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San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 112-88
26-21 30-26 32-16 24-25
Position#2
Record59-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game92.3
San Antonio Spurs 🏆
USA
vs
Miami Heat
USA
Position#8
Record41-29
FormLWLWW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game98.0
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat
20 Jan 2027
SAS v MIA
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
SAS107
MIA101
01 Feb 2025
SAS103
MIA105
12 Nov 2023
SAS113
MIA118
17 Dec 2022
SAS101
MIA111
03 Feb 2022
SAS95
MIA112
21 Apr 2021
SAS87
MIA107
19 Jan 2020
SAS107
MIA102
20 Mar 2019
SAS105
MIA110
06 Dec 2017
SAS117
MIA105
14 Nov 2016
SAS94
MIA90
23 Mar 2016
SAS112
MIA88
06 Feb 2015
SAS98
MIA85
15 Jun 2014
SAS104
MIA87
08 Jun 2014
SAS96
MIA98
05 Jun 2014
SAS110
MIA95
06 Mar 2014
SAS111
MIA87
16 Jun 2013
SAS114
MIA104
13 Jun 2013
SAS93
MIA109
11 Jun 2013
SAS113
MIA77
31 Mar 2013
SAS86
MIA88
04 Mar 2011
SAS125
MIA95
31 Dec 2009
SAS108
MIA78
07 Nov 2008
SAS83
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
94-86
94
86
+8
95avg 99
A04/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
104-94
104
94
+10
107avg 99
H06/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
91-99
91
99
-8
73avg 99
A08/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
116-91
116
91
+25
118avg 99
A09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
109-101
109
101
+8
100avg 99
H11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
93-85
93
85
+8
79avg 99
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
108-87
108
87
+21
105avg 99
H16/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
118-110
118
110
+8
118avg 99
H18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
87-79
87
79
+8
82avg 99
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 99
A21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
23-20
23-22
26-18
29-22
28-32
29-13
18-27
13-25
19-20
30-28
29-26
27-24
32-23
34-21
23-23
27-27
27-20
30-27
25-27
25-22
20-27
21-19
27-17
19-21
29-23
23-26
37-17
23-28
33-26
39-24
23-32
17-18
26-19
22-28
22-14
28-7
23-29
21-31
16-24
193.1Avg total
100.8Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)104.392.3196.6+12.084%
Season at home (35)105.790.5196.2+15.1100%
Season away (35)102.994.0197.0+8.969%
Last 10 (10)100.892.3193.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)98.890.4189.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)94.499.2193.6-4.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)107.295.1202.2+12.188%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
108-92
108
92
+16
105avg 92
H04/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
112-102
112
102
+10
108avg 92
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
103-98
103
98
+5
95avg 92
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
108-114
108
114
-6
104avg 92
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-96
118
96
+22
113avg 92
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
104-112 OT
104
112
-8
85avg 92
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
124-119
124
119
+5
118avg 92
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
106-109
106
109
-3
102avg 92
H17/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
122-101
122
101
+21
121avg 92
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 92
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
28-22
27-25
24-24
40-29
19-20
25-28
28-25
30-25
17-24
22-20
34-29
22-29
32-28
31-23
23-34
23-31
31-27
30-23
34-15
24-28
22-25
25-17
26-27
36-33
28-29
26-29
34-28
29-26
23-28
21-28
33-27
31-19
34-25
33-26
24-31
35-21
24-19
27-33
27-26
216.0Avg total
111.8Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)99.598.0197.5+1.659%
Season at home (36)102.398.1200.4+4.264%
Season away (34)96.697.8194.3-1.253%
Last 10 (10)111.8104.2216.0+7.670%
Last 5 (5)113.8108.0221.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)102.2109.2211.5-7.025%
vs Similar (16)101.5100.3201.8+1.256%
vs Weaker (10)105.499.7205.1+5.780%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
San Antonio SpursMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H06/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H16/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A21/03
NBA
94.9Avg total
49.0Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.745.596.2+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.847.098.8+4.885%-
Last 30 away (17)49.944.394.2+5.665%-
Last 10 (10)49.045.994.9+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.092.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)45.652.898.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)51.844.095.8+7.884%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H04/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H17/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A23/03
NBA
106.6Avg total
55.7Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.949.7100.6+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.548.9101.5+3.654%-
Last 30 away (17)49.650.299.9-0.641%-
Last 10 (10)55.750.9106.6+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)57.250.6107.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)52.248.2100.5+4.050%-
vs Similar (16)49.350.299.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (10)52.949.3102.2+3.660%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.733.1
51.2%
49.0%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.2
30.1%
35.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws18.816.0
85.1%
75.5%16.0
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.034.2
51.0%
49.0%68.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.77.6
42.9%
35.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws25.820.6
79.8%
75.5%20.6
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LWWWWWWLWW
Miami Heat
WWLWLWLWWW
#2
League position
#8
+8.9
Net rating
+7.8
105.7
Offensive rating
114.1
96.8
Defensive rating
106.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
12.4%
Turnover %
13.1%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.1%
3-point %
42.9%
62.8%
Assist %
55.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 114.1Defence96.8 · 106.3Shooting49.7% · 53.8%3-point %30.1% · 42.9%Ball care12.4% · 13.1%Off. rebounds24.1% · 27.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
San Antonio Spurs wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
10/02/16Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs101-119
01/04/15Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs81-95
07/02/15San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat98-85
16/06/14San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat104-87
13/06/14Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs86-107
11/06/14Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs92-111
09/06/14San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat96-98
06/06/14San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat110-95
07/03/14San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat111-87
26/01/14Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs113-101
San Antonio Spurslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/16ACharlotte Hornets88-91
20/03/16HGolden State Warriors87-79
18/03/16HPortland Trail Blazers118-110
16/03/16HLos Angeles Clippers108-87
13/03/16HOklahoma City Thunder93-85
11/03/16HChicago Bulls109-101
09/03/16AMinnesota Timberwolves116-91
08/03/16AIndiana Pacers91-99
06/03/16HSacramento Kings104-94
04/03/16ANew Orleans Pelicans94-86
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/16ANew Orleans Pelicans113-99
19/03/16HCleveland Cavaliers122-101
17/03/16HCharlotte Hornets106-109
14/03/16HDenver Nuggets124-119
13/03/16AToronto Raptors104-112 OT
12/03/16AChicago Bulls118-96
10/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks108-114
06/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers103-98
05/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers112-102
04/03/16HPhoenix Suns108-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703535
Win %84%100%69%
Points / game104.3105.7102.9
Allowed / game92.390.594.0
Point differential+12.0+15.1+8.9
Avg total196.6196.2197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%66%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703634
Win %59%64%53%
Points / game99.5102.396.6
Allowed / game98.098.197.8
Point differential+1.6+4.2-1.2
Avg total197.5200.4194.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (17)78% (9)88% (8)
Overtime %7%8%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7063790%115.3104.2+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs70591184%104.392.3+12.0
3 Cleveland Cavaliers71512072%104.097.9+6.2
4 Oklahoma City Thunder71492269%110.2103.1+7.1
5 Toronto Raptors70482269%102.798.2+4.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers69432662%104.6101.1+3.5
7 Miami Heat70412959%99.598.0+1.6
8 Boston Celtics72423058%105.8102.0+3.8
9 Atlanta Hawks72423058%102.899.1+3.8
10 Charlotte Hornets71413058%103.0100.8+2.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies72413157%99.2100.6-1.4
12 Indiana Pacers70373353%101.8100.3+1.4
13 Detroit Pistons72383453%102.3101.5+0.9
14 Chicago Bulls70363451%101.8103.0-1.2
15 Portland Trail Blazers71363551%104.5104.1+0.4
16 Dallas Mavericks70353550%102.9103.3-0.4
17 Utah Jazz71353649%97.796.4+1.3
18 Washington Wizards71353649%103.1104.2-1.1
19 Houston Rockets72353749%105.9106.8-0.9
20 Milwaukee Bucks72304242%99.1102.8-3.6
21 Orlando Magic71294241%100.8103.3-2.5
22 Denver Nuggets71294241%102.3104.9-2.7
23 New York Knicks72294340%98.7101.5-2.8
24 Sacramento Kings71274438%106.4109.2-2.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans70264437%103.2106.5-3.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves71234832%101.9105.7-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets70195127%98.3104.8-6.5
28 Phoenix Suns70195127%100.2107.6-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers70155521%97.9106.5-8.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers7196213%96.9107.5-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs26303224112
Miami Heat2126162588
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