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Saga vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 70-64
15-14 17-15 21-23 17-12
Position#15
Record4-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game73.9
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game78.5
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Akita
05 Nov 2023
SAGA70
AKIT64
04 Nov 2023
SAGA65
AKIT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
63-80
63
80
-17
51avg 62
H05/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
no box
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
57avg 62
H14/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
72-71 OT
72
71
+1
no box
H15/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
74-87
74
87
-13
71avg 62
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
58-61
58
61
-3
47avg 62
A22/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 62
H25/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 62
A28/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
74-68
74
68
+6
70avg 62
A29/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
51avg 62
H04/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
17-26
16-17
14-19
19-18
21-17
16-19
15-17
15-28
19-29
24-19
11-17
16-12
17-23
12-13
19-16
18-25
24-15
13-25
19-22
21-14
6-15
11-18
20-14
20-21
21-15
21-21
18-17
19-16
20-18
18-8
23-17
19-14
19-18
12-18
24-18
15-24
21-11
11-14
18-17
145.3Avg total
71.4Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.473.9145.3-2.540%
Season at home (6)71.377.3148.7-6.033%
Season away (4)71.568.8140.2+2.850%
Last 10 (10)71.473.9145.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)71.465.6137.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.582.0152.5-11.550%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.471.6142.0-1.129%
vs Weaker (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
W
69-59
69
59
+10
68avg 61
A07/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 61
A08/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
no box
H14/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
65-85
65
85
-20
57avg 61
H15/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 61
H21/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
70-88
70
88
-18
57avg 61
H22/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
51-67
51
67
-16
42avg 61
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
65avg 61
H28/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
68avg 61
H29/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 61
A04/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
18-13
8-15
20-20
24-13
15-19
19-22
12-25
28-14
14-26
17-24
24-19
24-23
17-21
11-15
13-26
30-15
14-19
16-19
21-27
21-27
11-19
19-24
19-18
15-18
14-10
8-16
14-23
19-14
18-29
18-24
19-21
26-20
17-25
16-18
20-18
24-15
11-21
14-11
17-18
149.7Avg total
71.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.278.5149.7-7.330%
Season at home (6)76.085.8161.8-9.817%
Season away (4)64.067.5131.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)71.278.5149.7-7.330%
Last 5 (5)68.077.8145.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.577.7145.2-10.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.980.7157.7-3.833%
vs Weaker (9)80.478.1158.6+2.367%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.6-3.6
SagaAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H05/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H14/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A22/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/11
B League
74.0Avg total
36.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)36.337.774.0-1.460%-
Last 30 at home (6)36.240.376.5-4.250%-
Last 30 away (4)36.533.870.2+2.875%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.774.0-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.269.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.546.079.5-12.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.435.672.0+0.971%-
vs Weaker (1)41.036.077.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A07/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H22/10
B League
Alvark
#2
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H28/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H29/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/11
B League
75.5Avg total
38.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.775.6+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.838.277.0+0.644%-
Last 30 away (12)36.836.873.6-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.275.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.674.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.037.872.8-2.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.537.875.3-0.340%-
vs Weaker (9)40.837.378.1+3.467%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.917.6
46.5%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.5
27.8%
33.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.614.6
67.6%
72.0%14.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.214.6
42.5%
50.9%29.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.4
32.9%
33.5%28.3
🏀 Free throws15.611.1
71.4%
72.0%11.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWWWLLWLLL
Akita
WLLLLWLLLW
#15
League position
#14
-4.4
Net rating
-9.9
97.5
Offensive rating
93.6
101.9
Defensive rating
103.4
44.7%
Effective FG%
45.7%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
27.8%
3-point %
32.9%
57.0%
Assist %
69.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 93.6Defence101.9 · 103.4Shooting44.7% · 45.7%3-point %27.8% · 32.9%Ball care16.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds28.5% · 28.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Saga   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
1
Akita wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Saga v Akita65-66
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HAkita65-66
29/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya74-68
28/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya80-59
25/10/23HShinshu80-74
22/10/23AShimane58-61
21/10/23AShimane74-87
15/10/23HHiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23HHiroshima D.69-93
07/10/23HRyukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23HRyukyu63-80
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23ASaga66-65
29/10/23HNeoPhoenix79-81
28/10/23HNeoPhoenix74-88
25/10/23AAlvark51-67
22/10/23HKyoto70-88
21/10/23HKyoto81-80
15/10/23HShimane65-85
14/10/23HShimane87-93 OT
08/10/23AHokkaido70-79
07/10/23AHokkaido69-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game71.471.371.5
Allowed / game73.977.368.8
Point differential-2.5-6.0+2.8
Avg total145.3148.7140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
Akita
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%17%50%
Points / game71.276.064.0
Allowed / game78.585.867.5
Point differential-7.3-9.8-3.5
Avg total149.7161.8131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1110191%81.161.6+19.5
2 NeoPhoenix109190%88.177.6+10.5
3 Osaka109190%87.577.0+10.5
4 Brave Thunders119282%81.575.8+5.7
5 Nagasaki108280%87.782.1+5.6
6 Ryukyu107370%80.276.1+4.1
7 Utsunomiya Brex107370%76.972.8+4.1
8 Diamond Dolphins107370%81.577.6+3.9
9 Shimane117464%79.976.7+3.2
10 SeaHorses Mikawa106460%83.175.6+7.5
11 Sendai105550%80.779.8+0.9
12 Chiba105550%83.984.3-0.4
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles105550%72.774.5-1.8
14 Gunma105550%76.080.8-4.8
15 Hiroshima D.104640%78.174.3+3.8
16 Saga104640%71.473.9-2.5
17 Yokohama104640%74.781.1-6.4
18 Shinshu103730%79.184.9-5.8
19 Akita103730%71.278.5-7.3
20 Hokkaido102820%74.581.9-7.4
21 Sun Rockers Shibuya112918%74.381.8-7.5
22 Kyoto101910%72.083.6-11.6
23 Ibaraki Robots100100%78.087.2-9.2
24 Toyama100100%70.787.3-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1517211770
Akita1415231264
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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