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Saga vs Ibaraki Robots Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 80-83
23-25 14-13 20-24 23-21
Position#12
Record22-22
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#21
Record13-31
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game80.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Ibaraki Robots
29 Mar 2026
SAGA90
IBAR86
28 Mar 2026
SAGA80
IBAR83
10 Dec 2023
SAGA81
IBAR68
09 Dec 2023
SAGA74
IBAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ibaraki Robots winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 76
H01/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-67
92
67
+25
94avg 76
A07/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-69
91
69
+22
86avg 76
A08/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 76
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 76
A15/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
85avg 76
H07/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
82avg 76
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
91-96
91
96
-5
85avg 76
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
96-91
96
91
+5
97avg 76
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 76
A15/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
15-18
22-32
20-22
18-18
33-25
20-16
21-8
24-22
26-22
18-11
23-14
15-13
20-25
27-19
9-21
15-23
23-22
13-22
32-29
25-25
19-16
19-30
24-19
23-29
24-18
22-25
13-15
27-23
30-24
15-17
19-32
25-19
20-23
19-26
32-23
23-20
23-20
15-22
16-18
169.5Avg total
84.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)82.082.5164.6-0.550%
Season at home (23)81.583.3164.9-1.848%
Season away (21)82.681.6164.2+1.052%
Last 10 (10)84.684.9169.5-0.330%
Last 5 (5)86.688.8175.4-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.586.0162.5-9.530%
vs Similar (12)86.482.2168.6+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.975.4160.2+9.588%
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibaraki RobotsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRobots
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
64-97
64
97
-33
59avg 70
H01/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
68-76
68
76
-8
59avg 70
H07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 70
H08/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
71-53
71
53
+18
67avg 70
A14/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-86
87
86
+1
84avg 70
A15/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
69-97
69
97
-28
64avg 70
H07/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
62avg 70
H08/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
84-90
84
90
-6
84avg 70
A11/03
B League
Chiba
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 70
H14/03
B League
Chiba
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
78avg 70
H15/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
12-28
18-21
22-29
12-19
20-16
20-24
16-17
14-13
14-27
29-14
23-21
23-16
18-18
16-18
14-1
25-18
18-16
26-28
18-24
20-21
12-31
17-22
20-23
19-18
24-13
22-11
4-30
21-25
18-22
22-17
23-26
26-22
23-17
22-17
14-20
21-22
19-27
17-16
21-21
156.3Avg total
75.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)75.480.3155.7-4.930%
Season at home (22)75.180.4155.5-5.232%
Season away (22)75.780.2156.0-4.527%
Last 10 (10)75.580.8156.3-5.340%
Last 5 (5)77.084.2161.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.586.9161.4-12.417%
vs Similar (14)75.976.8152.7-0.936%
vs Weaker (4)77.066.5143.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
SagaIbaraki Robots
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H01/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A08/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H07/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/03
B League
87.5Avg total
44.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.983.2-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.942.482.3-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)42.541.584.0+1.167%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.887.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.843.491.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.043.180.1-6.120%-
vs Similar (12)43.641.384.9+2.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.041.484.4+1.675%-
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibaraki RobotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H01/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H07/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H08/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/02
B League
Akita
#26
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A15/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H07/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H08/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/03
B League
Chiba
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H14/03
B League
Chiba
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H15/03
B League
77.9Avg total
37.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.978.7-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.240.376.5-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.441.580.9-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.877.9-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.684.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.645.883.4-8.225%-
vs Similar (14)37.438.175.6-0.736%-
vs Weaker (4)39.835.575.2+4.275%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.6
56.7%
53.1%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.115.3
80.1%
73.1%15.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ibaraki Robotstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibaraki Robots: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.9
51.8%
53.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.3
34.7%
33.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.610.8
65.1%
73.1%10.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWLLLLLWWL
Ibaraki Robots
LWLLLWWWLL
#12
League position
#21
+1.7
Net rating
-6.4
99.7
Offensive rating
88.4
98.1
Defensive rating
94.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
11.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.2%
3-point %
34.7%
71.9%
Assist %
75.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 88.4Defence98.1 · 94.9Shooting52.5% · 51.9%3-point %31.2% · 34.7%Ball care11.6% · 16.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Saga   ■ Ibaraki Robots
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Saga wins
0
Ibaraki Robots wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Ibaraki Robots v Saga72-73
11/01/25Ibaraki Robots v Saga54-82
10/12/23Saga v Ibaraki Robots81-68
09/12/23Saga v Ibaraki Robots74-72
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26AShimane77-80
14/03/26AShimane96-91
11/03/26HNeoPhoenix91-96
08/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex82-87
07/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex87-90
15/02/26AAlvark83-96
14/02/26AAlvark71-78
08/02/26AToyama91-69
07/02/26AToyama92-67
01/02/26HChiba76-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HChiba78-86
14/03/26HChiba85-76
11/03/26AUtsunomiya Brex84-90
08/03/26HDiamond Dolphins69-72
07/03/26HDiamond Dolphins69-97
15/02/26AAkita87-86
14/02/26AAkita71-53
08/02/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles80-75
07/02/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles68-76
01/02/26HSeaHorses Mikawa64-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWLLLL48%
AwayWLLWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %50%48%52%
Points / game82.081.582.6
Allowed / game82.583.381.6
Point differential-0.5-1.8+1.0
Avg total164.6164.9164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)43% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ibaraki Robots
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeWLLWL32%
AwayWLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %30%32%27%
Points / game75.475.175.7
Allowed / game80.380.480.2
Point differential-4.9-5.2-4.5
Avg total155.7155.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%14%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)29% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4435980%91.278.4+12.8
2 Diamond Dolphins4435980%84.272.7+11.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex44331175%85.480.0+5.5
4 Chiba44311370%82.975.8+7.1
5 SeaHorses Mikawa44301468%83.977.9+6.0
6 Alvark44301468%80.077.2+2.9
7 Ryukyu44291566%81.074.8+6.2
8 Hokkaido44291566%87.985.4+2.5
9 Gunma44281664%82.674.0+8.6
10 Sendai44271761%81.178.9+2.2
11 Hiroshima D.44261859%86.783.1+3.5
12 NeoPhoenix44251957%84.482.1+2.3
13 Shimane44222250%81.280.7+0.6
14 Saga44222250%82.082.5-0.5
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya44182641%76.580.7-4.2
16 Osaka44172739%80.082.5-2.5
17 Yokohama44172739%78.882.2-3.5
18 Koshigaya Alphas44162836%73.881.5-7.6
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles44152934%80.483.1-2.8
20 Altiri Chiba44152934%80.084.2-4.2
21 Shiga44152934%80.485.9-5.5
22 Kyoto44143032%71.780.2-8.6
23 Ibaraki Robots44133130%75.480.3-4.9
24 Brave Thunders44123227%75.983.7-7.9
25 Toyama44113325%82.490.0-7.6
26 Akita4473716%73.485.6-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2314202380
Ibaraki Robots2513242183
← all games of the day
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