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Saga vs Kyoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 90-89
26-23 25-25 17-18 22-23
Position#12
Record26-24
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game82.1
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#20
Record17-33
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game80.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Kyoto
20 Dec 2026
SAGA v KYOT
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
SAGA v KYOT
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAGA83
KYOT87
11 Apr 2026
SAGA90
KYOT89
29 Jan 2025
SAGA78
KYOT81
31 Mar 2024
SAGA81
KYOT66
30 Mar 2024
SAGA64
KYOT56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Saga
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.6
80.0▼ 1.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.8
78.4▼ 3.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
56%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.9
23.6▲ 1.7
🔥 Form · Kyoto
6.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 74.5
82.2▲ 7.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.2
79.8▼ 0.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
57%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.4
24.2▲ 3.8
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H28/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H08/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
24-18
22-25
13-15
27-23
30-24
15-17
19-32
25-19
20-23
19-26
32-23
23-20
23-20
15-22
16-18
23-25
14-13
20-24
23-21
24-27
27-11
18-14
21-34
29-28
19-15
19-16
16-18
29-12
15-19
17-18
21-17
23-22
23-16
13-26
7-23
21-25
13-15
26-17
19-19
165.5Avg total
82.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)81.882.1163.9-0.352%
Season at home (26)81.783.2164.8-1.550%
Season away (24)81.981.0162.9+0.954%
Last 10 (10)82.682.9165.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.078.4158.4+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.586.0162.5-9.530%
vs Similar (11)82.681.5164.1+1.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.976.1162.0+9.889%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A08/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H11/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H14/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H15/03
B League
Akita
#26
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A28/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A29/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H01/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A04/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A05/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
H08/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
12-26
17-22
24-20
15-23
21-20
24-27
20-20
17-22
20-14
19-14
15-12
22-14
18-25
21-15
18-24
21-17
19-23
22-22
18-29
16-20
18-23
29-8
23-12
18-20
24-18
19-19
22-17
19-32
23-20
15-19
18-20
25-21
17-24
23-18
12-26
20-16
18-19
24-23
13-17
160.1Avg total
78.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)72.980.4153.3-7.534%
Season at home (26)74.677.9152.5-3.346%
Season away (24)71.083.1154.1-12.121%
Last 10 (10)78.981.2160.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)82.279.8162.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.182.7153.8-11.530%
vs Similar (5)75.677.4153.0-1.860%
vs Weaker (2)83.077.0160.0+6.050%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
SagaKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/04
B League
85.9Avg total
45.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.982.9+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.441.982.3-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)43.640.083.6+3.673%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.485.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.082.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.043.180.1-6.120%-
vs Similar (11)43.639.583.2+4.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.640.285.8+5.378%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A08/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H15/03
B League
Akita
#26
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A28/03
B League
Akita
#26
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A29/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A04/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/04
B League
79.9Avg total
37.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.142.979.0-6.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.039.576.5-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)35.346.381.5-11.020%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.179.9-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.682.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.743.579.1-7.826%-
vs Similar (5)38.040.678.6-2.660%-
vs Weaker (2)37.041.578.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.6
52.5%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.0
35.3%
33.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.411.4
74.0%
73.1%11.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.2
52.9%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.8
35.1%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.1
75.0%
73.1%14.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLWWWLLWLL
Kyoto
WLLWWLWWLL
#12
League position
#20
+1.4
Net rating
-2.5
96.1
Offensive rating
92.8
94.6
Defensive rating
95.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.3%
3-point %
35.1%
81.4%
Assist %
81.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 92.8Defence94.6 · 95.3Shooting52.7% · 52.8%3-point %35.3% · 35.1%Ball care14.6% · 16.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Saga wins
4
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
16/04/25Kyoto v Saga85-74
29/01/25Saga v Kyoto78-81
06/10/24Kyoto v Saga71-77
05/10/24Kyoto v Saga70-48
21/04/24Kyoto v Saga52-73
20/04/24Kyoto v Saga88-87
31/03/24Saga v Kyoto81-66
30/03/24Saga v Kyoto64-56
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HHokkaido79-76
05/04/26ASendai66-87
04/04/26ASendai82-66
01/04/26AShiga83-77
29/03/26HIbaraki Robots90-86
28/03/26HIbaraki Robots80-83
15/03/26AShimane77-80
14/03/26AShimane96-91
11/03/26HNeoPhoenix91-96
08/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex82-87
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HDiamond Dolphins90-82 OT
05/04/26AUtsunomiya Brex77-89
04/04/26AUtsunomiya Brex75-91
01/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles83-74
29/03/26AAkita86-63
28/03/26AAkita80-91
15/03/26HSun Rockers Shibuya79-78
14/03/26HSun Rockers Shibuya71-62
11/03/26HNagasaki80-90
08/03/26AGunma68-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502624
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game81.881.781.9
Allowed / game82.183.281.0
Point differential-0.3-1.5+0.9
Avg total163.9164.8162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%19%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (10)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kyoto
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW34%
HomeLWWWW46%
AwayLLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502624
Win %34%46%21%
Points / game72.974.671.0
Allowed / game80.477.983.1
Point differential-7.5-3.3-12.1
Avg total153.3152.5154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%19%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki50401080%91.579.2+12.2
2 Diamond Dolphins50381276%84.072.9+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex50371374%86.280.6+5.5
4 Ryukyu50351570%81.574.8+6.7
5 SeaHorses Mikawa50351570%83.877.6+6.2
6 Gunma50341668%82.473.0+9.3
7 Chiba50341668%83.076.5+6.5
8 Alvark50331766%80.777.8+2.9
9 Hokkaido50311962%87.985.8+2.1
10 NeoPhoenix50302060%85.482.6+2.8
11 Sendai50302060%81.679.3+2.2
12 Hiroshima D.50282256%87.083.8+3.1
13 Saga50262452%81.882.1-0.3
14 Shimane50232746%80.180.9-0.8
15 Yokohama50212942%79.282.1-2.8
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya50212942%77.380.7-3.4
17 Shiga50203040%80.584.3-3.8
18 Osaka50193138%79.982.6-2.7
19 Kyoto50173334%72.980.4-7.5
20 Koshigaya Alphas50173334%74.482.0-7.6
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles50163432%80.183.4-3.2
22 Altiri Chiba50163432%79.084.4-5.4
23 Ibaraki Robots50153530%75.980.8-5.0
24 Brave Thunders50143628%75.783.2-7.5
25 Toyama50123824%80.889.4-8.6
26 Akita5084216%73.385.4-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2625172290
Kyoto2325182389
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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