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Saga vs Kyoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 83-87
20-22 20-19 25-29 18-17
Position#12
Record27-24
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
Position#20
Record17-34
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game80.6
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Kyoto
20 Dec 2026
SAGA v KYOT
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
SAGA v KYOT
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAGA83
KYOT87
11 Apr 2026
SAGA90
KYOT89
29 Jan 2025
SAGA78
KYOT81
31 Mar 2024
SAGA81
KYOT66
30 Mar 2024
SAGA64
KYOT56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Saga
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.8
80.0▼ 1.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.9
79.0▼ 2.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
56%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 22.0
22.4▲ 0.4
🔥 Form · Kyoto
6.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 74.8
82.8▲ 8.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.4
85.2▲ 4.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
57%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.5
24.6▲ 4.1
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H28/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H11/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
30-24
15-17
19-32
25-19
20-23
19-26
32-23
23-20
23-20
15-22
16-18
23-25
14-13
20-24
23-21
24-27
27-11
18-14
21-34
29-28
19-15
19-16
16-18
29-12
15-19
17-18
21-17
23-22
23-16
13-26
7-23
21-25
13-15
26-17
19-19
26-23
25-25
17-18
22-23
166.5Avg total
83.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)82.082.3164.2-0.353%
Season at home (27)82.083.4165.4-1.452%
Season away (24)81.981.0162.9+0.954%
Last 10 (10)83.483.1166.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)80.079.0159.0+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.686.9164.4-9.333%
vs Similar (11)82.681.5164.1+1.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.377.4163.7+8.990%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H11/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H14/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H15/03
B League
Akita
#26
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A28/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A29/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H01/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A04/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A05/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
H08/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A11/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
21-20
24-27
20-20
17-22
20-14
19-14
15-12
22-14
18-25
21-15
18-24
21-17
19-23
22-22
18-29
16-20
18-23
29-8
23-12
18-20
24-18
19-19
22-17
19-32
23-20
15-19
18-20
25-21
17-24
23-18
12-26
20-16
18-19
24-23
13-17
23-26
25-25
18-17
23-22
162.0Avg total
81.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)73.280.6153.8-7.433%
Season at home (26)74.677.9152.5-3.346%
Season away (25)71.783.4155.1-11.720%
Last 10 (10)81.081.0162.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)82.885.2168.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)72.583.0155.6-10.530%
vs Similar (5)75.677.4153.0-1.860%
vs Weaker (2)83.077.0160.0+6.050%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
SagaKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H11/04
B League
86.4Avg total
45.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.483.8+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.142.283.3-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)44.040.484.4+3.671%-
Last 10 (10)45.940.586.4+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.084.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.944.181.0-7.211%-
vs Similar (11)43.639.583.2+4.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.141.087.1+5.180%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H15/03
B League
Akita
#26
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A28/03
B League
Akita
#26
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A29/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A04/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A11/04
B League
82.1Avg total
39.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.643.279.8-6.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.339.476.6-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.146.682.6-10.519%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.282.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.286.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.343.980.2-7.626%-
vs Similar (5)38.040.678.6-2.660%-
vs Weaker (2)37.041.578.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.4
53.7%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.9
35.5%
33.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.810.9
73.6%
73.1%10.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.3
52.7%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.4
37.0%
33.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.114.2
78.5%
73.1%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWLWWWLLWL
Kyoto
LWLLWWLWWL
#12
League position
#20
+2.1
Net rating
+0.2
97.1
Offensive rating
94.7
95.0
Defensive rating
94.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.5%
3-point %
37.0%
77.6%
Assist %
84.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 94.7Defence95.0 · 94.5Shooting53.5% · 53.9%3-point %35.5% · 37.0%Ball care14.8% · 16.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Saga wins
4
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Saga v Kyoto90-89
16/04/25Kyoto v Saga85-74
29/01/25Saga v Kyoto78-81
06/10/24Kyoto v Saga71-77
05/10/24Kyoto v Saga70-48
21/04/24Kyoto v Saga52-73
20/04/24Kyoto v Saga88-87
31/03/24Saga v Kyoto81-66
30/03/24Saga v Kyoto64-56
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26HKyoto90-89
08/04/26HHokkaido79-76
05/04/26ASendai66-87
04/04/26ASendai82-66
01/04/26AShiga83-77
29/03/26HIbaraki Robots90-86
28/03/26HIbaraki Robots80-83
15/03/26AShimane77-80
14/03/26AShimane96-91
11/03/26HNeoPhoenix91-96
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26ASaga89-90
08/04/26HDiamond Dolphins90-82 OT
05/04/26AUtsunomiya Brex77-89
04/04/26AUtsunomiya Brex75-91
01/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles83-74
29/03/26AAkita86-63
28/03/26AAkita80-91
15/03/26HSun Rockers Shibuya79-78
14/03/26HSun Rockers Shibuya71-62
11/03/26HNagasaki80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeLLWWW52%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512724
Win %53%52%54%
Points / game82.082.081.9
Allowed / game82.383.481.0
Point differential-0.3-1.4+0.9
Avg total164.2165.4162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%19%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)55% (11)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kyoto
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLWWWW46%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %33%46%20%
Points / game73.274.671.7
Allowed / game80.677.983.4
Point differential-7.4-3.3-11.7
Avg total153.8152.5155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%19%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki51401178%91.279.3+11.9
2 Diamond Dolphins51391276%84.173.0+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex51381375%86.180.4+5.8
4 Ryukyu51361571%81.474.6+6.9
5 Gunma51351669%82.773.1+9.5
6 SeaHorses Mikawa51351669%83.777.8+5.9
7 Chiba51341767%82.776.4+6.3
8 Alvark51341767%80.477.3+3.1
9 Hokkaido51321963%87.885.6+2.1
10 Sendai51312061%82.079.7+2.3
11 NeoPhoenix51302159%85.683.0+2.6
12 Hiroshima D.51292257%86.783.5+3.2
13 Saga51272453%82.082.3-0.3
14 Shimane51232845%79.580.6-1.1
15 Yokohama51222943%79.281.8-2.6
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya51213041%77.180.5-3.5
17 Shiga51213041%80.484.0-3.6
18 Osaka51203139%80.182.5-2.4
19 Kyoto51173433%73.280.6-7.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas51173433%74.682.2-7.6
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles51163531%80.283.5-3.4
22 Altiri Chiba51163531%78.884.3-5.5
23 Ibaraki Robots51153629%75.680.8-5.2
24 Brave Thunders51143727%75.783.5-7.7
25 Toyama51123924%80.589.3-8.8
26 Akita5194218%73.785.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2020251883
Kyoto2219291787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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