85avg 77
H06/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#7
W
101-62
101
62
+39
99avg 77
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 77
A14/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
21-21
25-9
24-24
24-24
19-23
17-15
9-14
39-11
22-22
17-26
24-33
20-10
24-31
20-16
14-24
13-30
21-16
27-24
21-13
18-25
19-24
17-24
19-21
21-13
25-19
21-19
24-33
20-26
22-15
22-25
23-20
19-21
21-14
35-6
26-21
18-19
16-32
18-20
18-11
165.5Avg total
84.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.787.3164.0-10.733%
Season at home (1)87.086.0173.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)71.588.0159.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)84.481.1165.5+3.350%
Last 5 (5)84.481.6166.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.788.0164.7-11.30%
vs Similar (8)79.978.5158.4+1.450%
vs Weaker (16)89.681.4171.1+8.256%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
79avg 79
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 79
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 79
H17/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
99-102
99
102
-3
97avg 79
A25/05
Basket League
Le Mans
#12
W
87-74
87
74
+13
91avg 79
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
62avg 79
A03/10
Basket League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
93-80
93
80
+13
86avg 79
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 79
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 79
H17/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
12-16
20-18
24-16
17-17
23-29
14-20
27-21
25-23
27-26
19-19
19-13
25-32
21-20
22-24
31-26
15-26
24-14
24-15
24-19
20-12
15-23
20-22
13-17
28-14
25-16
16-25
24-25
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
158.9Avg total
84.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.374.0163.3+15.3100%
Season at home (2)90.574.0164.5+16.5100%
Season away (1)87.074.0161.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.374.6158.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)82.267.4149.6+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.296.5180.8-12.212%
vs Similar (8)82.982.5165.4+0.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.675.2162.8+12.493%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
RostockAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/05
BBL
Trier
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#18
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H19/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A24/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A27/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A29/09
Eurocup
Hamburg
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A03/10
BBL
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
83.6Avg total
42.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.783.0+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.037.682.6+7.480%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.983.3-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.383.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.681.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.345.083.3-6.733%-
vs Similar (8)42.241.083.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (16)45.637.182.7+8.475%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/05
Basket League
Le Mans
#12
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/10
Basket League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
79.6Avg total
42.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.284.8+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.437.780.1+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)42.746.889.5-4.113%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.679.6+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.431.674.0+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.546.886.2-7.212%-
vs Similar (8)42.643.986.5-1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.338.783.0+5.657%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.8
50.9%
54.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.3
34.7%
34.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.6%
75.6%14.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.3
50.4%
54.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.8
34.0%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.518.3
77.9%
75.6%18.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWWWLLLWLW
Aris
WWWWLWLWLW
#28
League position
#4
+3.5
Net rating
+11.3
94.2
Offensive rating
95.3
90.7
Defensive rating
84.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.7%
3-point %
34.0%
58.1%
Assist %
71.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 95.3Defence90.7 · 84.0Shooting51.4% · 50.7%3-point %34.7% · 34.0%Ball care15.8% · 15.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Rostock   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
0
Aris wins
No previous meetings.
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26ALe Mans70-82
10/10/26HWurzburg101-62
06/10/26HRigas Zelli87-86
03/10/26AHamburg91-84
29/09/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-94
27/09/26ABasketball Braunschweig82-83
24/09/26ALudwigsburg78-81
19/09/26HPhoenix Hagen102-92
14/05/26ATrier69-76
12/05/26HLudwigsburg91-71
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
07/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos93-80
03/10/26AAS Karditsas68-74
29/09/26ALe Mans87-74
25/05/26AAEK Athens99-102
17/05/26HAEK Athens90-81
14/05/26AAEK Athens81-87
25/04/26HPanionios75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game76.787.071.5
Allowed / game87.386.088.0
Point differential-10.7+1.0-16.5
Avg total164.0173.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.390.587.0
Allowed / game74.074.074.0
Point differential+15.3+16.5+13.0
Avg total163.3164.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.330100%97.375.3+22.0
2 Aris330100%89.374.0+15.3
3 Hapoel Jerusalem330100%84.773.7+11.0
4 Basket Napoli330100%87.777.7+10.0
5 Tofas330100%87.078.7+8.3
6 Lietkabelis43175%80.276.8+3.5
7 Venezia32167%90.378.3+12.0
8 Tenerife32167%85.078.3+6.7
9 Rigas Zelli32167%87.083.3+3.7
10 Ulm32167%96.392.7+3.7
11 PAOK32167%84.781.7+3.0
12 Chemnitz32167%83.382.0+1.3
13 BC Roma32167%82.383.3-1.0
14 Cluj-Napoca32167%82.085.3-3.3
15 Frankfurt32167%77.383.7-6.3
16 Buducnost42250%90.886.8+4.0
17 Siauliai42250%78.581.8-3.2
18 London Lions31233%78.777.3+1.3
19 Maxima Roma31233%79.081.0-2.0
20 Le Mans31233%79.782.0-2.3
21 San Pablo Burgos31233%83.086.3-3.3
22 Manresa31233%89.094.0-5.0
23 Slask Wroclaw31233%83.788.7-5.0
24 Tortona31233%80.385.7-5.3
25 Trento31233%79.085.0-6.0
26 Rostock31233%76.787.3-10.7
27 Turk Telekom41325%79.082.0-3.0
28 Neptunas41325%84.890.5-5.8
29 KK Bosna3030%79.084.0-5.0
30 JL Bourg3030%82.388.7-6.3
31 Cedevita Olimpija3030%74.783.0-8.3
32 Balkan4040%68.285.0-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2017142879
Aris29292527110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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