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Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 98-115
26-28 18-34 25-23 29-30
Position#27
Record8-27
FormWLLLL
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game122.5
vs
Position#21
Record15-20
FormLWWLW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· Golden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Sacramento Kings v Milwaukee Bucks
20 Jan 2027
SAC v MIL
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
SAC98
MIL115
22 Mar 2025
SAC108
MIL114
12 Mar 2024
SAC129
MIL94
13 Mar 2023
SAC124
MIL133
16 Mar 2022
SAC126
MIL135
03 Apr 2021
SAC128
MIL129
25 Jul 2020
SAC123
MIL131
10 Jan 2020
SAC106
MIL127
27 Feb 2019
SAC140
MIL141
28 Nov 2017
SAC87
MIL112
22 Mar 2017
SAC98
MIL116
01 Feb 2016
SAC111
MIL104
18 Dec 2014
SAC107
MIL108
23 Mar 2014
SAC124
MIL107
10 Mar 2013
SAC113
MIL115
05 Jan 2012
SAC103
MIL100
23 Dec 2010
SAC79
MIL84
19 Mar 2010
SAC108
MIL114
16 Jan 2009
SAC122
MIL129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento Kings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
103-117
103
117
-14
91avg 105
A15/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
133-134 OT
133
134
-1
126avg 105
A19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
93-98
93
98
-5
79avg 105
H21/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
120avg 105
H22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
127-136
127
136
-9
117avg 105
H24/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
113-107
113
107
+6
105avg 105
H27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
101-125
101
125
-24
93avg 105
A29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
90-131
90
131
-41
77avg 105
A31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
106-120
106
120
-14
98avg 105
H02/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
102-129
102
129
-27
88avg 105
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
25-31
32-37
19-29
40-36
20-27
23-19
32-33
26-28
18-19
25-25
24-26
30-31
27-37
25-23
30-21
24-37
34-38
39-40
30-21
31-23
28-21
29-33
25-30
24-30
29-38
27-31
21-26
20-34
20-39
31-27
19-31
29-28
32-34
27-26
18-32
29-32
27-30
27-35
19-32
231.4Avg total
109.3Scored
122.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)110.6122.5233.1-11.823%
Season at home (16)110.3121.1231.4-10.831%
Season away (19)110.9123.6234.5-12.716%
Last 10 (10)109.3122.1231.4-12.820%
Last 5 (5)102.4122.4224.8-20.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)110.2122.9233.1-12.724%
vs Similar ◀ (5)112.4125.8238.2-13.420%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
116-101
116
101
+15
118avg 108
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
82-127
82
127
-45
70avg 108
A14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
105-111
105
111
-6
97avg 108
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 108
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
111-94
111
94
+17
106avg 108
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
104-125
104
125
-21
94avg 108
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
112-103
112
103
+9
105avg 108
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
123-113
123
113
+10
116avg 108
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
113-114
113
114
-1
105avg 108
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
122-121
122
121
+1
118avg 108
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-35
31-32
27-13
29-21
25-37
23-28
23-34
11-28
25-31
28-26
23-26
29-28
29-23
31-25
15-27
25-28
26-20
33-24
27-24
25-26
35-25
15-35
33-32
21-33
28-26
26-24
31-30
27-23
25-26
38-40
32-23
28-24
32-30
30-35
26-21
25-28
24-38
27-22
36-31
35-30
220.0Avg total
108.8Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)113.3116.0229.3-2.743%
Season at home (18)117.2116.6233.8+0.650%
Season away (17)109.2115.4224.6-6.235%
Last 10 (10)108.8111.2220.0-2.450%
Last 5 (5)114.8115.2230.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)110.5116.9227.4-6.426%
vs Similar ◀ (9)113.0113.6226.6-0.667%
vs Weaker (2)119.5121.5241.0-2.00%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
Sacramento KingsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A15/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H21/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H24/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
40-73
40
73
-33
A31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H02/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A03/01
NBA
115.3Avg total
54.0Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.063.5118.5-8.513%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.763.2116.9-9.57%-
Last 30 away (16)56.163.8119.9-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)54.061.3115.3-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)53.861.8115.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)54.962.8117.6-7.916%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)55.667.2122.8-11.60%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H03/01
NBA
114.2Avg total
56.0Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.759.5115.2-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.861.2117.0-5.433%-
Last 30 away (15)55.757.8113.5-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)56.058.2114.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)56.060.2116.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)54.260.9115.1-6.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)57.256.0113.2+1.267%-
vs Weaker (2)64.061.5125.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.329.7
50.1%
54.8%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.1
34.1%
35.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.119.6
78.1%
78.1%19.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.026.4
55.0%
54.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.113.4
37.1%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws20.015.8
79.0%
78.1%15.8
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sacramento Kings
LLLLWLWLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLWLLLW
#27
League position
#21
-12.4
Net rating
-2.4
105.8
Offensive rating
109.7
118.2
Defensive rating
112.1
50.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.1%
3-point %
37.1%
61.8%
Assist %
61.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 109.7Defence118.2 · 112.1Shooting50.4% · 55.3%3-point %34.1% · 37.1%Ball care14.7% · 15.0%Off. rebounds27.9% · 21.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Sacramento Kings   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sacramento Kings wins
8
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26APhoenix Suns102-129
02/01/26HBoston Celtics106-120
31/12/25ALos Angeles Clippers90-131
29/12/25ALos Angeles Lakers101-125
27/12/25HDallas Mavericks113-107
24/12/25HDetroit Pistons127-136
22/12/25HHouston Rockets125-124 OT
21/12/25HPortland Trail Blazers93-98
19/12/25APortland Trail Blazers133-134 OT
15/12/25AMinnesota Timberwolves103-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HCharlotte Hornets122-121
01/01/26HWashington Wizards113-114
30/12/25ACharlotte Hornets123-113
28/12/25AChicago Bulls112-103
27/12/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-125
24/12/25AIndiana Pacers111-94
22/12/25AMinnesota Timberwolves100-103
19/12/25HToronto Raptors105-111
14/12/25ABrooklyn Nets82-127
12/12/25HBoston Celtics116-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento Kings
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLWLWL31%
AwayLLLLL16%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %23%31%16%
Points / game110.6110.3110.9
Allowed / game122.5121.1123.6
Point differential-11.8-10.8-12.7
Avg total233.1231.4234.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %9%12%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLWLWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %43%50%35%
Points / game113.3117.2109.2
Allowed / game116.0116.6115.4
Point differential-2.7+0.6-6.2
Avg total229.3233.8224.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%39%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3429585%121.8107.6+14.2
2 Detroit Pistons3526974%118.8112.7+6.0
3 San Antonio Spurs33231070%119.6114.2+5.5
4 Los Angeles Lakers31211068%117.1116.9+0.2
5 Denver Nuggets35231266%124.3118.1+6.2
6 Houston Rockets32211166%120.0111.4+8.6
7 Boston Celtics34221265%117.9110.7+7.1
8 Minnesota Timberwolves36231364%119.6114.6+4.9
9 New York Knicks33211264%120.2115.2+5.0
10 Phoenix Suns34211362%116.0112.4+3.6
11 Toronto Raptors35211460%114.8112.5+2.3
12 Philadelphia 76ers33191458%117.0116.1+0.9
13 Miami Heat35201557%121.2117.3+3.9
14 Orlando Magic34191556%117.0115.2+1.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers37201754%119.2116.8+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors36191753%115.2113.9+1.2
17 Chicago Bulls35171849%118.3121.8-3.5
18 Atlanta Hawks37172046%119.0119.9-0.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers36162044%116.3119.6-3.3
20 Memphis Grizzlies34151944%116.0116.9-0.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks35152043%113.3116.0-2.7
22 Dallas Mavericks36132336%113.5117.5-4.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers34122235%112.4114.6-2.2
24 Utah Jazz34122235%119.7126.7-7.1
25 Charlotte Hornets35122334%115.8118.5-2.6
26 Brooklyn Nets33112233%109.5114.3-4.8
27 Washington Wizards3492526%113.4124.4-11.0
28 Sacramento Kings3582723%110.6122.5-11.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans3782922%115.2123.1-8.0
30 Indiana Pacers3663017%110.6119.7-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sacramento Kings2618252998
Milwaukee Bucks28342330115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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