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Samobor vs Crikvenica Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-79
22-19 21-23 18-19 25-18
Position#5
Record15-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game83.1
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#12
Record6-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game84.1
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 24· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Crikvenica
23 Feb 2025
SAMO68
CRIK66
21 Mar 2024
SAMO86
CRIK79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crikvenica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
82avg 77
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 77
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
99-65
99
65
+34
80avg 77
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
113-92
113
92
+21
116avg 77
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 77
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
66avg 77
A17/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 77
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 77
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 77
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 77
A16/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-14
20-25
19-25
20-23
23-23
32-24
16-15
28-18
17-17
25-16
29-14
31-21
36-28
25-26
21-17
31-24
23-31
17-16
26-17
24-17
16-16
20-20
12-18
29-17
15-9
13-21
12-27
38-32
23-29
17-11
14-15
20-28
29-18
36-26
22-25
16-26
15-19
28-19
26-16
173.2Avg total
90.7Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.983.1168.0+1.865%
Season at home (11)88.183.2171.3+4.964%
Season away (12)81.983.0164.9-1.167%
Last 10 (10)90.782.5173.2+8.280%
Last 5 (5)85.081.8166.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.388.1168.4-7.810%
vs Similar (8)80.583.9164.4-3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.480.4174.7+14.0100%
This opponent (Crikvenica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CrikvenicaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCrikvenica
Date
Competition
Mladost
#11
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 64
A21/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
64-92
64
92
-28
51avg 64
H24/01
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
91-59
91
59
+32
87avg 64
A28/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
71-88
71
88
-17
48avg 64
H03/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
65-80
65
80
-15
56avg 64
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
67avg 64
H18/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
67-64
67
64
+3
65avg 64
A25/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
64avg 64
H02/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
74-64
74
64
+10
69avg 64
A09/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
69-65
69
65
+4
55avg 64
H12/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
19-23
13-9
20-25
4-27
22-27
15-22
23-16
19-24
17-12
25-9
30-14
13-26
20-16
13-24
25-22
16-22
18-17
6-17
25-24
18-21
18-32
16-12
24-27
20-14
14-12
14-17
19-21
24-31
25-23
14-24
21-11
21-17
17-15
19-12
17-20
14-20
21-20
13-12
21-13
150.9Avg total
73.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.484.1157.5-10.726%
Season at home (12)73.386.0159.3-12.725%
Season away (11)73.582.0155.5-8.527%
Last 10 (10)73.477.5150.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)74.074.8148.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.387.7159.9-15.411%
vs Similar (4)78.867.0145.8+11.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.2+3.2
SamoborCrikvenica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/03
Prva Liga
90.9Avg total
47.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.186.2-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.241.385.5+2.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.986.8-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)47.743.290.9+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.287.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.443.685.0-2.240%-
vs Similar (8)37.944.582.4-6.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.841.389.1+6.564%-
This opponent (Crikvenica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CrikvenicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A21/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
26-54
26
54
-28
H24/01
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A28/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H03/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H18/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A25/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H02/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A09/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H12/03
Prva Liga
78.5Avg total
36.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)34.144.178.2-10.017%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.345.080.3-9.717%-
Last 30 away (11)32.843.175.9-10.318%-
Last 10 (10)36.142.478.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.079.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.746.479.2-13.75%-
vs Similar (4)40.833.073.8+7.875%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.124.4
58.0%
52.9%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.6
36.8%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws12.810.2
79.7%
71.2%10.2
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crikvenicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crikvenica: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.618.3
45.1%
52.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.8
30.2%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.412.6
64.9%
71.2%12.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWWLWWWWWL
Crikvenica
WWLWLLLWLL
#5
League position
#12
+10.4
Net rating
-5.9
114.8
Offensive rating
95.7
104.4
Defensive rating
101.6
56.8%
Effective FG%
45.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.8%
3-point %
30.2%
60.9%
Assist %
55.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 95.7Defence104.4 · 101.6Shooting56.8% · 45.2%3-point %36.8% · 30.2%Ball care16.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds27.9% · 32.6%Free throws0.18 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Samobor   ■ Crikvenica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
0
Crikvenica wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Crikvenica v Samobor79-95
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24AGorica85-80
10/03/24HJazine107-97
03/03/24AStoja92-87
25/02/24HKK Zagreb69-74
17/02/24AKastela72-71
11/02/24HMarsonia97-88
06/02/24HMladost113-92
27/01/24HPodstrana99-65
24/01/24AHermes91-85
21/01/24HKvarner82-86
Crikvenicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/24HJazine69-65
09/03/24AKK Zagreb74-64
02/03/24HMarsonia84-89
25/02/24APodstrana67-64
18/02/24HKvarner76-92
10/02/24AOmis65-80
03/02/24HGorica71-88
28/01/24AStoja91-59
24/01/24HKastela64-92
21/01/24AMladost73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%64%67%
Points / game84.988.181.9
Allowed / game83.183.283.0
Point differential+1.8+4.9-1.1
Avg total168.0171.3164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crikvenica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW26%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLWLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%25%27%
Points / game73.473.373.5
Allowed / game84.186.082.0
Point differential-10.7-12.7-8.5
Avg total157.5159.3155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2321291%90.072.7+17.3
2 Osijek2321291%87.574.5+13.0
3 Gorica2316770%81.274.8+6.4
4 Samobor2315865%84.983.1+1.8
5 KK Zagreb2314961%79.172.7+6.4
6 Kastela23131057%79.474.5+4.9
7 Jazine23111248%86.385.0+1.3
8 Hermes23101343%90.290.8-0.7
9 Omis23101343%77.080.8-3.7
10 Marsonia2391439%80.686.3-5.8
11 Mladost2381535%79.284.0-4.8
12 Crikvenica2361726%73.484.1-10.7
13 Podstrana2341917%71.385.1-13.8
14 Stoja2332013%78.690.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2221182586
Crikvenica1923191879
← all games of the day
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