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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 105-107
26-34 19-19 35-27 25-27
Position#15
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game108.1
vs
Position#16
Record5-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game112.1
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
111-108
111
108
+3
103avg 106
A10/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
93-106
93
106
-13
86avg 106
H11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
92-114
92
114
-22
84avg 106
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
117-105
117
105
+12
125avg 106
A19/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
107-113
107
113
-6
104avg 106
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
111-98
111
98
+13
110avg 106
H25/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
97-144
97
144
-47
85avg 106
H30/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
119-108
119
108
+11
119avg 106
H31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
83-93
83
93
-10
72avg 106
A02/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
118-90
118
90
+28
124avg 106
H05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
35-32
28-26
23-26
20-28
16-36
22-23
35-19
30-32
23-28
19-25
20-29
23-24
35-32
33-27
26-22
29-27
24-29
30-23
24-34
29-26
37-27
22-26
23-19
26-46
25-37
24-32
22-29
25-19
26-37
37-35
31-17
16-20
15-26
22-27
30-20
26-26
37-23
28-17
27-24
212.7Avg total
104.8Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)105.5108.1213.6-2.650%
Season at home (5)107.4110.8218.2-3.460%
Season away (3)102.3103.7206.0-1.333%
Last 10 (10)104.8107.9212.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)105.6106.6212.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)111.4111.7223.1-0.371%
vs Similar ◀ (21)106.7107.5214.2-0.857%
vs Weaker (2)112.5101.5214.0+11.050%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
87avg 104
A16/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
89-113
89
113
-24
72avg 104
H19/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
122-121
122
121
+1
104avg 104
H24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
95-123
95
123
-28
78avg 104
H25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
107-108
107
108
-1
100avg 104
A28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
116-111
116
111
+5
108avg 104
A30/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
126-107
126
107
+19
121avg 104
H31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
93-96
93
96
-3
84avg 104
A02/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
122-120
122
120
+2
124avg 104
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
126-114
126
114
+12
123avg 104
A05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
25-21
28-32
27-26
23-35
21-27
16-30
29-21
31-34
33-25
37-25
21-37
22-26
32-25
23-35
18-37
23-19
32-30
28-39
24-20
31-26
27-31
25-37
33-17
31-19
35-21
30-31
30-36
12-27
28-28
33-24
20-17
31-33
30-24
30-31
31-32
23-32
38-14
39-35
26-33
221.6Avg total
109.5Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)109.5112.1221.6-2.650%
Season at home (4)108.0116.0224.0-8.050%
Season away (6)110.5109.5220.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)109.5112.1221.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)116.6109.6226.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)101.2116.2217.5-15.025%
vs Similar ◀ (17)110.9106.6217.5+4.353%
vs Weaker (9)110.9104.4215.3+6.478%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A10/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
36-64
36
64
-28
H11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A19/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H25/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-83
51
83
-32
H30/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A02/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H05/01
NBA
110.1Avg total
52.2Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.355.9109.3-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.856.0109.8-2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)52.955.9108.7-3.047%-
Last 10 (10)52.257.9110.1-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)52.457.4109.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)54.059.3113.3-5.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)52.755.1107.8-2.552%-
vs Weaker (2)58.052.5110.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A16/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
44-62
44
62
-18
H19/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A30/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
66-40
66
40
+26
H31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A02/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A05/01
NBA
107.3Avg total
54.7Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.050.8105.7+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.652.1107.6+3.564%-
Last 30 away (16)54.449.6104.1+4.869%-
Last 10 (10)54.752.6107.3+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)57.251.0108.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.555.5107.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.048.8104.8+7.271%-
vs Weaker (9)54.652.4107.0+2.167%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.1
55.7%
52.8%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.8
37.2%
36.6%38.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
77.7%16.2
They take 79.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 109.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.029.4
53.5%
52.8%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.7
35.7%
36.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.6
74.6%
77.7%15.6
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWLWLWLLW
Boston Celtics
WWLWWLLWLL
#15
League position
#16
-3.1
Net rating
-2.5
104.1
Offensive rating
106.3
107.2
Defensive rating
108.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
15.8%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.2%
3-point %
35.7%
69.4%
Assist %
55.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 106.3Defence107.2 · 108.8Shooting55.7% · 53.5%3-point %37.2% · 35.7%Ball care17.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds15.8% · 25.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/21HOklahoma City Thunder118-90
02/01/21ADallas Mavericks83-93
31/12/20HMilwaukee Bucks119-108
30/12/20HMilwaukee Bucks97-144
25/12/20HNew Orleans Pelicans111-98
24/12/20AOrlando Magic107-113
19/12/20AToronto Raptors117-105
15/12/20HNew Orleans Pelicans92-114
11/10/20HLos Angeles Lakers93-106
10/10/20ALos Angeles Lakers111-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/21AToronto Raptors126-114
03/01/21ADetroit Pistons122-120
02/01/21ADetroit Pistons93-96
31/12/20HMemphis Grizzlies126-107
30/12/20AIndiana Pacers116-111
28/12/20AIndiana Pacers107-108
25/12/20HBrooklyn Nets95-123
24/12/20HMilwaukee Bucks122-121
19/12/20HBrooklyn Nets89-113
16/12/20APhiladelphia 76ers99-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game105.5107.4102.3
Allowed / game108.1110.8103.7
Point differential-2.6-3.4-1.3
Avg total213.6218.2206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game109.5108.0110.5
Allowed / game112.1116.0109.5
Point differential-2.6-8.0+1.0
Avg total221.6224.0220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philadelphia 76ers109190%113.9105.4+8.5
2 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%113.1103.3+9.8
3 Utah Jazz107370%112.3107.2+5.1
4 New Orleans Pelicans96367%109.4103.9+5.6
5 Orlando Magic128467%111.5109.7+1.8
6 New York Knicks117464%102.199.5+2.5
7 Brooklyn Nets106460%118.8109.3+9.5
8 Golden State Warriors106460%114.8117.2-2.4
9 Chicago Bulls127558%112.3114.9-2.6
10 Indiana Pacers116555%112.3109.1+3.2
11 Atlanta Hawks116555%116.3113.9+2.4
12 Denver Nuggets105550%117.9111.0+6.9
13 Dallas Mavericks105550%112.1107.9+4.2
14 Houston Rockets105550%112.4110.4+2.0
15 Boston Celtics105550%109.5112.1-2.6
16 Miami Heat84450%105.5108.1-2.6
17 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%102.0105.8-3.8
18 Phoenix Suns115645%106.5105.5+1.1
19 Memphis Grizzlies115645%111.1110.6+0.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers115645%107.2110.8-3.6
21 Sacramento Kings115645%110.5116.0-5.5
22 Milwaukee Bucks104640%119.9114.5+5.4
23 Portland Trail Blazers114736%111.4118.6-7.3
24 Toronto Raptors93633%107.1109.7-2.6
25 Oklahoma City Thunder93633%103.3111.3-8.0
26 San Antonio Spurs103730%109.2116.5-7.3
27 Minnesota Timberwolves103730%109.1119.7-10.6
28 Washington Wizards113827%115.0117.7-2.7
29 Detroit Pistons113827%104.8108.1-3.3
30 Charlotte Hornets113827%109.1113.1-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat26193525105
Boston Celtics34192727107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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