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Samobor vs Osijek Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 82-65
24-15 25-19 12-14 21-17
Position#5
Record17-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game83.2
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Osijek
Croatia
Position#2
Record22-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game74.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 26· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Osijek
16 Apr 2024
SAMO73
OSIJ83
06 Apr 2024
SAMO82
OSIJ65
05 Nov 2022
SAMO74
OSIJ85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osijek winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
99-65
99
65
+34
80avg 78
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
113-92
113
92
+21
116avg 78
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 78
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
66avg 78
A17/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 78
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 78
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 78
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 78
A16/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 78
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
101-90
101
90
+11
93avg 78
A27/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
17-17
25-16
29-14
31-21
36-28
25-26
21-17
31-24
23-31
17-16
26-17
24-17
16-16
20-20
12-18
29-17
15-9
13-21
12-27
38-32
23-29
17-11
14-15
20-28
29-18
36-26
22-25
16-26
15-19
28-19
26-16
22-19
21-23
18-19
25-18
18-36
22-21
35-13
26-20
174.4Avg total
92.1Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.683.2168.8+2.468%
Season at home (12)87.982.8170.8+5.167%
Season away (13)83.483.5166.9-0.269%
Last 10 (10)92.182.3174.4+9.890%
Last 5 (5)94.286.6180.8+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.687.9166.5-9.212%
vs Similar (8)80.583.9164.4-3.462%
vs Weaker (13)94.281.0175.2+13.2100%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
96-70
96
70
+26
103avg 83
H04/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
59-83
59
83
-24
52avg 83
A10/02
Prva Liga
Dubrava
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 83
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Omis
#10
W
76-72
76
72
+4
71avg 83
H18/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
78-72
78
72
+6
79avg 83
A24/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
86-62
86
62
+24
80avg 83
H02/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
99-72
99
72
+27
94avg 83
A10/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
no box
H16/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
93-97
93
97
-4
78avg 83
A23/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
98-62
98
62
+36
99avg 83
H28/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
25-17
28-15
12-22
18-22
13-20
14-16
14-25
14-20
22-22
11-24
23-21
22-24
14-14
21-12
19-22
11-30
23-15
24-14
20-13
13-10
24-22
18-17
31-13
32-14
24-15
21-19
22-24
22-26
13-12
20-17
20-20
25-25
22-14
25-27
21-31
23-15
32-18
20-8
23-21
160.1Avg total
84.3Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.174.9163.0+13.288%
Season at home (13)90.171.4161.5+18.7100%
Season away (12)86.078.7164.7+7.375%
Last 10 (10)84.375.8160.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)92.874.8167.6+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.780.7160.3-1.067%
vs Similar (2)81.575.0156.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.474.5162.9+13.983%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
SamoborOsijek
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A27/03
Prva Liga
92.3Avg total
47.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.486.5-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.740.885.5+3.979%-
Last 30 away (16)41.845.687.4-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)47.444.992.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.850.295.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.843.184.9-1.438%-
vs Similar (8)37.944.582.4-6.638%-
vs Weaker (13)46.842.589.4+4.362%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H04/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/02
Prva Liga
Dubrava
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Omis
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H18/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H02/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
56-29
56
29
+27
A10/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A23/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H28/03
Prva Liga
79.4Avg total
42.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.437.380.7+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.636.780.3+6.980%-
Last 30 away (15)43.337.981.1+5.460%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.179.4+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.034.280.2+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.782.3-5.033%-
vs Similar (2)35.537.573.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.636.380.9+8.379%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.624.1
57.9%
52.9%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.1
39.4%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws13.710.7
78.1%
71.2%10.7
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.3
56.3%
52.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.9
31.5%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws14.611.1
76.0%
71.2%11.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWWWWLWWWW
Osijek
WLWWWWWLLW
#5
League position
#2
+12.8
Net rating
+11.1
116.0
Offensive rating
104.8
103.1
Defensive rating
93.7
58.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.22
39.4%
3-point %
31.5%
59.1%
Assist %
67.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 104.8Defence103.1 · 93.7Shooting58.4% · 52.9%3-point %39.4% · 31.5%Ball care15.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds25.1% · 25.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Samobor   ■ Osijek
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
3
Osijek wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Osijek v Samobor96-77
05/02/23Osijek v Samobor93-48
05/11/22Samobor v Osijek74-85
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24AOmis101-90
21/03/24HCrikvenica86-79
16/03/24AGorica85-80
10/03/24HJazine107-97
03/03/24AStoja92-87
25/02/24HKK Zagreb69-74
17/02/24AKastela72-71
11/02/24HMarsonia97-88
06/02/24HMladost113-92
27/01/24HPodstrana99-65
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HCrikvenica98-62
23/03/24AJazine93-97
16/03/24HKK Zagreb88-81 OT
10/03/24AMarsonia99-72
02/03/24HPodstrana86-62
24/02/24AKvarner78-72
18/02/24HOmis76-72
13/02/24ADubrava70-87
10/02/24AGorica59-83
04/02/24HStoja96-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %68%67%69%
Points / game85.687.983.4
Allowed / game83.282.883.5
Point differential+2.4+5.1-0.2
Avg total168.8170.8166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game88.190.186.0
Allowed / game74.971.478.7
Point differential+13.2+18.7+7.3
Avg total163.0161.5164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2523292%90.172.7+17.4
2 Osijek2522388%88.174.9+13.2
3 Gorica2517868%80.874.8+6.0
4 Samobor2517868%85.683.2+2.4
5 KK Zagreb2516964%79.672.0+7.6
6 Kastela25151060%79.874.6+5.2
7 Jazine26131350%86.985.5+1.4
8 Hermes25111444%89.690.2-0.6
9 Omis25101540%77.581.6-4.2
10 Marsonia25101540%80.985.8-4.9
11 Mladost2681831%78.284.8-6.6
12 Crikvenica2561924%73.284.7-11.6
13 Stoja2542116%79.290.1-10.9
14 Podstrana2542116%71.485.6-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2425122182
Osijek1519141765
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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