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Sendai vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 66-82
12-29 19-15 18-17 17-21
Position#11
Record28-19
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record24-23
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game82.5
JapanB League· Xebio Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sendai v Saga
05 Apr 2026
SEND87
SAGA66
04 Apr 2026
SEND66
SAGA82
22 Dec 2024
SEND69
SAGA87
21 Dec 2024
SEND72
SAGA85
07 Jan 2024
SEND56
SAGA66
06 Jan 2024
SEND67
SAGA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sendai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Sendai
4.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.6
86.4▲ 7.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.3
82.6▲ 3.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
57%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.3
19.4▲ 1.1
🔥 Form · Saga
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.9
85.2▲ 3.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.0
83.4▲ 1.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
57%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.7
24.8▲ 3.1
SendaiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H14/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H15/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A08/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
A09/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A11/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H14/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H15/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
94-99
94
99
-5
A28/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A29/03
B League
Alvark
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H01/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-31
24-16
27-29
28-24
13-20
21-19
21-11
18-24
24-8
17-23
23-37
30-12
31-24
23-22
13-27
18-17
27-28
26-15
16-21
20-8
32-24
23-11
18-27
19-18
20-27
27-16
21-15
22-21
24-29
26-22
22-27
30-19
17-28
17-23
11-18
23-18
12-30
24-21
24-11
171.3Avg total
87.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)81.379.6160.9+1.860%
Season at home (24)81.176.9158.0+4.271%
Season away (23)81.682.3163.9-0.748%
Last 10 (10)87.284.1171.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)86.482.6169.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.782.5167.2+2.250%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.583.2162.8-3.850%
vs Weaker (20)83.175.5158.6+7.675%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
83-96
83
96
-13
A15/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H07/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H28/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A01/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
20-25
27-19
9-21
15-23
23-22
13-22
32-29
25-25
19-16
19-30
24-19
23-29
24-18
22-25
13-15
27-23
30-24
15-17
19-32
25-19
20-23
19-26
32-23
23-20
23-20
15-22
16-18
23-25
14-13
20-24
23-21
24-27
27-11
18-14
21-34
29-28
19-15
19-16
16-18
170.4Avg total
84.0Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)82.282.5164.7-0.351%
Season at home (25)81.883.4165.2-1.648%
Season away (22)82.681.4164.0+1.255%
Last 10 (10)84.086.4170.4-2.430%
Last 5 (5)85.283.4168.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.586.0162.5-9.530%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.380.8167.1+5.560%
vs Weaker (10)84.677.9162.5+6.780%
This opponent (Sendai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
SendaiSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SendaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H14/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
61-36
61
36
+25
A09/03
B League
Shiga
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A11/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H14/03
B League
Akita
#26
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H15/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A28/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H01/04
B League
87.8Avg total
44.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.080.5+2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.179.7+1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)42.538.981.4+3.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.087.8+1.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.488.2-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.543.587.0+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.846.284.0-8.50%-
vs Weaker (20)41.636.277.9+5.455%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H07/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/04
B League
86.7Avg total
44.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.883.1-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.541.882.3-1.338%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.784.1+0.664%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.986.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.285.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.043.180.1-6.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.240.783.9+2.560%-
vs Weaker (10)43.941.585.4+2.470%-
This opponent (Sendai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sendaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sendai: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.2
53.5%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.812.1
36.9%
33.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
73.1%12.2
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.5
53.0%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.9
35.2%
33.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.113.2
77.2%
73.1%13.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sendai
WLLWWWWLWL
Saga
WWLLWLLLLL
#11
League position
#12
+4.6
Net rating
-1.2
99.5
Offensive rating
99.0
94.9
Defensive rating
100.2
54.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.9%
3-point %
35.2%
64.2%
Assist %
75.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 99.0Defence94.9 · 100.2Shooting54.4% · 52.9%3-point %36.9% · 35.2%Ball care14.1% · 13.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Sendai   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sendai wins
4
Saga wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Sendai v Saga69-87
21/12/24Sendai v Saga72-85
07/01/24Sendai v Saga56-66
06/01/24Sendai v Saga67-77
Sendailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HAlvark83-80
29/03/26ANagasaki75-88
28/03/26ANagasaki94-99
15/03/26HAkita87-76
14/03/26HAkita93-70
11/03/26AShiga87-81
09/03/26ASun Rockers Shibuya97-85
08/03/26ASun Rockers Shibuya82-92
15/02/26HDiamond Dolphins83-74
14/02/26HDiamond Dolphins91-96
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26AShiga83-77
29/03/26HIbaraki Robots90-86
28/03/26HIbaraki Robots80-83
15/03/26AShimane77-80
14/03/26AShimane96-91
11/03/26HNeoPhoenix91-96
08/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex82-87
07/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex87-90
15/02/26AAlvark83-96
14/02/26AAlvark71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sendai
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWWLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %60%71%48%
Points / game81.381.181.6
Allowed / game79.676.982.3
Point differential+1.8+4.2-0.7
Avg total160.9158.0163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW51%
HomeLLLLW48%
AwayLLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472522
Win %51%48%55%
Points / game82.281.882.6
Allowed / game82.583.481.4
Point differential-0.3-1.6+1.2
Avg total164.7165.2164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)44% (9)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4738981%91.178.5+12.6
2 Diamond Dolphins47361177%83.773.0+10.7
3 Utsunomiya Brex47351274%86.180.8+5.3
4 SeaHorses Mikawa47331470%83.877.3+6.5
5 Ryukyu48331569%81.474.7+6.7
6 Chiba48321667%82.576.1+6.4
7 Gunma47311666%82.673.7+8.9
8 Hokkaido48311765%88.285.8+2.5
9 Alvark47301764%80.478.1+2.3
10 NeoPhoenix47281960%85.082.5+2.5
11 Sendai47281960%81.379.6+1.8
12 Hiroshima D.48282058%86.983.3+3.5
13 Saga47242351%82.282.5-0.3
14 Shimane47232449%81.280.7+0.5
15 Yokohama47192840%78.982.5-3.5
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya47192840%76.981.0-4.1
17 Osaka47182938%80.182.8-2.7
18 Shiga48183038%80.785.0-4.3
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles47163134%80.183.0-2.9
20 Kyoto47163134%72.480.0-7.6
21 Koshigaya Alphas47163134%74.181.9-7.8
22 Altiri Chiba48163233%79.384.1-4.8
23 Ibaraki Robots47143330%76.080.7-4.6
24 Brave Thunders47133428%75.783.2-7.5
25 Toyama47113623%81.389.8-8.5
26 Akita4783917%73.485.2-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sendai1219181766
Saga2915172182
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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