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Samobor vs Osijek Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-83
19-20 15-24 18-16 21-23
Position#5
Record18-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
Position#2
Record23-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game74.9
CroatiaPrva LigaPrva Liga - Semi-finals· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Osijek
16 Apr 2024
SAMO73
OSIJ83
06 Apr 2024
SAMO82
OSIJ65
05 Nov 2022
SAMO74
OSIJ85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 77
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
66avg 77
A17/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 77
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 77
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 77
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 77
A16/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 77
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
101-90
101
90
+11
93avg 77
A27/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 77
H06/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-99
69
99
-30
58avg 77
A13/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
23-31
17-16
26-17
24-17
16-16
20-20
12-18
29-17
15-9
13-21
12-27
38-32
23-29
17-11
14-15
20-28
29-18
36-26
22-25
16-26
15-19
28-19
26-16
22-19
21-23
18-19
25-18
18-36
22-21
35-13
26-20
24-15
25-19
12-14
21-17
13-22
25-29
13-22
18-26
169.0Avg total
86.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.883.1167.9+1.767%
Season at home (13)87.581.5168.9+6.069%
Season away (14)82.484.6167.0-2.364%
Last 10 (10)86.083.0169.0+3.080%
Last 5 (5)84.682.6167.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.884.6158.4-10.912%
vs Similar (8)80.583.9164.4-3.462%
vs Weaker (13)94.281.0175.2+13.2100%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 82
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Omis
#10
W
76-72
76
72
+4
71avg 82
H18/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
78-72
78
72
+6
79avg 82
A24/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
86-62
86
62
+24
80avg 82
H02/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
99-72
99
72
+27
94avg 82
A10/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
no box
H16/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
93-97
93
97
-4
78avg 82
A23/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
98-62
98
62
+36
99avg 82
H28/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
65-82
65
82
-17
52avg 82
A06/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
99-69
99
69
+30
96avg 82
H13/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
22-22
11-24
23-21
22-24
14-14
21-12
19-22
11-30
23-15
24-14
20-13
13-10
24-22
18-17
31-13
32-14
24-15
21-19
22-24
22-26
13-12
20-17
20-20
25-25
22-14
25-27
21-31
23-15
32-18
20-8
23-21
15-24
19-25
14-12
17-21
22-13
29-25
22-13
26-18
160.8Avg total
85.2Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.774.9162.6+12.785%
Season at home (14)90.771.2161.9+19.5100%
Season away (13)84.478.9163.3+5.569%
Last 10 (10)85.275.6160.8+9.670%
Last 5 (5)88.678.2166.8+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.780.7160.3-1.067%
vs Similar (2)81.575.0156.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.474.2162.6+14.283%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
SamoborOsijek
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A27/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H06/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A13/04
Prva Liga
89.9Avg total
44.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.985.8+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.840.485.1+4.479%-
Last 30 away (16)41.345.186.4-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)44.945.089.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.886.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.941.282.1-0.438%-
vs Similar (8)37.944.582.4-6.638%-
vs Weaker (13)46.842.589.4+4.362%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Omis
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H18/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H02/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
56-29
56
29
+27
A10/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A23/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H28/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A06/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H13/04
Prva Liga
80.4Avg total
42.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.081.5+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.136.880.9+7.281%-
Last 30 away (14)42.939.382.2+3.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.380.4+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.483.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.782.3-5.033%-
vs Similar (2)35.537.573.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.737.181.8+7.675%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.8
55.1%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.6
37.5%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws13.810.0
72.5%
71.2%10.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.224.8
56.1%
52.9%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.7
28.4%
32.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.211.8
72.8%
71.2%11.8
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LWWWWWWLWW
Osijek
WLWLWWWWWL
#5
League position
#2
+3.9
Net rating
+8.2
108.0
Offensive rating
103.9
104.1
Defensive rating
95.7
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.5%
3-point %
28.4%
57.4%
Assist %
62.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 103.9Defence104.1 · 95.7Shooting55.5% · 51.4%3-point %37.5% · 28.4%Ball care18.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.6%Free throws0.20 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Samobor   ■ Osijek
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
4
Osijek wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Osijek v Samobor99-69
06/04/24Samobor v Osijek82-65
13/01/24Osijek v Samobor96-77
05/02/23Osijek v Samobor93-48
05/11/22Samobor v Osijek74-85
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24AOsijek69-99
06/04/24HOsijek82-65
27/03/24AOmis101-90
21/03/24HCrikvenica86-79
16/03/24AGorica85-80
10/03/24HJazine107-97
03/03/24AStoja92-87
25/02/24HKK Zagreb69-74
17/02/24AKastela72-71
11/02/24HMarsonia97-88
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HSamobor99-69
06/04/24ASamobor65-82
28/03/24HCrikvenica98-62
23/03/24AJazine93-97
16/03/24HKK Zagreb88-81 OT
10/03/24AMarsonia99-72
02/03/24HPodstrana86-62
24/02/24AKvarner78-72
18/02/24HOmis76-72
13/02/24ADubrava70-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%69%64%
Points / game84.887.582.4
Allowed / game83.181.584.6
Point differential+1.7+6.0-2.3
Avg total167.9168.9167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%54%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %85%100%69%
Points / game87.790.784.4
Allowed / game74.971.278.9
Point differential+12.7+19.5+5.5
Avg total162.6161.9163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %11%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2826293%90.472.8+17.7
2 Osijek2723485%87.774.9+12.7
3 Samobor2718967%84.883.1+1.7
4 KK Zagreb2617965%79.771.8+7.9
5 Gorica28181064%80.775.9+4.8
6 Kastela26151158%79.274.8+4.4
7 Jazine26131350%86.985.5+1.4
8 Hermes26121446%89.789.4+0.2
9 Marsonia26101638%81.286.0-4.8
10 Omis26101638%77.382.2-4.9
11 Mladost2681831%78.284.8-6.6
12 Crikvenica2662023%73.084.9-11.9
13 Stoja2652119%79.790.0-10.3
14 Podstrana2642215%71.385.8-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor1915182173
Osijek2024162383
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