PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sampaense vs Maia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.8
PortugalProligaRound 13· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sampaense v Maia
03 Jan 2027
SAMP v MAIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
SAMP67
MAIA79
22 Mar 2025
SAMP96
MAIA72
11 Jan 2025
SAMP97
MAIA84
02 Dec 2023
SAMP77
MAIA89
22 Oct 2022
SAMP91
MAIA81
09 Oct 2021
SAMP93
MAIA77
12 Mar 2017
SAMP95
MAIA88
29 Jan 2017
SAMP89
MAIA74
02 Nov 2014
SAMP82
MAIA86
04 Jan 2014
SAMP79
MAIA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 65
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 65
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 65
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
54avg 65
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 65
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 65
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
99-70
99
70
+29
98avg 65
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
105-99
105
99
+6
104avg 65
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
61-102
61
102
-41
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
22-24
16-18
29-15
18-24
20-24
19-23
21-22
22-21
21-21
18-18
22-21
24-20
15-15
18-15
16-24
18-15
26-18
21-12
26-20
26-20
33-20
21-32
24-28
27-19
22-21
21-20
14-14
19-12
12-22
17-21
19-40
13-19
165.1Avg total
82.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.182.4164.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)91.279.0170.2+12.2100%
Season away (3)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.582.6165.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.482.2149.6-14.825%
vs Similar (6)83.279.8163.0+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)74.168.6142.8+5.575%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
96avg 76
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 76
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
74avg 76
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
85avg 76
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
105-96
105
96
+9
67avg 76
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
59-72
59
72
-13
44avg 76
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 76
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
85-95
85
95
-10
83avg 76
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
23-16
15-10
19-18
16-19
23-12
9-19
18-22
25-20
23-16
22-24
16-13
22-20
30-24
28-23
16-24
31-25
20-10
11-21
16-18
12-23
28-18
8-26
25-15
21-18
28-20
23-23
11-23
23-29
14-24
23-22
31-27
22-17
17-15
23-18
8-24
17-29
167.4Avg total
83.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.287.8171.0-4.750%
Season at home (3)96.791.3188.0+5.3100%
Season away (3)69.784.3154.0-14.70%
Last 10 (10)83.883.6167.4+0.270%
Last 5 (5)78.886.2165.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.381.3153.7-9.033%
vs Similar (9)84.781.9166.6+2.867%
vs Weaker (15)87.771.6159.3+16.173%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
SampaenseMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A14/11
Proliga
80.1Avg total
40.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.074.1-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.579.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)31.137.568.5-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.180.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.540.272.8-7.825%-
vs Similar (6)42.740.783.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.531.570.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
41.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.936.878.7+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.479.9+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)41.336.377.5+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.780.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.537.574.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (9)41.239.881.0+1.467%-
vs Weaker (15)44.434.879.2+9.687%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.8
36.4%
30.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.614.6
64.6%
67.3%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
52.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
30.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.418.6
73.2%
67.3%18.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWWWLWLWLW
Maia
LWLWLWWWWW
#8
League position
#10
+6.6
Net rating
+5.7
99.4
Offensive rating
91.8
92.8
Defensive rating
86.2
56.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.4%
3-point %
35.5%
52.1%
Assist %
63.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 91.8Defence92.8 · 86.2Shooting56.5% · 50.8%3-point %36.4% · 35.5%Ball care15.7% · 17.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Sampaense   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sampaense wins
6
Maia wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Maia v Sampaense79-68
25/10/25Sampaense v Maia67-79
22/03/25Sampaense v Maia96-72
01/02/25Maia v Sampaense73-79
11/01/25Sampaense v Maia97-84
16/11/24Maia v Sampaense83-75
04/02/24Maia v Sampaense91-68
02/12/23Sampaense v Maia77-89
18/12/22Maia v Sampaense74-69
22/10/22Sampaense v Maia91-81
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGalitos Barreiro61-102
08/11/26HCB Queluz76-67
30/10/26HAcademica105-99
24/10/26HIlliabum99-70
18/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B67-69
10/10/26HSangalhos85-80
03/10/26AVasco Da Gama82-90
02/05/26HAcademica85-81
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASangalhos65-86
07/11/26HVasco Da Gama103-101 OT
31/10/26ABarreirense85-95
24/10/26HLusitania82-77
17/10/26ASanto Andre59-72
03/10/26HGinasio Olhanense105-96
01/05/26AGinasio Olhanense83-73
25/04/26HCD Povoa75-73
18/04/26HPortimonense73-63
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game82.191.270.0
Allowed / game82.479.087.0
Point differential-0.3+12.2-17.0
Avg total164.6170.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.296.769.7
Allowed / game87.891.384.3
Point differential-4.7+5.3-14.7
Avg total171.0188.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.