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Saga vs Ibaraki Robots Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 90-86
24-27 27-11 18-14 21-34
Position#12
Record22-23
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.5
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#21
Record14-31
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game80.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Ibaraki Robots
29 Mar 2026
SAGA90
IBAR86
28 Mar 2026
SAGA80
IBAR83
10 Dec 2023
SAGA81
IBAR68
09 Dec 2023
SAGA74
IBAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ibaraki Robots winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
92-67
92
67
+25
94avg 76
A07/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-69
91
69
+22
86avg 76
A08/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 76
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 76
A15/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
85avg 76
H07/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
82avg 76
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
91-96
91
96
-5
85avg 76
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
96-91
96
91
+5
97avg 76
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 76
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 76
H28/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
33-25
20-16
21-8
24-22
26-22
18-11
23-14
15-13
20-25
27-19
9-21
15-23
23-22
13-22
32-29
25-25
19-16
19-30
24-19
23-29
24-18
22-25
13-15
27-23
30-24
15-17
19-32
25-19
20-23
19-26
32-23
23-20
23-20
15-22
16-18
23-25
14-13
20-24
23-21
168.7Avg total
85.0Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)82.082.5164.5-0.549%
Season at home (24)81.583.3164.8-1.946%
Season away (21)82.681.6164.2+1.052%
Last 10 (10)85.083.7168.7+1.330%
Last 5 (5)85.287.4172.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.586.0162.5-9.530%
vs Similar (11)86.982.1169.0+4.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.376.2160.6+8.178%
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibaraki RobotsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRobots
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
68-76
68
76
-8
59avg 70
H07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 70
H08/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
71-53
71
53
+18
67avg 70
A14/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-86
87
86
+1
84avg 70
A15/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
69-97
69
97
-28
64avg 70
H07/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
62avg 70
H08/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
84-90
84
90
-6
84avg 70
A11/03
B League
Chiba
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 70
H14/03
B League
Chiba
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
78avg 70
H15/03
B League
Saga
#12
W
83-80
83
80
+3
84avg 70
A28/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
20-16
20-24
16-17
14-13
14-27
29-14
23-21
23-16
18-18
16-18
14-1
25-18
18-16
26-28
18-24
20-21
12-31
17-22
20-23
19-18
24-13
22-11
4-30
21-25
18-22
22-17
23-26
26-22
23-17
22-17
14-20
21-22
19-27
17-16
21-21
25-23
13-14
24-20
21-23
156.5Avg total
77.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)75.680.3155.9-4.731%
Season at home (22)75.180.4155.5-5.232%
Season away (23)76.080.2156.3-4.230%
Last 10 (10)77.479.1156.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)79.880.8160.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.286.4161.5-11.223%
vs Similar (13)77.077.1154.1-0.138%
vs Weaker (4)77.066.5143.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
SagaIbaraki Robots
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A08/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H07/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/03
B League
87.5Avg total
45.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.882.9-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.842.181.9-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)42.541.584.0+1.167%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.587.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.889.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.043.180.1-6.120%-
vs Similar (11)44.041.285.2+2.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.341.083.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibaraki RobotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H08/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A15/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H07/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H08/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/03
B League
Chiba
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H14/03
B League
Chiba
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H15/03
B League
Saga
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/03
B League
78.3Avg total
38.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.878.6-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.240.376.5-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.441.380.7-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.878.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.682.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.645.282.8-7.531%-
vs Similar (13)37.438.075.4-0.638%-
vs Weaker (4)39.835.575.2+4.275%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.7
54.8%
53.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.3
32.9%
33.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.7
78.9%
73.1%15.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ibaraki Robotstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibaraki Robots: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.9
53.3%
53.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
33.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.511.5
65.7%
73.1%11.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLWLLLLLWW
Ibaraki Robots
WLWLLLWWWL
#12
League position
#21
+3.5
Net rating
-2.2
99.8
Offensive rating
89.9
96.3
Defensive rating
92.2
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
11.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.9%
3-point %
35.4%
74.3%
Assist %
75.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 89.9Defence96.3 · 92.2Shooting52.4% · 53.2%3-point %32.9% · 35.4%Ball care11.9% · 17.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Ibaraki Robots
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Saga wins
1
Ibaraki Robots wins
DateGameScore
28/03/26Saga v Ibaraki Robots80-83
12/01/25Ibaraki Robots v Saga72-73
11/01/25Ibaraki Robots v Saga54-82
10/12/23Saga v Ibaraki Robots81-68
09/12/23Saga v Ibaraki Robots74-72
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HIbaraki Robots80-83
15/03/26AShimane77-80
14/03/26AShimane96-91
11/03/26HNeoPhoenix91-96
08/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex82-87
07/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex87-90
15/02/26AAlvark83-96
14/02/26AAlvark71-78
08/02/26AToyama91-69
07/02/26AToyama92-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26ASaga83-80
15/03/26HChiba78-86
14/03/26HChiba85-76
11/03/26AUtsunomiya Brex84-90
08/03/26HDiamond Dolphins69-72
07/03/26HDiamond Dolphins69-97
15/02/26AAkita87-86
14/02/26AAkita71-53
08/02/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles80-75
07/02/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL49%
HomeLLLLL46%
AwayWLLWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %49%46%52%
Points / game82.081.582.6
Allowed / game82.583.381.6
Point differential-0.5-1.9+1.0
Avg total164.5164.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%21%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)38% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ibaraki Robots
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW31%
HomeWLLWL32%
AwayLWWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %31%32%30%
Points / game75.675.176.0
Allowed / game80.380.480.2
Point differential-4.7-5.2-4.2
Avg total155.9155.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)29% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4536980%91.478.7+12.7
2 Diamond Dolphins45351078%84.173.1+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex45341176%85.880.4+5.4
4 Chiba45321371%83.075.7+7.3
5 SeaHorses Mikawa45311469%83.777.5+6.2
6 Ryukyu45301567%81.275.0+6.2
7 Alvark45301567%80.177.5+2.6
8 Gunma45291664%82.774.1+8.6
9 Hokkaido45291664%88.185.8+2.3
10 Sendai45271860%81.479.4+2.1
11 Hiroshima D.45261958%86.783.3+3.4
12 NeoPhoenix45261958%84.682.1+2.5
13 Shimane45232251%81.380.6+0.7
14 Saga45222349%82.082.5-0.5
15 Osaka45182740%80.382.6-2.3
16 Yokohama45182740%78.782.0-3.2
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya45182740%76.780.9-4.3
18 Shiga45162936%80.685.4-4.8
19 Koshigaya Alphas45162936%73.881.4-7.6
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles45153033%80.383.1-2.8
21 Altiri Chiba45153033%79.884.2-4.4
22 Ibaraki Robots45143131%75.680.3-4.7
23 Kyoto45143131%71.880.5-8.6
24 Brave Thunders45123327%75.583.5-8.0
25 Toyama45113424%82.090.0-8.0
26 Akita4583718%73.885.5-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2427182190
Ibaraki Robots2711143486
← all games of the day
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