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Samobor vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 69-74
29-17 15-9 13-21 12-27
Position#5
Record12-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#3
Record12-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game72.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 20· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v KK Zagreb
08 Feb 2025
SAMO95
KK Z64
25 Feb 2024
SAMO69
KK Z74
22 Oct 2022
SAMO82
KK Z100
12 Apr 2022
SAMO55
KK Z67
08 Jan 2022
SAMO84
KK Z69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 76
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
95-79
95
79
+16
89avg 76
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 76
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 76
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
82avg 76
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 76
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
99-65
99
65
+34
80avg 76
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
113-92
113
92
+21
116avg 76
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 76
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
66avg 76
A17/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
31-20
19-14
13-20
24-24
25-7
22-18
24-30
23-22
19-13
25-28
35-26
25-23
16-31
18-20
18-22
21-22
22-14
20-25
19-25
20-23
23-23
32-24
16-15
28-18
17-17
25-16
29-14
31-21
36-28
25-26
21-17
31-24
23-31
17-16
26-17
24-17
16-16
20-20
12-18
173.8Avg total
91.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.282.8166.9+1.463%
Season at home (9)88.182.7170.8+5.467%
Season away (10)80.682.9163.5-2.360%
Last 10 (10)91.382.5173.8+8.880%
Last 5 (5)94.480.2174.6+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.190.8170.9-10.88%
vs Similar (6)75.382.3157.7-7.050%
vs Weaker (11)95.080.6175.6+14.4100%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 76
H09/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
81-101
81
101
-20
71avg 76
A18/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 76
H23/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
66-71
66
71
-5
54avg 76
A13/01
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
90-48
90
48
+42
98avg 76
A20/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
no box
H24/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
72avg 76
A27/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
60avg 76
H04/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 76
A11/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
70-60
70
60
+10
54avg 76
H18/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
16-18
11-18
21-21
23-27
25-19
18-24
15-31
14-21
27-19
22-23
27-22
15-19
21-18
15-11
15-23
25-10
25-10
17-16
23-12
20-25
17-18
14-21
22-9
27-17
16-23
15-26
16-15
25-19
14-20
12-24
18-22
17-23
17-10
29-18
21-18
10-22
18-17
20-11
22-10
153.2Avg total
77.4Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.672.3152.8+8.363%
Season at home (10)80.071.2151.2+8.870%
Season away (9)81.273.4154.7+7.856%
Last 10 (10)77.475.8153.2+1.640%
Last 5 (5)75.675.6151.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.583.4150.9-15.89%
vs Similar (6)73.374.5147.8-1.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.970.4154.3+13.585%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
SamoborKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/02
Prva Liga
89.1Avg total
47.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.585.6-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.142.986.1+0.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.343.985.2-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)47.741.489.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.693.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.746.586.2-6.833%-
vs Similar (6)37.244.281.3-7.033%-
vs Weaker (11)47.039.586.5+7.573%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A18/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H23/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/01
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
50-20
50
20
+30
A20/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H24/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H04/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/02
Prva Liga
76.6Avg total
39.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.077.4+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.238.277.4+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.737.777.4+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.376.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.875.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.641.578.1-4.818%-
vs Similar (6)38.238.776.8-0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.534.777.2+7.885%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.5
55.7%
52.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.3
38.7%
32.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws13.510.5
77.8%
71.2%10.5
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.3
52.7%
52.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.9
33.7%
32.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.8
72.0%
71.2%11.8
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWWWWLLWWW
KK Zagreb
WWLLLWLWLL
#5
League position
#3
+10.8
Net rating
+5.9
115.2
Offensive rating
105.4
104.3
Defensive rating
99.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.7%
3-point %
33.7%
60.9%
Assist %
65.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 105.4Defence104.3 · 99.5Shooting56.7% · 51.7%3-point %38.7% · 33.7%Ball care16.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 27.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Samobor   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Samobor wins
4
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23KK Zagreb v Samobor82-66
22/01/23KK Zagreb v Samobor76-59
22/10/22Samobor v KK Zagreb82-100
12/04/22Samobor v KK Zagreb55-67
20/03/22KK Zagreb v Samobor58-67
08/01/22Samobor v KK Zagreb84-69
10/10/21KK Zagreb v Samobor66-78
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AKastela72-71
11/02/24HMarsonia97-88
06/02/24HMladost113-92
27/01/24HPodstrana99-65
24/01/24AHermes91-85
21/01/24HKvarner82-86
13/01/24AOsijek77-96
23/12/23HOmis102-89
16/12/23ACrikvenica95-79
10/12/23HGorica85-74
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HMarsonia70-60
11/02/24APodstrana84-69
04/02/24HKvarner69-85
27/01/24AOmis74-81
24/01/24HGorica81-83 OT
20/01/24AStoja90-48
13/01/24AKastela66-71
23/12/23HMladost90-85
18/12/23AHermes81-101
09/12/23HOsijek69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%67%60%
Points / game84.288.180.6
Allowed / game82.882.782.9
Point differential+1.4+5.4-2.3
Avg total166.9170.8163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW63%
HomeLWLLW70%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%70%56%
Points / game80.680.081.2
Allowed / game72.371.273.4
Point differential+8.3+8.8+7.8
Avg total152.8151.2154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%40%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2018290%90.273.0+17.2
2 Osijek2018290%87.074.9+12.1
3 Gorica2014670%81.874.9+6.9
4 KK Zagreb1912763%80.672.3+8.3
5 Samobor1912763%84.282.8+1.4
6 Kastela1911858%80.673.9+6.7
7 Jazine1911858%88.485.7+2.6
8 Hermes1991047%91.589.6+1.9
9 Omis2091145%77.381.0-3.8
10 Marsonia1961332%79.185.5-6.4
11 Mladost1951426%78.185.9-7.8
12 Podstrana1941521%71.686.1-14.5
13 Stoja1931616%78.390.9-12.6
14 Crikvenica1931616%73.486.9-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2915131269
KK Zagreb179212774
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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