PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 107-101
33-31 26-27 28-14 20-29
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game121.0
Allowed / game104.5
vs
Position#17
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game131.5
Allowed / game115.8
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat
20 Jan 2027
SAS v MIA
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
SAS107
MIA101
01 Feb 2025
SAS103
MIA105
12 Nov 2023
SAS113
MIA118
17 Dec 2022
SAS101
MIA111
03 Feb 2022
SAS95
MIA112
21 Apr 2021
SAS87
MIA107
19 Jan 2020
SAS107
MIA102
20 Mar 2019
SAS105
MIA110
06 Dec 2017
SAS117
MIA105
14 Nov 2016
SAS94
MIA90
23 Mar 2016
SAS112
MIA88
06 Feb 2015
SAS98
MIA85
15 Jun 2014
SAS104
MIA87
08 Jun 2014
SAS96
MIA98
05 Jun 2014
SAS110
MIA95
06 Mar 2014
SAS111
MIA87
16 Jun 2013
SAS114
MIA104
13 Jun 2013
SAS93
MIA109
11 Jun 2013
SAS113
MIA77
31 Mar 2013
SAS86
MIA88
04 Mar 2011
SAS125
MIA95
31 Dec 2009
SAS108
MIA78
07 Nov 2008
SAS83
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
114-111
114
111
+3
109avg 107
A10/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
98-117
98
117
-19
89avg 107
A12/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
125-118
125
118
+7
122avg 107
H13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#2
L
69-82
69
82
-13
79avg 107
A05/07
California Classic
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
90-88
90
88
+2
82avg 107
A06/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
98avg 107
H09/07
California Classic
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
125-92
125
92
+33
122avg 107
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
120-116 OT
120
116
+4
113avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
118-107
118
107
+11
112avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
121-103
121
103
+18
130avg 107
H28/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
32-19
21-37
38-23
33-28
14-25
17-39
34-25
32-37
22-37
39-21
32-23
13-12
16-20
22-24
18-26
21-13
24-33
24-22
21-20
25-22
22-20
21-15
20-32
28-29
32-22
33-21
32-20
30-27
27-31
25-22
25-27
31-24
38-24
19-33
30-26
41-29
28-21
26-28
26-25
209.1Avg total
106.8Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)121.0104.5225.5+16.5100%
Season at home (2)119.5105.0224.5+14.5100%
Season away (2)122.5104.0226.5+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)106.8102.3209.1+4.570%
Last 5 (5)114.4101.4215.8+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)107.2115.4222.7-8.225%
vs Similar (11)113.7115.4229.1-1.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)123.4113.0236.4+10.486%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
112-121
112
121
-9
108avg 103
A23/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
87-124
87
124
-37
72avg 103
H26/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
83-138
83
138
-55
66avg 103
H28/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
92avg 103
H05/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
83-103
83
103
-20
70avg 103
H06/07
California Classic
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 103
A08/07
California Classic
Orlando Magic
#13
L
121-125
121
125
-4
114avg 103
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
146-114
146
114
+32
147avg 103
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
115-107
115
107
+8
113avg 103
H26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
144-117
144
117
+27
139avg 103
H28/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
27-43
29-25
32-28
20-33
22-29
22-26
23-36
17-43
16-29
30-39
20-27
12-13
20-16
24-22
26-18
20-26
18-25
24-25
21-27
23-22
25-14
22-21
23-22
39-38
26-31
26-21
30-35
44-25
42-22
28-29
32-38
24-27
33-27
31-27
27-26
37-34
39-26
29-28
39-29
216.3Avg total
106.6Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)131.5115.8247.2+15.875%
Season at home (2)129.5112.0241.5+17.5100%
Season away (2)133.5119.5253.0+14.050%
Last 10 (10)106.6109.7216.3-3.150%
Last 5 (5)123.8108.4232.2+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)100.4115.5215.8-15.118%
vs Similar (10)115.3110.3225.6+5.050%
vs Weaker (9)118.898.2217.0+20.689%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
San Antonio SpursMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A10/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A12/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-74
54
74
-20
H13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#2
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A05/07
California Classic
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A06/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H09/07
California Classic
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A25/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H28/10
NBA
103.7Avg total
53.2Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.456.1110.5-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.659.1117.7-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)50.353.1103.3-2.827%-
Last 10 (10)53.250.5103.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)60.449.8110.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)50.454.8105.2-4.333%-
vs Similar (11)54.456.6111.0-2.336%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)61.457.6119.0+3.957%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A23/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H26/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
33-72
33
72
-39
H28/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#4
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H06/07
California Classic
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A08/07
California Classic
Orlando Magic
#13
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
86-47
86
47
+39
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H28/10
NBA
107.6Avg total
52.8Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.253.4109.6+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.153.4106.4-0.362%-
Last 30 away (14)59.753.5113.2+6.264%-
Last 10 (10)52.854.8107.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)66.453.2119.6+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)50.256.6106.8-6.545%-
vs Similar (10)59.854.8114.6+5.060%-
vs Weaker (9)59.448.0107.4+11.489%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.426.3
55.5%
54.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.5
36.3%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws25.319.3
76.3%
78.1%19.3
They take 79.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.625.6
56.1%
54.8%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.012.7
35.3%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws21.617.1
79.2%
78.1%17.1
They take 81.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWLWLWLW
Miami Heat
WWWLWLWLLL
#2
League position
#17
+4.5
Net rating
-2.9
110.2
Offensive rating
107.6
105.7
Defensive rating
110.6
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.7%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.3%
3-point %
35.3%
57.7%
Assist %
59.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 107.6Defence105.7 · 110.6Shooting55.1% · 54.7%3-point %36.3% · 35.3%Ball care16.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds25.8% · 23.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
San Antonio Spurs wins
9
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25HToronto Raptors121-103
26/10/25HBrooklyn Nets118-107
25/10/25ANew Orleans Pelicans120-116 OT
23/10/25ADallas Mavericks125-92
09/07/25HLos Angeles Lakers88-89
06/07/25AGolden State Warriors90-88
05/07/25AMiami Heat69-82
13/04/25HToronto Raptors125-118
12/04/25APhoenix Suns98-117
10/04/25AGolden State Warriors114-111
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25HCharlotte Hornets144-117
26/10/25HNew York Knicks115-107
25/10/25AMemphis Grizzlies146-114
22/10/25AOrlando Magic121-125
08/07/25AGolden State Warriors93-79
06/07/25HLos Angeles Lakers83-103
05/07/25HSan Antonio Spurs82-69
28/04/25HCleveland Cavaliers83-138
26/04/25HCleveland Cavaliers87-124
23/04/25ACleveland Cavaliers112-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game121.0119.5122.5
Allowed / game104.5105.0104.0
Point differential+16.5+14.5+18.5
Avg total225.5224.5226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game131.5129.5133.5
Allowed / game115.8112.0119.5
Point differential+15.8+17.5+14.0
Avg total247.2241.5253.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs440100%121.0104.5+16.5
2 Oklahoma City Thunder660100%119.7110.3+9.3
3 Chicago Bulls440100%119.8111.2+8.5
4 Philadelphia 76ers440100%129.2123.8+5.5
5 Milwaukee Bucks54180%121.8115.0+6.8
6 Denver Nuggets43175%128.2112.5+15.8
7 Miami Heat43175%131.5115.8+15.8
8 Golden State Warriors64267%119.0116.0+3.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers53260%123.6118.6+5.0
10 Cleveland Cavaliers53260%116.2115.2+1.0
11 Detroit Pistons53260%115.0114.2+0.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers53260%117.6117.2+0.4
13 Memphis Grizzlies53260%120.4123.0-2.6
14 Houston Rockets42250%127.8117.5+10.2
15 Utah Jazz42250%126.2120.8+5.5
16 New York Knicks42250%110.5110.5+0.0
17 Los Angeles Clippers42250%107.5109.0-1.5
18 Boston Celtics52340%114.2107.2+7.0
19 Charlotte Hornets52340%124.0124.4-0.4
20 Minnesota Timberwolves52340%114.2119.0-4.8
21 Atlanta Hawks52340%113.8120.4-6.6
22 Dallas Mavericks52340%107.8115.4-7.6
23 Orlando Magic62433%115.5120.0-4.5
24 Sacramento Kings51420%111.0116.8-5.8
25 Toronto Raptors51420%121.4127.8-6.4
26 Phoenix Suns51420%116.0126.0-10.0
27 Washington Wizards51420%118.4129.0-10.6
28 Indiana Pacers4040%113.2122.5-9.2
29 Brooklyn Nets5050%113.8127.8-14.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans4040%104.0123.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs33262820107
Miami Heat31271429101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.