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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 86-79
30-23 15-21 21-19 20-16
Position#7
Record4-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#8
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game81.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 73
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 73
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 73
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
105-72
105
72
+33
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 73
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
L
60-61
60
61
-1
50avg 73
A06/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
26-26
23-26
21-24
18-21
21-35
16-13
22-24
19-17
28-24
29-22
34-26
18-17
30-21
22-19
30-23
23-19
22-24
20-13
25-28
15-21
18-16
23-17
15-13
23-14
30-15
26-22
26-21
19-13
22-24
9-27
23-16
28-15
23-27
27-21
21-23
22-16
10-9
10-20
18-16
167.8Avg total
87.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.081.9161.9-1.936%
Season at home (5)86.682.6169.2+4.040%
Season away (6)74.581.3155.8-6.833%
Last 10 (10)87.180.7167.8+6.460%
Last 5 (5)81.673.2154.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.182.8158.9-6.736%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.178.4154.6-2.344%
vs Weaker (10)95.482.1177.5+13.380%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 69
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
no box
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 69
H05/11
LKL
Jonava
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
57avg 69
H21/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
no box
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
93-84
93
84
+9
87avg 69
A26/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 69
H04/12
LKL
Rytas
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
18-19
12-18
15-11
19-19
20-19
18-23
32-28
20-19
17-15
12-28
24-16
18-15
19-27
24-21
24-17
21-15
16-18
17-23
13-15
20-23
24-14
30-26
17-28
16-19
27-17
28-20
22-28
14-20
23-30
24-27
24-9
26-20
20-19
23-23
20-19
18-19
16-21
23-18
21-12
171.1Avg total
87.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.981.3160.2-2.445%
Season at home (5)77.280.6157.8-3.420%
Season away (6)80.381.8162.2-1.567%
Last 10 (10)87.184.0171.1+3.170%
Last 5 (5)90.284.4174.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.688.1163.7-12.515%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.884.1166.9-1.250%
vs Weaker (5)92.488.0180.4+4.480%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A06/12
LKL
82.4Avg total
43.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.580.3+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.482.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.577.7-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.382.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.034.076.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.540.177.6-2.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.940.279.1-1.344%-
vs Weaker (10)46.238.184.3+8.180%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H05/11
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H21/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A26/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/12
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
79.1Avg total
40.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.183.2-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.941.381.2-1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.245.285.4-5.036%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.179.1+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.481.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.843.683.4-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.543.583.0-4.033%-
vs Weaker (5)42.241.083.2+1.280%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.3
51.2%
54.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.4
31.3%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.2
67.9%
74.2%14.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.0
51.1%
54.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.6
29.8%
35.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.317.6
78.9%
74.2%17.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLWWWWWLL
Nevezis
WWLWWLWLWW
#7
League position
#8
-8.0
Net rating
-3.1
102.3
Offensive rating
106.4
110.3
Defensive rating
109.6
49.3%
Effective FG%
48.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.3%
3-point %
29.8%
64.6%
Assist %
59.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 106.4Defence110.3 · 109.6Shooting49.3% · 48.5%3-point %31.3% · 29.8%Ball care19.1% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.1% · 31.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Neptunas wins
1
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
21/11/22Nevezis v Neptunas67-71
03/04/22Neptunas v Nevezis95-61
20/12/21Nevezis v Neptunas83-88
12/12/21Neptunas v Nevezis94-87
03/11/21Nevezis v Neptunas72-85
03/10/21Neptunas v Nevezis97-95 OT
07/12/19Neptunas v Nevezis88-78
19/10/19Nevezis v Neptunas75-68
28/04/19Neptunas v Nevezis86-76
25/03/19Nevezis v Neptunas70-78
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/22ASiauliai60-61
30/11/22HJuventus99-86
26/11/22ALietkabelis73-80
24/11/22APrienai105-72
21/11/22ANevezis71-67
17/11/22ABC Wolves90-84
05/11/22HBC Wolves100-80
03/11/22HPrienai110-89
31/10/22HJonava77-93
27/10/22AJuventus86-95
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22HRytas78-70
04/12/22HPrienai89-81
01/12/22APieno Zvaigzdes85-86
26/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes93-84
23/11/22ASiauliai106-101 OT
21/11/22HNeptunas67-71
16/11/22HJonava85-80
05/11/22HLietkabelis73-78
02/11/22HPieno Zvaigzdes122-118 OT
29/10/22AGargzdai73-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL36%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game80.086.674.5
Allowed / game81.982.681.3
Point differential-1.9+4.0-6.8
Avg total161.9169.2155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%20%67%
Points / game78.977.280.3
Allowed / game81.380.681.8
Point differential-2.4-3.4-1.5
Avg total160.2157.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1211192%88.271.4+16.8
2 Rytas118373%88.582.6+5.9
3 Lietkabelis128467%86.281.4+4.8
4 Jonava128467%83.279.2+3.9
5 Juventus128467%85.184.0+1.1
6 BC Wolves117464%82.380.2+2.1
7 Siauliai126650%80.280.5-0.3
8 Nevezis115645%78.981.3-2.4
9 Neptunas114736%80.081.9-1.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes113827%80.589.5-8.9
11 Gargzdai111109%77.385.1-7.8
12 Prienai120120%77.792.1-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas3015212086
Nevezis2321191679
← all games of the day
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