PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Samobor vs Dubrovnik Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 86-82
Projected total 167.3
Scheduled
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.9
Vs
63%
37%
■ SAMO 63%■ DUBR 37%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game89.5
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 9· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2026-27
Meetings · Samobor v Dubrovnik
20 Nov 2026
SAMO v DUBR
upcoming
13 May 2026
SAMO81
DUBR86
18 Mar 2026
SAMO107
DUBR76
03 Jan 2026
SAMO89
DUBR84
11 Mar 2023
SAMO91
DUBR92
12 Feb 2022
SAMO72
DUBR78
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Samobor host Dubrovnik in the Premijer liga. Pythia makes Samobor the favourite at 63% and projects 86-82, about 167 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Samobor are 1-7 this season (76.6 scored, 83.9 allowed a game), form LLWLL; Dubrovnik are 2-6 this season (77.8 scored, 89.5 allowed a game), form LWLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor win
63.0%fair 1.59
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik win
37.0%fair 2.70
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
83-103
83
103
-20
71avg 76
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
45avg 76
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
65-98
65
98
-33
59avg 76
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
74avg 76
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
56avg 76
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 76
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 76
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 76
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
24-24
17-27
17-24
14-24
20-13
15-26
10-18
16-18
19-20
11-29
19-31
17-21
22-16
16-26
29-21
21-23
11-22
21-13
11-15
16-21
14-14
21-13
21-31
27-25
23-16
16-21
12-27
31-20
21-14
20-27
25-28
24-24
15-23
17-18
21-17
21-26
13-28
18-17
23-12
163.3Avg total
76.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.683.9160.5-7.212%
Season at home (4)77.584.8162.2-7.20%
Season away (4)75.883.0158.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)76.187.2163.3-11.110%
Last 5 (5)79.884.4164.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.589.3166.8-11.70%
vs Similar (9)82.681.0163.6+1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
42avg 73
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 73
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 73
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
85avg 73
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
92avg 73
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
81-91
81
91
-10
73avg 73
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
83avg 73
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-105
71
105
-34
60avg 73
H30/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A08/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
H14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
12-20
25-23
7-23
15-25
22-19
18-18
13-19
24-15
16-23
19-22
7-21
23-25
20-21
17-23
25-25
31-14
24-23
19-17
18-25
21-19
20-23
14-19
26-30
19-26
24-10
24-21
17-23
16-14
15-30
18-29
22-32
21-24
14-30
17-23
20-14
28-20
13-25
15-23
15-27
162.7Avg total
74.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.889.5167.2-11.825%
Season at home (5)76.290.2166.4-14.020%
Season away (3)80.388.3168.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)74.788.0162.7-13.320%
Last 5 (5)75.892.4168.2-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.287.5160.7-14.313%
vs Similar (12)84.081.9165.9+2.175%
vs Weaker (3)89.378.3167.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
71.7%
Under 157.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
60.6%
Under 162.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
48.6%
Under 167.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Samobor total 79.5
Over 79.5
72.1%
Under 79.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samobor total 83.5
Over 83.5
57.7%
Under 83.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samobor total 87.5
Over 87.5
42.2%
Under 87.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrovnik total 75
Over 75
74.8%
Under 75
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrovnik total 79
Over 79
60.4%
Under 79
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrovnik total 83
Over 83
44.6%
Under 83
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Samobor -3
SAMO -3
54.3%
DUBR +3
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
SAMO
No market prices yet.
DUBR
No market prices yet.
Spread Samobor 0
SAMO 0
63.0%
DUBR 0
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
SAMO
No market prices yet.
DUBR
No market prices yet.
Spread Samobor +3
SAMO +3
71.5%
DUBR -3
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
SAMO
No market prices yet.
DUBR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -6.9-6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -6.9-6.9
SamoborDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A14/11
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
39.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.484.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.443.488.8+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)37.441.278.6-3.815%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.081.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.243.684.8-2.527%-
vs Similar (9)41.142.283.3-1.122%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A08/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H14/11
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
39.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.183.0-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.440.582.9+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)39.144.283.2-5.146%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.381.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.282.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.544.182.5-5.620%-
vs Similar (12)42.841.283.9+1.675%-
vs Weaker (3)46.036.082.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.6
48.7%
54.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
34.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
71.7%15.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
54.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
34.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
71.7%17.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LLWLLLLLLL
Dubrovnik
LLLWLWLLLL
#12
League position
#10
-12.7
Net rating
-8.2
86.4
Offensive rating
90.6
99.1
Defensive rating
98.8
47.8%
Effective FG%
47.7%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.0%
3-point %
27.0%
61.7%
Assist %
73.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence86.4 · 90.6Defence99.1 · 98.8Shooting47.8% · 47.7%3-point %31.0% · 27.0%Ball care18.8% · 16.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Samobor   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
7
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
16/05/26Dubrovnik v Samobor77-69
13/05/26Samobor v Dubrovnik81-86
18/03/26Samobor v Dubrovnik107-76
03/01/26Samobor v Dubrovnik89-84
10/10/25Dubrovnik v Samobor83-80
11/03/23Samobor v Dubrovnik91-92
11/12/22Dubrovnik v Samobor103-72
12/02/22Samobor v Dubrovnik72-78
13/11/21Dubrovnik v Samobor80-66
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADinamo Zagreb75-83
07/11/26HSplit77-82
31/10/26ACedevita Junior97-89
23/10/26HSkrljevo78-89
17/10/26AZabok72-79
09/10/26HCibona64-73
04/10/26HAlkar91-95 OT
30/09/26ABC Prievidza65-98
27/09/26AZadar59-81
23/09/26HBC Prievidza83-103
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCibona71-95
08/11/26AAlkar72-91
30/10/26HZadar71-105
24/10/26ADubrava84-80
17/10/26HKvarner81-91
10/10/26HZabok92-79
03/10/26ADinamo Zagreb85-94
26/09/26HSplit66-81
25/05/26HZadar68-81
22/05/26AZadar57-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game76.677.575.8
Allowed / game83.984.883.0
Point differential-7.2-7.2-7.2
Avg total160.5162.2158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game77.876.280.3
Allowed / game89.590.288.3
Point differential-11.8-14.0-8.0
Avg total167.2166.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner74357%88.983.9+5.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar72529%80.782.7-2.0
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.