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Sampaense vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-103
25-26 15-24 15-34 29-19
Position#11
Record10-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#6
Record13-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game76.6
PortugalProligaRound 12· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sampaense v Lusitania
02 May 2027
SAMP v LUSI
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SAMP71
LUSI99
04 Oct 2025
SAMP80
LUSI74
19 Apr 2025
SAMP84
LUSI103
29 Apr 2017
SAMP109
LUSI97
25 Feb 2017
SAMP65
LUSI96
18 Apr 2015
SAMP66
LUSI78
08 Dec 2013
SAMP89
LUSI81
22 Dec 2012
SAMP77
LUSI74
15 Oct 2011
SAMP56
LUSI61
13 Feb 2011
SAMP102
LUSI95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 71
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
87avg 71
A08/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 71
H15/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
80-100
80
100
-20
72avg 71
A22/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
71-93
71
93
-22
63avg 71
H01/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 71
A08/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
87-89
87
89
-2
69avg 71
A15/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 71
H22/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 71
H29/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 71
A05/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
18-21
16-13
27-21
22-21
19-19
24-16
19-18
24-36
28-14
22-24
12-22
24-27
20-24
15-20
21-29
19-31
15-17
16-19
21-26
13-16
26-21
17-20
21-25
17-25
21-30
24-18
25-16
20-13
29-23
17-16
30-20
20-17
25-25
20-13
20-16
27-19
16-27
21-15
15-22
165.7Avg total
82.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.384.3164.6-4.040%
Season at home (12)82.883.8166.6-1.158%
Season away (13)78.084.8162.8-6.823%
Last 10 (10)82.483.3165.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)84.879.4164.2+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.383.6154.9-12.418%
vs Similar (16)85.181.2166.3+3.956%
vs Weaker (3)77.381.7159.0-4.367%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 70
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
66-82
66
82
-16
62avg 70
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
83avg 70
A16/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 70
H22/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 70
A02/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
102-106
102
106
-4
91avg 70
H08/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
75avg 70
A16/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 70
H23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
74-70
74
70
+4
60avg 70
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
91avg 70
H05/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
22-16
19-15
23-22
10-22
17-19
15-26
24-15
20-10
20-25
18-24
32-21
27-24
24-20
20-15
29-21
19-33
27-18
28-9
20-22
30-29
32-25
17-20
23-32
28-19
14-30
17-18
27-26
18-8
22-25
25-14
20-24
15-16
23-13
17-21
19-20
25-26
22-23
28-12
19-21
169.2Avg total
87.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.476.6155.1+1.852%
Season at home (13)78.877.5156.3+1.254%
Season away (12)78.175.7153.8+2.450%
Last 10 (10)87.781.5169.2+6.270%
Last 5 (5)88.284.4172.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.4102.2172.6-31.80%
vs Similar (10)68.777.2145.9-8.520%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.976.3161.2+8.773%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
SampaenseLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H15/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A22/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H01/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A15/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H22/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
Proliga
86.5Avg total
42.1Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.380.5-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.382.2+3.780%-
Last 30 away (15)35.443.378.7-7.913%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.486.5-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.286.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.539.374.8-3.745%-
vs Similar (16)41.942.584.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (3)38.042.380.3-4.333%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A02/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H08/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/04
Proliga
85.4Avg total
43.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.578.2-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.741.682.2-0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)36.637.173.6-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.785.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.842.888.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.052.690.6-14.60%-
vs Similar (10)31.935.066.9-3.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.638.181.7+5.567%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.7
58.1%
49.9%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.6
33.8%
30.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.014.0
66.7%
68.4%14.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.4
52.8%
49.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.2
36.8%
30.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
68.4%15.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWWLLLLLWW
Lusitania
WWWLLWWWLW
#11
League position
#6
-1.8
Net rating
+8.7
112.5
Offensive rating
111.6
114.3
Defensive rating
102.9
55.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
20.4%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.8%
3-point %
36.8%
49.8%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 111.6Defence114.3 · 102.9Shooting55.7% · 53.8%3-point %33.8% · 36.8%Ball care18.6% · 20.4%Off. rebounds35.0% · 36.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Sampaense   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sampaense wins
8
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Lusitania v Sampaense100-80
29/04/17Sampaense v Lusitania109-97
02/04/17Lusitania v Sampaense88-87
25/02/17Sampaense v Lusitania65-96
10/12/16Lusitania v Sampaense88-83
18/04/15Sampaense v Lusitania66-78
10/01/15Lusitania v Sampaense68-60
08/03/14Lusitania v Sampaense78-77
08/12/13Sampaense v Lusitania89-81
06/04/13Lusitania v Sampaense87-85
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AGinasio79-83
29/03/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-71
22/03/25HMaia96-72
15/03/25ABarreirense87-89
08/03/25ASanto Andre77-82
01/03/25HGalitos Aveiro71-93
22/02/25ALusitania80-100
15/02/25HGinasio86-96
08/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B84-74
01/02/25AMaia79-73
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HBarreirense94-82
30/03/25ASanto Andre74-70
23/03/25HGalitos Aveiro85-71
16/03/25AMaia86-93
08/03/25HGinasio102-106
02/03/25ABenfica Lisboa B94-82
22/02/25HSampaense100-80
16/02/25ABarreirense90-80
08/02/25HSanto Andre66-82
02/02/25AGalitos Aveiro86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWLLWW58%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%58%23%
Points / game80.382.878.0
Allowed / game84.383.884.8
Point differential-4.0-1.1-6.8
Avg total164.6166.6162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeLWLWW54%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game78.478.878.1
Allowed / game76.677.575.7
Point differential+1.8+1.2+2.4
Avg total155.1156.3153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2519676%82.670.3+12.3
2 Vasco Da Gama2518772%82.677.8+4.8
3 CAB Madeira2516964%75.769.8+5.9
4 CB Queluz2516964%77.474.0+3.4
5 Portimonense2415962%76.172.9+3.2
6 Illiabum25151060%75.168.8+6.4
7 Santo Andre25131252%72.570.2+2.3
8 Lusitania25131252%78.476.6+1.8
9 Maia25131252%75.879.8-4.0
10 Imortal B24101442%67.173.2-6.1
11 Sampaense25101540%80.384.3-4.0
12 Ginasio26101638%80.585.6-5.1
13 Benfica Lisboa B26101638%68.975.3-6.4
14 Sangalhos2591636%76.877.8-1.0
15 Barreirense2591636%73.076.4-3.4
16 Galitos Aveiro2542116%68.678.4-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense2515152984
Lusitania26243419103
← all games of the day
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