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Sampaense vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 67-79
16-23 20-15 17-22 14-19
Position#10
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Maia 🏆
Portugal
Position#4
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game79.3
PortugalProligaRound 4· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sampaense v Maia
03 Jan 2027
SAMP v MAIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
SAMP67
MAIA79
22 Mar 2025
SAMP96
MAIA72
11 Jan 2025
SAMP97
MAIA84
02 Dec 2023
SAMP77
MAIA89
22 Oct 2022
SAMP91
MAIA81
09 Oct 2021
SAMP93
MAIA77
12 Mar 2017
SAMP95
MAIA88
29 Jan 2017
SAMP89
MAIA74
02 Nov 2014
SAMP82
MAIA86
04 Jan 2014
SAMP79
MAIA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
L
87-89
87
89
-2
69avg 72
A15/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 72
H22/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 72
H29/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 72
A05/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
84-103
84
103
-19
73avg 72
H19/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
66avg 72
A25/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
79avg 72
H04/05
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H04/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 72
A11/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
74-104
74
104
-30
no box
H18/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
21-30
24-18
25-16
20-13
29-23
17-16
30-20
20-17
25-25
20-13
20-16
27-19
16-27
21-15
15-22
25-26
15-24
15-34
29-19
21-21
12-13
17-16
18-18
20-15
27-19
15-15
20-28
20-16
8-26
23-11
29-21
18-26
23-17
23-15
20-21
20-30
13-20
18-24
23-30
166.1Avg total
82.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.385.7165.0-6.367%
Season at home (2)77.089.0166.0-12.050%
Season away (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.883.3166.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)79.483.0162.4-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.888.9163.7-14.127%
vs Similar (14)86.283.0169.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (5)78.681.0159.6-2.460%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
L
72-96
72
96
-24
54avg 65
A22/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 65
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
71avg 65
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
64-60
64
60
+4
53avg 65
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 65
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 65
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
61avg 65
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
64avg 65
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
48avg 65
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 65
H18/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
23-29
16-17
20-30
22-14
18-13
24-26
13-18
18-16
23-16
10-19
20-20
19-18
9-13
19-21
17-8
25-16
14-28
21-17
18-12
21-17
10-18
28-18
29-21
22-21
13-17
18-17
23-17
18-21
21-22
26-25
16-19
15-22
11-29
23-17
20-23
22-15
23-13
21-16
22-16
154.2Avg total
77.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.379.3158.7+0.033%
Season at home (2)78.575.5154.0+3.050%
Season away (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)77.776.5154.2+1.270%
Last 5 (5)80.476.8157.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.582.6156.1-9.140%
vs Similar (15)79.181.1160.3-2.053%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)77.666.4144.0+11.2100%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
SampaenseMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A15/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H22/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H19/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H04/05
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H04/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H18/10
Proliga
82.9Avg total
39.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.481.7-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.341.583.8+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)36.343.379.5-7.013%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.282.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.677.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.042.878.8-6.827%-
vs Similar (14)42.542.685.1-0.157%-
vs Weaker (5)37.640.878.4-3.220%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/10
Proliga
73.8Avg total
36.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.076.5-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.575.1+0.060%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.477.9-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)36.037.873.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.074.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.543.077.5-8.520%-
vs Similar (15)37.840.378.1-2.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.832.869.6+4.060%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.7
58.5%
50.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.6
33.5%
30.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.112.6
69.6%
67.4%12.6
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
50.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.2
29.2%
30.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.218.5
76.4%
67.4%18.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWWWLLLWWL
Maia
WLLWWWWWWL
#10
League position
#4
+2.0
Net rating
+2.1
116.6
Offensive rating
101.1
114.6
Defensive rating
99.0
55.6%
Effective FG%
45.7%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.5%
3-point %
29.2%
42.4%
Assist %
56.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 101.1Defence114.6 · 99.0Shooting55.6% · 45.7%3-point %33.5% · 29.2%Ball care15.4% · 18.9%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Sampaense   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sampaense wins
5
Maia wins
DateGameScore
22/03/25Sampaense v Maia96-72
01/02/25Maia v Sampaense73-79
11/01/25Sampaense v Maia97-84
16/11/24Maia v Sampaense83-75
04/02/24Maia v Sampaense91-68
02/12/23Sampaense v Maia77-89
18/12/22Maia v Sampaense74-69
22/10/22Sampaense v Maia91-81
16/12/21Maia v Sampaense85-62
09/10/21Sampaense v Maia93-77
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HCD Povoa74-104
11/10/25ASangalhos84-79
04/10/25HLusitania80-74
04/05/25HSanto Andre82-77
25/04/25AGalitos Aveiro77-81 OT
19/04/25HLusitania84-103
05/04/25AGinasio79-83
29/03/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-71
22/03/25HMaia96-72
15/03/25ABarreirense87-89
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HAcademica88-60
11/10/25HCD Povoa69-91
04/10/25AIlliabum81-87
04/05/25ABarreirense76-72
25/04/25HGinasio88-74
19/04/25ASanto Andre78-73
16/04/25HSanto Andre64-60
05/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B84-81 OT
29/03/25AGalitos Aveiro77-71
22/03/25ASampaense72-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.377.084.0
Allowed / game85.789.079.0
Point differential-6.3-12.0+5.0
Avg total165.0166.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game79.378.581.0
Allowed / game79.375.587.0
Point differential+0.0+3.0-6.0
Avg total158.7154.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa440100%90.568.5+22.0
2 Illiabum330100%81.363.3+18.0
3 Portimonense330100%84.770.3+14.3
4 CAB Madeira330100%86.372.3+14.0
5 Benfica Lisboa B43175%77.567.2+10.2
6 Ginasio43175%76.569.5+7.0
7 Galomar32167%87.380.3+7.0
8 Sampaense32167%79.385.7-6.3
9 Imortal B21150%76.572.0+4.5
10 Maia31233%79.379.3+0.0
11 Ginasio Olhanense31233%77.781.7-4.0
12 Lusitania3030%70.380.7-10.3
13 Santo Andre4040%75.088.0-13.0
14 Sangalhos3030%61.776.3-14.7
15 CB Queluz4040%63.086.0-23.0
16 Academica3030%57.783.0-25.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense1620171467
Maia2315221979
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