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Samobor vs Podstrana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-65
28-18 17-17 25-16 29-14
Position#5
Record8-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game83.8
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#14
Record4-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game84.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 16· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podstrana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
49avg 73
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-77
88
77
+11
84avg 73
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 73
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
61avg 73
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 73
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
95-79
95
79
+16
89avg 73
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 73
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 73
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
82avg 73
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 73
A24/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
18-24
9-22
21-19
28-16
18-14
23-25
19-22
24-23
25-24
13-20
23-21
13-22
28-21
20-27
16-21
22-20
31-20
19-14
13-20
24-24
25-7
22-18
24-30
23-22
19-13
25-28
35-26
25-23
16-31
18-20
18-22
21-22
22-14
20-25
19-25
20-23
23-23
32-24
16-15
169.5Avg total
84.8Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.283.8165.0-2.653%
Season at home (6)80.783.2163.8-2.550%
Season away (9)81.684.2165.8-2.756%
Last 10 (10)84.884.7169.5+0.150%
Last 5 (5)89.487.0176.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)79.592.3171.8-12.77%
vs Similar (5)76.084.6160.6-8.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.879.4169.2+10.389%
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodstrana
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 61
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 61
H26/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
61avg 61
A03/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
62avg 61
H10/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
68-57
68
57
+11
60avg 61
H13/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
72-95
72
95
-23
59avg 61
A16/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
76-66
76
66
+10
66avg 61
H23/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
55avg 61
A13/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
79-98
79
98
-19
65avg 61
A20/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
56-89
56
89
-33
51avg 61
H24/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
22-22
25-16
13-18
12-26
22-20
15-30
25-16
22-29
23-29
22-16
12-19
18-24
19-26
19-6
16-11
19-19
16-16
20-11
13-11
15-25
16-24
20-26
21-20
26-12
8-11
21-22
21-21
11-26
20-23
17-23
21-15
21-28
8-23
21-25
29-22
16-18
9-14
15-27
16-30
154.7Avg total
72.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.284.5156.7-12.327%
Season at home (8)71.578.5150.0-7.050%
Season away (7)73.091.3164.3-18.30%
Last 10 (10)72.182.6154.7-10.530%
Last 5 (5)70.487.0157.4-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.984.6156.6-12.729%
vs Similar (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
SamoborPodstrana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/01
Prva Liga
84.6Avg total
44.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.884.2-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.541.981.4-2.554%-
Last 30 away (17)41.145.286.4-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)44.340.384.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.484.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.546.986.5-7.427%-
vs Similar (5)36.646.483.0-9.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.036.879.8+6.267%-
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H26/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A03/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H23/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A13/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A20/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H24/01
Prva Liga
78.0Avg total
33.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)34.343.577.9-9.220%-
Last 30 at home (8)34.239.273.5-5.025%-
Last 30 away (7)34.448.482.9-14.014%-
Last 10 (10)33.944.178.0-10.210%-
Last 5 (5)30.040.870.8-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.143.277.3-9.121%-
vs Similar (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.1
50.6%
52.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.8
36.7%
32.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.110.4
73.8%
71.2%10.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podstranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podstrana: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.5
48.0%
52.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.3
29.7%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws14.09.0
64.3%
71.2%9.0
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WLLWWWLLWL
Podstrana
LLLWLWWLLL
#5
League position
#14
-0.6
Net rating
-12.9
106.7
Offensive rating
91.0
107.4
Defensive rating
103.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
46.7%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
20.2%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.7%
3-point %
29.7%
59.2%
Assist %
48.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 91.0Defence107.4 · 103.9Shooting52.3% · 46.7%3-point %36.7% · 29.7%Ball care17.0% · 20.2%Off. rebounds28.9% · 25.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Samobor   ■ Podstrana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
0
Podstrana wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Podstrana v Samobor73-88
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AHermes91-85
21/01/24HKvarner82-86
13/01/24AOsijek77-96
23/12/23HOmis102-89
16/12/23ACrikvenica95-79
10/12/23HGorica85-74
02/12/23AJazine77-91
29/11/23AKvarner85-88
26/11/23HStoja88-77
19/11/23AKK Zagreb66-82
Podstranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HKvarner56-89
20/01/24AOmis79-98
13/01/24AGorica69-87
23/12/23HStoja76-66
16/12/23AKastela72-95
13/12/23HJazine68-57
10/12/23HMladost72-67
03/12/23AHermes79-93
26/11/23HOsijek74-92
18/11/23ACrikvenica76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game81.280.781.6
Allowed / game83.883.284.2
Point differential-2.6-2.5-2.7
Avg total165.0163.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podstrana
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game72.271.573.0
Allowed / game84.578.591.3
Point differential-12.3-7.0-18.3
Avg total156.7150.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1514193%91.174.1+17.1
2 Osijek1514193%91.076.1+14.9
3 Gorica1611569%81.175.6+5.4
4 KK Zagreb1610662%81.872.4+9.3
5 Kastela159660%81.275.3+5.9
6 Jazine169756%87.487.9-0.5
7 Samobor158753%81.283.8-2.6
8 Omis168850%78.678.9-0.2
9 Hermes157847%92.190.1+2.1
10 Marsonia1551033%80.985.9-4.9
11 Mladost1541127%77.784.5-6.8
12 Podstrana1541127%72.284.5-12.3
13 Stoja1521313%78.790.8-12.1
14 Crikvenica1521313%72.788.9-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2817252999
Podstrana1817161465
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