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Samobor vs Dubrovnik Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#8
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game88.3
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 9· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2026-27
Meetings · Samobor v Dubrovnik
20 Nov 2026
SAMO v DUBR
upcoming
13 May 2026
SAMO81
DUBR86
18 Mar 2026
SAMO107
DUBR76
03 Jan 2026
SAMO89
DUBR84
11 Mar 2023
SAMO91
DUBR92
12 Feb 2022
SAMO72
DUBR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-91
110
91
+19
H09/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H13/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A16/05
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#18
L
83-103
83
103
-20
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#18
L
65-98
65
98
-33
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#10
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H23/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
25-21
31-23
28-22
19-21
18-19
15-22
29-24
21-21
17-23
6-20
25-13
25-28
24-24
17-27
17-24
14-24
20-13
15-26
10-18
16-18
19-20
11-29
19-31
17-21
22-16
16-26
29-21
21-23
11-22
21-13
11-15
16-21
14-14
21-13
21-31
27-25
23-16
16-21
12-27
164.4Avg total
77.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.883.4156.2-10.60%
Season at home (3)77.785.7163.3-8.00%
Season away (2)65.580.0145.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)77.287.2164.4-10.010%
Last 5 (5)74.086.8160.8-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.689.5166.1-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.279.0161.2+3.256%
vs Weaker (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A13/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H16/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#12
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-105
71
105
-34
H30/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-18
22-15
24-29
21-21
23-17
20-6
13-25
13-17
12-20
25-23
7-23
15-25
22-19
18-18
13-19
24-15
16-23
19-22
7-21
23-25
20-21
17-23
25-25
31-14
24-23
19-17
18-25
21-19
20-23
14-19
26-30
19-26
24-10
24-21
17-23
16-14
15-30
18-29
22-32
161.1Avg total
76.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.888.3168.2-8.533%
Season at home (4)77.589.0166.5-11.525%
Season away (2)84.587.0171.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)76.784.4161.1-7.740%
Last 5 (5)82.689.8172.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.786.7157.5-16.09%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.082.4167.4+2.671%
vs Weaker (5)86.275.0161.2+11.2100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -8.0-8.0
SamoborDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/05
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#18
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#18
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
Premijer liga
81.0Avg total
39.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.983.2-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.342.687.9+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)36.240.877.1-4.615%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.581.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.276.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.743.784.5-3.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.840.280.0-0.433%-
vs Weaker (10)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/10
Premijer liga
79.8Avg total
39.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.082.4+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.839.482.2+3.361%-
Last 30 away (12)39.443.382.8-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.979.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.083.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.643.580.2-6.918%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.641.184.7+2.471%-
vs Weaker (5)46.035.081.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.5
48.4%
54.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.2
31.5%
34.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
71.8%15.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
54.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
34.0%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
71.8%17.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LLLLLLLLLW
Dubrovnik
LWLWLLLLWW
#11
League position
#8
-11.3
Net rating
-8.2
87.1
Offensive rating
90.6
98.4
Defensive rating
98.8
48.0%
Effective FG%
47.7%
59.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.5%
3-point %
27.0%
65.2%
Assist %
73.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.1 · 90.6Defence98.4 · 98.8Shooting48.0% · 47.7%3-point %31.5% · 27.0%Ball care18.0% · 16.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Samobor   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
7
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
16/05/26Dubrovnik v Samobor77-69
13/05/26Samobor v Dubrovnik81-86
18/03/26Samobor v Dubrovnik107-76
03/01/26Samobor v Dubrovnik89-84
10/10/25Dubrovnik v Samobor83-80
11/03/23Samobor v Dubrovnik91-92
11/12/22Dubrovnik v Samobor103-72
12/02/22Samobor v Dubrovnik72-78
13/11/21Dubrovnik v Samobor80-66
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HSkrljevo78-89
17/10/26AZabok72-79
09/10/26HCibona64-73
04/10/26HAlkar91-95 OT
30/09/26ABC Prievidza65-98
27/09/26AZadar59-81
23/09/26HBC Prievidza83-103
16/05/26ADubrovnik69-77
13/05/26HDubrovnik81-86
09/05/26HDinamo Zagreb110-91
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HZadar71-105
24/10/26ADubrava84-80
17/10/26HKvarner81-91
10/10/26HZabok92-79
03/10/26ADinamo Zagreb85-94
26/09/26HSplit66-81
25/05/26HZadar68-81
22/05/26AZadar57-83
16/05/26HSamobor77-69
13/05/26ASamobor86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.877.765.5
Allowed / game83.485.780.0
Point differential-10.6-8.0-14.5
Avg total156.2163.3145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game79.877.584.5
Allowed / game88.389.087.0
Point differential-8.5-11.5-2.5
Avg total168.2166.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar660100%91.864.8+27.0
2 Cibona550100%90.276.4+13.8
3 Split54180%82.072.0+10.0
4 Dinamo Zagreb64267%76.781.2-4.5
5 Kvarner53260%89.479.4+10.0
6 Skrljevo53260%83.285.2-2.0
7 Cedevita Junior53260%78.288.0-9.8
8 Dubrovnik62433%79.888.3-8.5
9 Zabok51420%78.286.8-8.6
10 Alkar61517%79.084.5-5.5
11 Samobor5050%72.883.4-10.6
12 Dubrava5050%72.085.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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