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Omis vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-101
36-18 21-22 13-35 20-26
Position#10
Record10-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#5
Record16-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game82.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 25· Sportska dvorana Ribnjak
Other2023-24
Meetings · Omis v Samobor
23 Nov 2024
OMIS84
SAMO96
27 Mar 2024
OMIS90
SAMO101
29 Oct 2022
OMIS68
SAMO61
23 Oct 2021
OMIS71
SAMO50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Omis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OmisCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOmis
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
68avg 69
A24/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
81-74
81
74
+7
79avg 69
H27/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
60-108
60
108
-48
49avg 69
A04/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
81avg 69
H10/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 69
A18/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
76-110
76
110
-34
64avg 69
H24/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
59-78
59
78
-19
48avg 69
A03/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
no box
H09/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-76
88
76
+12
89avg 69
A16/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
72avg 69
H23/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
25-25
17-17
19-21
17-27
23-16
26-15
15-16
15-25
20-26
13-32
12-25
22-16
17-18
17-6
24-25
24-22
14-14
12-21
22-19
10-25
24-26
17-30
25-29
20-17
3-26
19-20
17-15
18-26
21-18
22-18
12-11
22-21
17-20
21-18
28-17
29-30
12-16
20-21
14-15
158.4Avg total
74.9Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.080.8157.8-3.942%
Season at home (12)81.881.2163.0+0.758%
Season away (12)72.180.5152.6-8.425%
Last 10 (10)74.983.5158.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)75.485.8161.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.383.1153.4-12.816%
vs Similar (5)74.278.8153.0-4.620%
vs Weaker (6)90.871.8162.7+19.0100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Hermes
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 78
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
99-65
99
65
+34
80avg 78
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
113-92
113
92
+21
116avg 78
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 78
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
66avg 78
A17/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 78
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 78
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 78
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 78
A16/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 78
H21/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-23
32-24
16-15
28-18
17-17
25-16
29-14
31-21
36-28
25-26
21-17
31-24
23-31
17-16
26-17
24-17
16-16
20-20
12-18
29-17
15-9
13-21
12-27
38-32
23-29
17-11
14-15
20-28
29-18
36-26
22-25
16-26
15-19
28-19
26-16
22-19
21-23
18-19
25-18
172.9Avg total
91.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.982.9167.8+2.067%
Season at home (12)87.982.8170.8+5.167%
Season away (12)81.983.0164.9-1.167%
Last 10 (10)91.181.8172.9+9.390%
Last 5 (5)87.883.4171.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.888.3168.1-8.611%
vs Similar (8)80.583.9164.4-3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)93.780.2173.9+13.4100%
This opponent (Omis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
OmisSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OmisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H10/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A18/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H24/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A03/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H23/03
Prva Liga
80.5Avg total
37.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.777.7-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.680.5+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)34.040.874.8-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.480.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.245.080.2-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.440.877.2-4.426%-
vs Similar (5)35.843.078.8-7.220%-
vs Weaker (6)44.833.578.3+11.383%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/03
Prva Liga
91.5Avg total
47.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.886.2+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.840.885.6+4.080%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.986.8-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)47.743.891.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.089.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.242.985.1-0.744%-
vs Similar (8)37.944.582.4-6.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.441.388.8+6.167%-
This opponent (Omis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Omistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omis: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.4
57.2%
52.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.5
29.8%
32.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.811.7
65.7%
71.2%11.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.324.3
57.4%
52.9%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.7
37.8%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws13.410.5
78.4%
71.2%10.5
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Omis
LWLLLLWLWL
Samobor
WWWWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#5
-8.8
Net rating
+12.2
100.2
Offensive rating
114.3
109.1
Defensive rating
102.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
57.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
20.5%
Turnover %
16.0%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.19
29.8%
3-point %
37.8%
67.0%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 114.3Defence109.1 · 102.1Shooting51.5% · 57.2%3-point %29.8% · 37.8%Ball care20.5% · 16.0%Off. rebounds28.3% · 25.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Omis   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Omis wins
1
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Samobor v Omis102-89
28/01/23Samobor v Omis69-76
29/10/22Omis v Samobor68-61
22/01/22Samobor v Omis81-86
23/10/21Omis v Samobor71-50
Omislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HGorica75-82
16/03/24AStoja88-76
09/03/24HKastela79-83 OT
03/03/24AMladost59-78
24/02/24HHermes76-110
18/02/24AOsijek72-76
10/02/24HCrikvenica80-65
04/02/24AJazine60-108
27/01/24HKK Zagreb81-74
24/01/24AMarsonia79-83
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24HCrikvenica86-79
16/03/24AGorica85-80
10/03/24HJazine107-97
03/03/24AStoja92-87
25/02/24HKK Zagreb69-74
17/02/24AKastela72-71
11/02/24HMarsonia97-88
06/02/24HMladost113-92
27/01/24HPodstrana99-65
24/01/24AHermes91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Omis
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWWLLL58%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%58%25%
Points / game77.081.872.1
Allowed / game80.881.280.5
Point differential-3.9+0.7-8.4
Avg total157.8163.0152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game84.987.981.9
Allowed / game82.982.883.0
Point differential+2.0+5.1-1.1
Avg total167.8170.8164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2422292%90.772.8+18.0
2 Osijek2421388%87.775.4+12.3
3 Gorica2417771%81.274.8+6.4
4 Samobor2416867%84.982.9+2.0
5 KK Zagreb2415962%79.272.5+6.7
6 Kastela25151060%79.874.6+5.2
7 Jazine25121348%86.785.9+0.8
8 Hermes25111444%89.690.2-0.6
9 Omis24101442%77.080.8-3.9
10 Marsonia25101540%80.985.8-4.9
11 Mladost2481633%79.084.3-5.3
12 Crikvenica2461825%73.684.2-10.5
13 Podstrana2442017%71.385.0-13.7
14 Stoja2432112%78.490.9-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Omis3621132090
Samobor18223526101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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