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Sacramento State vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 81-71
Projected total 151.2
Final 56-75
36-33 20-42
Position#284
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game78.5
Sacramento State
USA
Vs
81%
19%
■ SACR 81%■ UC D 19%
Pythia win probability
UC Davis 🏆
USA
Position#121
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sacramento State v UC Davis
14 Nov 2026
SACR56
UC D75
14 Dec 2024
SACR62
UC D69
23 Nov 2021
SACR75
UC D63
19 Dec 2020
SACR v UC D
upcoming
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Sacramento State faces UC Davis in the NCAA on 14 November 2026, and the Pythia model names the Hornets as the clear favourite, rating them 81% to win largely because of their higher points per game, 83.5 versus 73.7, and a stronger defensive average, 78.5 allowed compared with 66.7, while UC Davis sits 167th in the league. Sacramento State has a 1-1 record after two games, scoring 83.5 points per game and conceding 78.5, and they are undefeated at home with a 1-0 record, 90.0 points scored and 74.0 allowed, though they lost their most recent outing to Santa Clara 77-83 away. UC Davis is 2-1 after three games, averaging 73.7 points and allowing 66.7, and they won two of their last five, including a 81-69 win over Incarnate Word at home. The teams have met five times, UC Davis winning three and Sacramento State two, with UC Davis winning the last encounter 77-73 on 14 November 2025. Pythia projects an 81-71 score, 151.2 total points, a 73% chance Sacramento State covers the -3.5 line, a 33% chance of the over at 158.0, and a 4% chance of overtime. The Hornets' home record and higher offensive output give them the edge.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winLost
80.8%fair 1.24
Best odds1.64
Implied59.3%
Edge+21.5pp
UC Davis winWon
19.2%fair 5.20
Best odds2.50
Implied40.7%
Edge-21.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A28/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H03/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A08/03
NCAA
William Jessup
#369
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-51
42-44
25-38
49-41
39-57
55-45
40-42
40-44
32-42
41-39
33-37
28-45
46-29
37-36
13-27
32-41
50-42
40-32
36-45
41-38
157.1Avg total
75.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.578.5162.0+5.050%
Season at home (1)90.074.0164.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)75.681.5157.1-5.920%
Last 5 (5)71.274.4145.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.684.9159.5-10.319%
vs Similar (7)78.478.4156.9+0.043%
vs Weaker (1)94.046.0140.0+48.0100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#187
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A20/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
76-70 OT
76
70
+6
A06/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
69-79 OT
69
79
-10
A08/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H12/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A13/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#244
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H03/11
NCAA
Menlo
#361
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H06/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-36
42-57
37-31
41-42
31-43
42-34
31-34
31-28
38-28
27-37
34-31
45-42
26-38
44-44
45-36
30-43
26-24
39-28
49-33
32-36
150.5Avg total
75.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.766.7140.3+7.067%
Season at home (3)73.766.7140.3+7.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.874.7150.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)74.071.0145.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.575.8147.2-4.225%
vs Similar (11)78.579.9158.4-1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.273.0149.2+3.269%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
46.3%
@ 1.37-22.8pp
Under 152.5
53.7%
@ 3.20+22.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.20
Betano
2.82
Over/Under 157.5 · main lineActual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
34.6%
@ 1.81-19.2pp
Under 157.5
65.4%
@ 2.35+19.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.81
1xBet
1.80
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Be
1.65
Betano
1.60
Under
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.18
WilliamHill
2.00
Marathon Be
1.93
SBO
1.88
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
24.3%
@ 2.03-22.6pp
Under 162.5
75.7%
@ 1.79+22.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.03
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.02
Marathon Be
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Be
1.78
Bet365
1.74
Betano
1.70

📊 3. Team Totals

Sacramento State total 77Actual: Sacramento State under 77
Over 77
64.4%
Under 77
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sacramento State total 81 · main lineActual: Sacramento State under 81
Over 81
48.1%
@ 1.85-1.9pp
Under 81
51.9%
@ 1.85+1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Sacramento State total 85Actual: Sacramento State under 85
Over 85
32.1%
Under 85
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UC Davis total 74Actual: UC Davis over 74
Over 74
36.2%
Under 74
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UC Davis total 78 · main lineActual: UC Davis under 78
Over 78
22.7%
@ 1.87-27.0pp
Under 78
77.3%
@ 1.85+27.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
UC Davis total 81.5Actual: UC Davis under 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.27
Under
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sacramento State -6.5Actual: UC Davis +6.5
SACR -6.5
62.3%
@ 2.35+21.3pp
UC D +6.5
37.7%
@ 1.60-21.3pp
Best 5 market prices
SACR
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.18
UC D
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.54
Spread Sacramento State -3.5 · main lineActual: UC Davis +3.5
SACR -3.5
72.7%
@ 1.94+23.1pp
UC D +3.5
27.3%
@ 1.93-23.1pp
Best 5 market prices
SACR
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
UC D
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
Spread Sacramento State -0.5Actual: UC Davis +0.5
SACR -0.5
80.8%
UC D +0.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
SACR
No market prices yet.
UC D
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.9-5.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.9-5.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -1.8-1.8
Sacramento StateUC Davis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
13-27
13
27
-14
A08/03
NCAA
William Jessup
#369
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A08/11
NCAA
76.1Avg total
35.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 76.5
Last 30 (30)36.240.376.6-4.123%47%
Last 30 at home (12)41.237.178.2+4.150%50%
Last 30 away (18)32.942.575.4-9.66%44%
Last 10 (10)35.141.076.1-5.920%50%
Last 5 (5)35.636.071.6-0.440%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.841.377.1-5.519%57%
vs Similar (7)33.739.773.4-6.014%14%
vs Weaker (1)49.023.072.0+26.0100%0%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#187
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A20/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A08/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H12/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A13/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#244
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/11
NCAA
Menlo
#361
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H06/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H11/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 76.5
Last 30 (30)36.133.469.5+2.763%30%
Last 30 at home (17)36.530.967.4+5.671%29%
Last 30 away (13)35.636.672.2-1.054%31%
Last 10 (10)36.733.470.1+3.370%30%
Last 5 (5)36.032.468.4+3.680%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.836.571.2-1.825%25%
vs Similar (11)36.735.171.8+1.664%36%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.532.869.2+3.769%31%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Sacramento State win
SACR win
no forecast
@ 1.66
UC D win
no forecast
@ 2.28
1st half Spread Sacramento State -2 · main lineActual: Sacramento State -2
SACR -2
no forecast
@ 1.95
UC D +2
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 76.5 · main lineActual: Under 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
Sacramento State 1st half total 39 · main lineActual: Sacramento State under 39
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
UC Davis 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: UC Davis under 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half: SACR + total 75.5
SACR & over
no forecast
@ 3.30
SACR & under
no forecast
@ 3.50
1st half: Draw + total 75.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 23.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 23.00
1st half: UC D + total 75.5
UC D & over
no forecast
@ 4.00
UC D & under
no forecast
@ 4.25
1st half Over/Under 75Actual: Under 75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 78Actual: Under 78
Over
no forecast
@ 2.16
Under
no forecast
@ 1.69
1st half Spread Sacramento State -3Push
SACR -3
no forecast
@ 2.14
UC D +3
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Sacramento State -1Actual: Sacramento State -1
SACR -1
no forecast
@ 1.78
UC D +1
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.47
1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.18
Under
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread Sacramento State -4.5Actual: UC Davis +4.5
SACR -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
UC D +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: UC Davis (regulation)
SACR
no forecast
@ 1.76
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
UC D
no forecast
@ 2.32

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
SACR win + total 158.5
🔒 Pro
UC D win + total 158.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SACR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: UC D leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
UC Davis under 76.571.9%2.33
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.15		--+32.3ppWon
UC Davis under 7980.1%1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85		---+30.4ppWon
UC Davis under 78.578.0%1.89
Pinnacle
1.97
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86		+29.9ppWon
UC Davis under 77.575.0%1.92
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.02
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83		+29.8ppWon
UC Davis under 79.580.6%1.81
Marathon Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75		+29.6ppWon
UC Davis under 7877.3%1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83		---+27.0ppWon
UC Davis under 80.583.1%1.60
Betano
1.60		----+26.7ppWon
Sacramento State -471.7%1.96
Pinnacle
2.04
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.92		-+24.7ppLost
Under 16071.2%1.95
Pinnacle
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.89
SBO
1.88		-+24.6ppWon
Under 16173.3%1.88
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.89
SBO
1.78		-+23.9ppWon
Under 160.571.8%1.90
Pinnacle
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.92
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.88		+23.8ppWon
UC Davis under 7774.2%1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83		----+23.7ppWon
Under 16275.3%1.82
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.82
Bet365
1.80		--+23.3ppWon
Under 161.573.8%1.85
Bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82		+23.2ppWon
Sacramento State -3.572.7%1.88
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
SBO
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.87		+23.1ppLost
Under 16377.2%1.72
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.68		--+22.8ppWon
Sacramento State +182.2%1.56
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
1.52		---+22.8ppLost
Under 162.575.7%1.75
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathon Bet
1.78
Bet365
1.74
Betano
1.70		-+22.6ppWon
Sacramento State -374.7%1.81
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathon Bet
1.81
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.80		-+22.6ppLost
Sacramento State (regulation)78.6%1.61
Marathon Bet
1.62
Betano
1.60		---+22.6ppLost
Sacramento State -180.4%1.62
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.60		---+22.3ppLost
Under 16479.0%1.64
Marathon Bet
1.65
Bet365
1.62		---+21.9ppWon
Sacramento State -278.0%1.72
Marathon Bet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.68		--+21.7ppLost
Sacramento State win80.8%1.57
1xBet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathon Bet
1.59
SBO
1.59
Bet365
1.58		+21.5ppLost
Under 163.577.6%1.66
Marathon Bet
1.69
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.62		--+21.3ppWon
Sacramento State -2.575.4%1.76
BetVictor
1.80
SBO
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.76
Bet365
1.74		+21.2ppLost
Under 16580.7%1.55
Bet365
1.55		----+20.9ppWon
Sacramento State -1.578.7%1.66
Marathon Bet
1.72
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.60		-+20.6ppLost
Under 164.579.3%1.56
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.55		---+20.5ppWon
Sacramento State +284.6%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+20.4ppLost
Under 165.581.0%1.52
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50		---+20.0ppWon
Under 16682.3%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+19.8ppWon
Under 16783.8%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+19.6ppWon
Sacramento State +1.582.5%1.48
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.45		---+19.5ppLost
Sacramento State +386.5%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+19.5ppLost
Sacramento State +2.585.0%1.41
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.39		---+19.4ppLost
Under 166.582.6%1.46
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.45		---+19.0ppWon
Under 16885.2%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+19.0ppWon
Sacramento State +3.586.7%1.35
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.34		---+18.5ppLost
Sacramento State +488.3%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+18.3ppLost
Under 167.584.0%1.40
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.40		---+18.3ppWon
Sacramento State +589.9%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+18.2ppLost
Sacramento State +5.590.1%1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28		---+18.1ppLost
Under 168.585.4%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+17.9ppWon
Sacramento State +4.588.5%1.30
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.29		---+17.2ppLost
Under 16986.6%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+17.1ppWon
Under 169.586.7%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+16.3ppWon
Sacramento State +6.591.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+15.3ppLost
Sacramento State +7.592.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+14.9ppLost
Under 171.589.1%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+14.3ppWon
Under 170.588.0%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+13.2ppWon
Sacramento State +12.596.7%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+10.6ppLost
Sacramento State +11.596.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+10.6ppLost
Under 176.593.6%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+10.5ppWon
Under 175.592.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+9.7ppWon
Sacramento State +17.598.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+8.9ppLost
Sacramento State +16.598.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+8.7ppLost
Sacramento State under 87.575.7%1.34
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.33		---+7.2ppWon
Sacramento State +21.599.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+7.0ppWon
Sacramento State under 89.581.5%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+6.8ppWon
Sacramento State +22.599.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.6ppWon
Sacramento State under 86.572.5%1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.37		---+6.4ppWon
Sacramento State under 92.588.4%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+6.2ppWon
Sacramento State under 91.586.4%1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14		---+5.9ppWon
Overtime: no96.4%1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02		---+5.9ppWon
Sacramento State under 97.595.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.8ppWon
Sacramento State under 88.578.8%1.27
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.25		---+5.7ppWon
Sacramento State under 95.593.3%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+5.3ppWon
Sacramento State under 90.584.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+5.2ppWon
Sacramento State under 93.590.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.2ppWon
Sacramento State under 98.596.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.2ppWon
Sacramento State under 96.594.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.1ppWon
Sacramento State under 94.591.9%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.4ppWon
Sacramento State over 68.588.5%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+0.2ppLost
Sacramento State over 70.584.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----1.3ppLost
Sacramento State over 69.586.5%1.06
Bet365
1.06		-----1.5ppLost
UC Davis +23.588.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----1.9ppWon
Sacramento State over 74.572.8%1.23
Bet365
1.23		-----2.5ppLost
Sacramento State over 71.581.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----2.7ppLost
UC Davis +22.586.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----3.1ppWon
Sacramento State over 72.578.9%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----3.3ppLost
Sacramento State over 73.576.0%1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14		----4.5ppLost
UC Davis over 59.586.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----7.4ppWon
UC Davis +18.577.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----8.2ppWon
Over 135.583.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----9.2ppLost
UC Davis over 60.584.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----9.7ppWon
Over 136.581.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----10.1ppLost
UC Davis over 61.581.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----10.8ppWon
UC Davis +17.575.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----10.9ppWon
UC Davis over 62.578.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----12.9ppWon
UC Davis over 63.575.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----14.8ppWon
Over 140.574.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----14.9ppLost
Over 141.572.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----17.0ppLost
UC Davis over 64.572.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----17.2ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sacramento State wins
3
UC Davis wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25UC Davis v Sacramento State77-73
15/12/24Sacramento State v UC Davis62-69
27/11/23UC Davis v Sacramento State63-69
23/11/22UC Davis v Sacramento State82-71
24/11/21Sacramento State v UC Davis75-63
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASanta Clara77-83
03/11/26HWilliam Jessup90-74
08/03/26AIdaho45-68
03/03/26HIdaho State83-65
28/02/26AMontana State61-82
27/02/26AMontana73-81
22/02/26HIdaho80-86
20/02/26HEast. Washington94-102
15/02/26ANorthern Arizona74-79
13/02/26ANorthern Colorado79-95
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HIncarnate Word81-69
06/11/26HMenlo65-52
03/11/26HNorth Alabama75-79
13/03/26ACS Fullerton70-82
12/03/26HUC Santa Barbara79-73
08/03/26AUC Irvine69-79 OT
06/03/26ALong Beach State76-70 OT
27/02/26HHawaii73-77
21/02/26AUC Riverside78-73
20/02/26ACS Fullerton92-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.590.077.0
Allowed / game78.574.083.0
Point differential+5.0+16.0-6.0
Avg total162.0164.0160.0
Over 157.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Davis
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game73.773.7-
Allowed / game66.766.7-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total140.3140.3-
Over 157.50%0%-
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Idaho42250%86.571.5+15.0
2 Montana42250%78.065.2+12.8
3 Northern Colorado42250%82.069.2+12.8
4 Portland State42250%81.573.2+8.2
5 Sacramento State21150%83.578.5+5.0
6 Montana State31233%76.080.0-4.0
7 East. Washington41325%80.583.5-3.0
8 Weber State41325%74.586.2-11.8
9 Northern Arizona4040%69.587.8-18.2
10 Idaho State3030%67.392.0-24.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis32167%73.766.7+7.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State362056
UC Davis334275
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