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Nevezis vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 99-92
21-25 35-24 18-26 25-17
Position#8
Record5-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game81.7
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#11
Record1-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game86.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Nevezis v Gargzdai
04 Apr 2027
NEV v GAR
upcoming
02 Nov 2026
NEV87
GAR76
14 Oct 2026
NEV86
GAR101
26 Apr 2026
NEV85
GAR90
03 Nov 2025
NEV94
GAR87
08 Oct 2025
NEV72
GAR94
04 Dec 2023
NEV92
GAR80
19 Dec 2022
NEV99
GAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
no box
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 70
H05/11
LKL
Jonava
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
57avg 70
H21/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
no box
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
93-84
93
84
+9
87avg 70
A26/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 70
H04/12
LKL
Rytas
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 70
A12/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
20-19
18-23
32-28
20-19
17-15
12-28
24-16
18-15
19-27
24-21
24-17
21-15
16-18
17-23
13-15
20-23
24-14
30-26
17-28
16-19
27-17
28-20
22-28
14-20
23-30
24-27
24-9
26-20
20-19
23-23
20-19
18-19
16-21
23-18
21-12
23-30
21-15
19-21
16-20
173.2Avg total
87.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.981.7160.6-2.842%
Season at home (5)77.280.6157.8-3.420%
Season away (7)80.182.4162.6-2.357%
Last 10 (10)87.785.5173.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)84.881.4166.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.587.6163.1-12.117%
vs Similar (13)82.584.2166.8-1.746%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)92.488.0180.4+4.480%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 75
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
62avg 75
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 75
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
67avg 75
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
95-68
95
68
+27
100avg 75
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
77avg 75
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
85-92
85
92
-7
85avg 75
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 75
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
A12/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
16-23
19-19
23-22
13-14
19-23
19-23
17-13
18-20
14-26
22-21
20-19
16-20
18-27
17-18
18-29
23-28
19-18
18-12
11-15
24-20
22-15
27-19
22-14
20-23
12-25
31-27
18-24
17-26
15-22
26-25
27-19
18-23
23-14
18-25
9-23
26-24
18-30
16-21
22-21
161.3Avg total
76.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.786.0163.7-8.38%
Season at home (6)72.583.2155.7-10.70%
Season away (6)82.888.8171.7-6.017%
Last 10 (10)76.984.4161.3-7.510%
Last 5 (5)82.288.0170.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.586.7161.2-12.20%
vs Similar (2)93.582.5176.0+11.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
NevezisGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H05/11
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H21/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A26/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/12
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/12
LKL
79.2Avg total
39.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.083.2-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.941.381.2-1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.644.985.4-4.336%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.479.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.082.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.843.182.9-3.242%-
vs Similar (13)39.843.683.5-3.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.241.083.2+1.280%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A12/12
LKL
80.4Avg total
36.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)36.743.680.2-6.917%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.841.377.2-5.517%-
Last 30 away (6)37.545.883.3-8.317%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.580.4-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.483.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.744.380.0-8.610%-
vs Similar (2)41.540.081.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.0
50.3%
54.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.5
29.1%
35.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.817.3
79.4%
74.2%17.3
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.4
52.3%
54.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.0
34.0%
35.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.913.3
63.6%
74.2%13.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWWLWWLWLW
Gargzdai
LLLLWLLLLL
#8
League position
#11
-4.2
Net rating
-10.3
105.8
Offensive rating
104.1
110.0
Defensive rating
114.4
47.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
23.2%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.1%
3-point %
34.0%
59.2%
Assist %
75.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 104.1Defence110.0 · 114.4Shooting47.6% · 51.8%3-point %29.1% · 34.0%Ball care17.1% · 23.2%Off. rebounds31.7% · 38.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Nevezis   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevezis wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
29/10/22Gargzdai v Nevezis71-73
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/22ANeptunas79-86
07/12/22HRytas78-70
04/12/22HPrienai89-81
01/12/22APieno Zvaigzdes85-86
26/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes93-84
23/11/22ASiauliai106-101 OT
21/11/22HNeptunas67-71
16/11/22HJonava85-80
05/11/22HLietkabelis73-78
02/11/22HPieno Zvaigzdes122-118 OT
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/22ABC Wolves82-96
04/12/22HJuventus68-85
28/11/22AJonava85-92
19/11/22HRytas81-99
06/11/22APrienai95-68
29/10/22HNevezis71-73
24/10/22ANeptunas69-94
16/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-86
09/10/22HBC Wolves68-73
07/10/22HSiauliai76-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%20%57%
Points / game78.977.280.1
Allowed / game81.780.682.4
Point differential-2.8-3.4-2.3
Avg total160.6157.8162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%0%17%
Points / game77.772.582.8
Allowed / game86.083.288.8
Point differential-8.3-10.7-6.0
Avg total163.7155.7171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1312192%88.071.8+16.2
2 Rytas129375%90.184.2+5.9
3 BC Wolves139469%83.979.6+4.3
4 Juventus139469%85.682.8+2.8
5 Jonava128467%83.279.2+3.9
6 Lietkabelis138562%85.581.7+3.8
7 Siauliai136746%81.882.5-0.8
8 Neptunas125742%80.581.7-1.2
9 Nevezis125742%78.981.7-2.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes123925%79.889.5-9.8
11 Gargzdai121118%77.786.0-8.3
12 Prienai130130%76.992.1-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2135182599
Gargzdai2524261792
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